August 31, 2005
— Ace When Al Gore toured some scene of a natural disaster -- a flood, if I recall correctly -- he sagely opined that it was due to global warming.
Because, you know, floods didn't happen before we had a lot of automobiles.
But cranks see evidence for their theories everywhere. As in Ghostbusters, when true believers Aykroyd and Ramis discover a vertical stack of forty or so books in a library.
"It's classic poltergeist book-stacking activity!" one exclaims.
"Yes," Bill Murray deadpans, "because no human being could possibly have stacked books like this."
The "Reality-Based Community"
Making up reality as we see fit since 2000. It's better that way.
Order Will Be Restored: Greg Gutfeld declares martial law at the Huffington Post, in order to control the ideological looting rampaging through that site.
Posted by: Ace at
10:01 AM
| Comments (178)
Post contains 170 words, total size 1 kb.
But now that you mention it, twenty-two years later, I finally get the joke.
Thanks.
Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge at August 31, 2005 10:20 AM (y1hCN)
Posted by: Hubris at August 31, 2005 10:23 AM (ghFND)
Posted by: Steve L. at August 31, 2005 11:05 AM (hpZf2)
Halliburton and Houston. Perfect together.
[this is a parody]
Posted by: OCBill at August 31, 2005 11:12 AM (bN6S/)
Posted by: vonKreedon at August 31, 2005 11:14 AM (u8Zgq)
Gutfield is my new hero! "Bonus Points for a Kennedy issuing blame over an event that involved drowning." (Was Mary Jo Kepechne available for comment?)
And "He can provide displaced citizens with fresh sheets." Priceless!
Posted by: speedster1 at August 31, 2005 11:16 AM (vypFj)
Unless, of course, the facts don't actually fit that conclusion.
More here.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 11:21 AM (Zy8kP)
A Time Magazine article states:
From 1995 to 1999, a record 33 hurricanes struck the Atlantic basin, and that doesn’t include 1992’s horrific Hurricane Andrew, which clawed its way across south Florida in 1992, causing $27 billion dollars worth of damage. ... But hurricane-scale storms occur all over the world, and in some places—including the North Indian ocean and the region near Australia—the number has actually fallen. Even in the U.S., the period from 1991 to 1994 was a time of record hurricane quietude, with the dramatic exception of Andrew.
...
But even if all these variables have combined to keep the number of hurricanes worldwide about the same, the storms do appear to be more intense. One especially sobering study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology found that hurricane wind speeds have increased about 50% in the past 50 years. And since warm oceans are such a critical ingredient in hurricane formation, anything that gets the water warming more could get the storms growing worse.
According to the NOAA Atlantic Hurricane Outlook Update for 2005:
NOAA is calling for a 95% to 100% chance of an above-normal 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, according to a consensus of scientists at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Hurricane Research Division (HRD), and National Hurricane Center (NHC). This forecast reflects NOAA’s highest confidence of an above-normal hurricane season since their outlooks began in August 1998.
...
Beginning with 1995 all of the Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above normal, with the exception of two El Niño years (1997 and 2002). This contrasts sharply with the generally below-normal activity observed during the previous 25-year period 1970-1994 (Goldenberg et al. 2001, Science).
...
Hurricane seasons during 1995-2004 have averaged 13.6 tropical storms, 7.8 hurricanes, 3.8 major hurricanes, and with an average ACE index of 159% of the median. NOAA classifies all but two of these ten seasons (El Niño years of 1997 and 2002) as above normal, and six of these years as hyperactive. If the 2005 season verifies as predicted, it will be the seventh hyperactive season in the last 11 years.
The NOAA assessment does tie this to a normal "multi-decadal variability, with alternating periods lasting several decades of generally above-normal or below-normal activity" rather than global warming. However, seven out of 11 years being classed as "hyperactive" is I believe out of the norm of multi-decadal variability.
Posted by: vonKreedon at August 31, 2005 11:49 AM (u8Zgq)
I also organized the sacking of the Alexandria library.
Bwaaaha aha ha "...I was there when Jesus Christ had his moment of doubt... ...rode a tank had a generals rank... when the bodies stank..."
Posted by: Carl Rove at August 31, 2005 11:57 AM (dYcZw)
I guess you know better than NOAA.
Posted by: ace at August 31, 2005 11:59 AM (W7JEQ)
Ace, that would be a normal piece of reasoning unless one doesn't like the conclusion.
Posted by: Rocketeer at August 31, 2005 12:02 PM (p0VwG)
Posted by: vonKreedon at August 31, 2005 12:06 PM (u8Zgq)
Either that, or you just reject the science you don't like in favor of your preferred political narrative.
Not sure which. Let me know.
Posted by: ace at August 31, 2005 12:09 PM (W7JEQ)
But of course you do the same thing.
Similar to how liberals scream about "Respecting precedent!" when it comes to decisions they favor, and castigate conservatives for having no respect for precedent.
But then they agitate for and ultimately celebrate the overturning of precedents they don't like.
I guess I would just prefer more honesty on such points, rather than having liberals forever claim to be basing their beliefs on neutral principles and external sources.
Posted by: ace at August 31, 2005 12:11 PM (W7JEQ)
Posted by: Tom at August 31, 2005 12:11 PM (3E+YO)
Yup...
"We live in a time in our country and the world where it seems weather catastrophes are more common. We now have 100-year floods every two years, it seems," Gore told Maine lawmakers, according to The Boston Globe.
The ice storm that crippled Maine "could be a sign of things to come," given global warming, he said.
An ice storm. Caused by global warming.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 12:15 PM (/NI2g)
Check out this table. Note that 11 of the 65 most intense hurricanes to strike the US in the last 153 years (not including the current 2005 season) have been in the last 20 years and that 6 of those have been in the last 10 years (again not including 2005). To ridicule those of us who believe that global warming is a serious issue making the connection to hurricanes is rank hackery.
Posted by: vonKreedon at August 31, 2005 12:25 PM (u8Zgq)
The table you link is not the best data to use, since it only lists hurricanes which struck the US mainland, and ranks them by their intensity when they reached land. This does't really give us any insight into the frequency or peak strengths of hurricanes worldwide.
Speculating that the increasing frequency of hurricances is due to global warming is fine, but it isn't science.
Posted by: geoff at August 31, 2005 01:00 PM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: OCBill at August 31, 2005 01:03 PM (bN6S/)
Posted by: Moonbat_One at August 31, 2005 01:18 PM (p2G9i)
It would also be useful for the global warming fear-mongers to quantify the exact average measured-temperatures and their changes over time. Temperatures over land don't necessarily map very well to hurricane formulation, so it might be best to take average ocean temperatures at various altitudes and water depths. Once those temperatures are known, then science might be able to lead us to whether the amounts of differences and the trends map very well to effects on hurricane frequency and intensity.
Or we could just cut to the chase and blame the whole thing on Bush who has only been in office for four and a half years ("The Day After Tomorrow", and all that doncha know).
Posted by: OCBill at August 31, 2005 01:18 PM (bN6S/)
Ah, actors! Is there anything they don't know?
Posted by: Log Cabin at August 31, 2005 01:59 PM (DwdvC)
Bush caused the systematic dismantling and severe underfunding that led to the underpreparedness, and poorly maintained levee. Don't believe me?
Read this:
http://tinyurl.com/as299
That's for the FEMA angle. Other bloggers have pulled up the sequence of events about the Bush admin pinpointing the funding for the New Orleans area, AFTER A REPORT WAS ISSUED WITH HURRICANE HITTING NEW ORLEANS AS #2 DISASTER OUT OF THREE to prepare for. PDB: hurricane determined to attack New Orleans.
Of course, if they had known the exact DATE and LOCATION, well they would have been prepared... Oh, they DID know that?
Incidentally, regarding a post above: in the lake effect area around the Great Lakes, warmer winters DO cause more snow and ice storms. That's because more of the lake area remains unfrozen longer into the winter, which means more moisture is picked from water (than from ice), and then more frozen precipitation.
Companies in the area have done studies and are budgeting. It's reality, not an ideological position.
Posted by: tubino at August 31, 2005 03:07 PM (lhNWV)
HAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAA!!! Oh my God...i think i ruptured my kidney.
Posted by: madne0 at August 31, 2005 03:16 PM (YC0Ob)
That's great for Lake Effect storms. The ice storm, however, came from a system that came out of the midwest and was forced into Maine by two high-pressure systems - one near NH and one in the Gulf.
There was no lake effect, just a typical storm that was forced, basically, through a very small channel.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 03:24 PM (/NI2g)
Uhhh...(counting on fingers and toes)...hold on...
(continuing the counting on spouse's and pets' fingers and toes)...
...Ok. That would put 54 of them before 20 years ago.
How much you wanna bet that these things don't come in perfect statistical regularity, but in clusters like in the last few years?
And, I might add, all of this was going on loooong before Kyoto, and looong before industrialization.
You really have to be some kind of arrogant to think we can start hurricanes.
Posted by: lauraw at August 31, 2005 03:26 PM (ywZa8)
My question to you is-Should we gamble and assume that the enviroment is not being effected by the millions of tons of CO2 being pumped into the atmosphere?
As I see it-If it turns out that global warming is a real threat (and we have acted to reduce emmisons) we avoided a horrific disaster and saved the planet for the future generations. If global warming is just stacked books we simply have cleaner air and more efficient cars and power plants.
No one can say for certain that Kartina was the result of global warming but should we take the chance that global warming will cause Katrina type storms? Not to mention rising sea levels, drought, permafrost erosion ect.
This is a sincere post. I am really trying to understand the other side of the global warming debate.
Posted by: Eric at August 31, 2005 03:49 PM (XsNCW)
The downside of dealing with global warming is a little more dire than "we simply have cleaner air and more efficient cars and power plants." If that was the only penalty, who would object to your position? But the fact is that the economic impact would be very severe. So the right believes that we should thoroughly understand the problem before we: 1) tinker with something we don't understand; and 2) cause the economy to tank.
That said, I'd like to see the right take a more proactive stance on energy and the environment, rather than simply objecting to the proposals of the left (the reverse situation of the Iraq war). Politically it would undercut these long-standing planks of the Democrats' platform, and morally, it would be the right thing to do for the country.
Posted by: geoff at August 31, 2005 03:59 PM (J0ZE/)
Behold, the medieval warm period.
Who the fuck know what caused that? They were growing wine grapes in areas you can't grow them today! And that was long before combustion engines.
And what about ice ages? Ice and snow are not, in geologic terms, normal features of Earth. And yet we have snow and glaciers. You might say we are still at the tail end of the last ice age.
Every volcanic eruption spews more gases and particulates in the atmosphere than human beings ever have. And nobody can really say what effect that has, except in the very very short term.
In other words, for all we know, we might even be slowing down the Earth's return to natural temperatures. Who the fuck knows.
I'm not willing to go without heat in the winter to find out, since it could be nothing, or something, a thousand years from now.
Posted by: lauraw at August 31, 2005 04:06 PM (ywZa8)
The frequency appears to be cyclical as in the chart posted by the moron above that he positioned as PROOF that global warming has no role.
I'm guessing there are quite a few of ID folks on this blog. Firm belief in concepts with no factual basis is what tipped me off.
Posted by: at August 31, 2005 04:11 PM (jsDpo)
There might be something to the theory. If so, let's take necessary steps to deal with it, but let's do so in a way that doesn't cause the collapse of the American economy. Personally, I would like to see the U.S. move to more nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, though, those who make the most noise about global warming are also the greatest opponents of this option.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 04:17 PM (/NI2g)
Simple physics explains that warmer waters produce larger storms but the release of heat from evaporating water. The frequency appears to be cyclical as in the chart posted by the moron above that he positioned as PROOF that global warming has no role. I'm guessing there are quite a few of ID folks on this blog. Firm belief in concepts with no factual basis is what tipped me off.
It is this sort of rhetoric that leads to the opposition some of us feel toward the more environmentalist point of view.
This oh-so-brave anonymous poster doesn't seem to realize (or doesn't care) about the damage he's doing to all who share your views.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 04:21 PM (/NI2g)
Rove has a time machine (along with the weather machine that makes hurricanes, and the geologic disruptor that causes earth quakes).
Monster meteors are on the way as we speak. ETA, next year.
Posted by: Tony at August 31, 2005 04:30 PM (dYcZw)
By the way, Mr. Brave Anonymous Poster, I didn't post the chart as proof. I posted it because I don't think global warming can be used as absolute proof of an increase in hurricane intensity. I wanted to put the actual numbers out there because I believe they cast doubt on the idea that storms are getting worse.
Your post shows that you're more interested in showing off your dubious insult skills than actually engaging in debate.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 04:37 PM (/NI2g)
Posted by: KMA at August 31, 2005 05:30 PM (fRs7B)
Posted by: Snorkel at August 31, 2005 05:35 PM (wTI+1)
Very simple physics indeed. If you look at the energy balance, every degree (F) of temperature rise is 1 BTU/lbm, while the heat of vaporization is 1000 BTU/lbm. A degree temperature rise in the ocean would result in a trivial change in the energy balance.
The accepted explanation (from actual scientists and the like) is that wind shear is responsible for breaking up storms before they form hurricanes. As the water temperature rises, the viscosity decreases and reduces the wind shear.
Posted by: geoff at August 31, 2005 05:37 PM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: bitterman at August 31, 2005 05:42 PM (fmPjX)
After the medieval warming period, there was this.
You'd almost think the Earth was warming and cooling of its own accord, without us people here to tell it what to do.
Damned arrogant planet.
Posted by: lauraw at August 31, 2005 05:48 PM (ywZa8)
Ozone was dealt with in an adult fashion. The most offensive refrigerants and propellants were banned. The Chicken Little types screamed that it would throw the economy into disarray, and the auto industry would be crushed.
Of course alternatives were developed, and these are cheaper too.
Same thing will happen when lower CO2 emissions are enforced. Economy of scale for solutions will make them viable. Demand for new energy-saving technologies will create new opportunities in the market. Why is this hard to see?
Posted by: tubino at August 31, 2005 06:42 PM (lhNWV)
Liberal thinking in a nutshell. Should I explain why you're an idiot, or will that just upset you?
Posted by: at August 31, 2005 06:46 PM (ipjUv)
Posted by: digitalbrownshirt at August 31, 2005 06:47 PM (ipjUv)
I read the article you linked earlier.
Where exactly is your documentation for the assertion that Bush "cut the levee money?"
I think you'll find most of us are open to alternative sources of energy. So maybe step away from the talking points and engage in a dialogue.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 06:57 PM (/NI2g)
By the way, I just love how eager liberals are to define my emotional state when confronted with the increasingly-inane arguments of the left.
Yes, buddy. I'm just terrified of you and your arguments. Just scared to death. Crying, almost.
Moron.
Posted by: Slublog at August 31, 2005 07:00 PM (/NI2g)
The refrigerant alternatives are not as effective as the good old CFCs, and in fact many refrigeration systems still use CFCs obtained from recycling of old reservoirs. For commercial applications the new alternatives usually represent workable solutions, but for weight- or volume-sensitive applications they're a pain.
These new, wondrous technologies are never quite as rosy as they appear, and those mean people in industry are never quite as nasty as they're made out to be. Often there are good technical reasons for resisting change.
Posted by: geoff at August 31, 2005 07:08 PM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: bitterman at August 31, 2005 07:08 PM (fmPjX)
Posted by: Tony (the Druid) at August 31, 2005 07:23 PM (dYcZw)
1. What is worse for the economy? The energy industries having to retrofit powerplants. The auto industry being forced to raise CAFE standards. (Inevitably some of this cost will be passed onto the consumer.) or....The effects of global warming, more 100+ degree days, rising oceans, drought, ect.
2."Reduce co2 emissions? Ok, china & india go 1st. Failing that, feel free to stop breathing. That'll create all kinds of markets."
Let's face it these countries are going to have a huge negative enviromental impact. The Chinese goverment with the help of WalMart is going to use up all the resources they can grab and burn them up with no concern for the impact on the air and oceans we all share. The US is probably the only country that could stop their little commie facist plans to rape the planet. We can't begin to do that if we are not living up to the standards we demand of the rest of the world. Even if India and China continue to run their countries like a 19th century coal town can we really afford to let the planet's ecosystems collapse because we don't want to conciede some economic advantage?
3. Yeah the enviromental movement is full of kooks that have Luddite fantasies of hippie communes and dolphin communication centers. That said the simple fact is human beings are animals and need clean air, water, and sustainable agriculture to survive. We can't keep taking a piss in the well....This obvious point seems to go over the heads of alot of people on the right (who otherwise I often agree with).
4. Try firing up a charcoal bar-b-que grill in your livingroom with all the windows shut. Your plants will love the heat and CO2.
Posted by: Eric at August 31, 2005 09:26 PM (XsNCW)
Your entire suite of arguments is based on the assumption that global warming is a man-made phenomenon caused by greenhouse gas emissions. Conservatives believe that the link between greenhouse gases and global warming has not been proven. So why would they risk damaging the economy to pursue an environmental strategy that may be pointless?
Posted by: geoff at August 31, 2005 09:54 PM (J0ZE/)
I think from where I stand the words "may be" are the most important words in the last post. If CO2 emmisions ( lets not forget deforestation) are causing global warming we "may be" destroying the only ecosystem we have. Can we take that chance?
I think from a non-scientic "common sense" point of veiw it would be hard to imagine that all the cars, powerplants, rainforest destruction, ect. are not having some impact. Do you really want to risk so much just so the GNP stays high? Have you ever been to the san fernando valley on a hot day during rush hour? Try MexicoCity if that isn't obnoxious enough.
Geoff also wrote:
"Conservatives believe that the link between greenhouse gases and global warming has not been proven."
I like to think of myself as a Conservative. I am an orthodox beliver in the genius of the US Constitution. I'm big into the idea of preservation of wilderness that makes this country so great. My type of conservatisim puts science and reason front and center right behind liberty freedom and the persuit of happiness as I believe Ben Franklin would have liked it.
The science I'm reading is telling me that at the very least global warming has a very high possibility of effecting our planet for the worse. I think the short term economic risks are far outwayed by the Katrina like effects of full blown climate change. check out this article about a study out of MIT.
http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/southeast/2005/08/01/57888.htm
Posted by: Eric at September 01, 2005 02:22 AM (XsNCW)
I have every faith, however, that the technology that (maybe, but probably not) got us here would be our best bet to get us out. Someone pointed out that, had you told a New Yorker in 1900 how the population of the city would grow in the next century, he would be demanding to know how we planned to get rid of all the horseshit.
Posted by: S. Weasel at September 01, 2005 03:55 AM (rasT+)
The New Orleans Times-Picayune, which before the hurricane published a series on the federal funding problem, and whose presses are now underwater, reported online: "No one can say they didn't see it coming ... Now in the wake of one of the worst storms ever, serious questions are being asked about the lack of preparation."
So yeah, global warming may not be to blame, but Bush definitely is.
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 01, 2005 03:57 AM (7wJH5)
I know that moonbats like Raging Bee have problems with concepts like time and space but this is too much. Tell me, had this study been funded last year how exactly would that have helped now? And why didn't the Clinton administration fund this? Do you really believe we 'just found out' in early 2001 that there was a problem in NO? Go back to a 1969 edition of the Times-Picayune and see if there was some concern when Camille was on the way.
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 04:10 AM (Byr3j)
Your logic needs reworking - not to mention your values.
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 01, 2005 04:41 AM (7wJH5)
So Bush is to blame because it just never seemed to occur to anyone that maybe, just maybe, a dam made of frickin' dirt wouldn't hold back a Category 4 or 5 hurricane?
Look, I know one of the first human inclinations when something really bad happens is to find someone to blame, but you guys are making me sick.
This is a natural disaster, a freak occurrence, an act of God if you wish. The attempts of you all to reap political benefit from this is just transparently sick. This morning, I've already had to put up with liberal coworkers saying Bush is going to take a hit for this, almost with glee in their voices.
It's damned disgusting, and all of you should be ashamed of yourselves.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 04:44 AM (V7NgR)
And the same people who routinely blame the far left for Bush's failures in Iraq have no right to accuse anyone else of "trying to reap political benefit."
Bush is the President. He made decisions. He is accountable to the people for the results of his decisions. There is nothing "transparently sick" about questioning him about those decisions - unless of course you consider democracy "transparently sick."
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 01, 2005 05:03 AM (7wJH5)
Right, my values need reworking because I'm the one blaming a single human being for a natural disaster and its aftermath. And my logic needs reworking because I understand that New Orlean's fate has been known for a long time, but one man should get the blame.
I don't think I'd be pointing fingers if I was you Raging Bee.
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 05:07 AM (Byr3j)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 05:11 AM (Byr3j)
...
I'm frankly stunned at the amount of eagerness there is to blame one guy for this disaster. I mean, the first reaction of many on the left was not to start looking for ways to help, but to start looking through federal budgets, trying to find something they could use against the president.
And you're questioning our values?
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 05:12 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 01, 2005 05:17 AM (7wJH5)
For crying out loud, they acquired funds for maintaining the levees years ago- not rebuilding them, but maintaining them- and even then, about a third of the money disappeared. Went poof.
Mistakes and stupidity and corruption and lack of planning have been going on in New Orleans long before Bush was even fucking born.
Get a clue, you batshit loon.
Posted by: lauraw at September 01, 2005 05:17 AM (or85O)
Really? Well, I didn't hear the left hyperventilating about the need to save NOLA before this disaster hit. None of you gave a shit about the people in that city - until, of course, that 'concern' could be used as a club against the Bush administration.
You're not just some concerned citizen looking for answers. You're a fucking ghoul looking for a corpse to gnaw on.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 05:22 AM (V7NgR)
No you're not. You're a moron with BDS who thinks they can use human pain and suffering to score some political points. You don't fool anybody here. Try Daily Kos, you'll find like minded folks over there.
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 05:23 AM (Byr3j)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 05:23 AM (V7NgR)
George Bush on ABC's Good Morning America, Sept. 1, 2005:
"I don't think anyone anticipated the breach of the levees."
UNBELIEVABLE. Now go read what WAS anticipated, in print, by the actual people in charge, and what Bush did, and try to keep from howling at that lying weasel:
http://tinyurl.com/dc6rw
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 05:26 AM (QuUu2)
So much for "how dare you blame someone for this disaster."
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 01, 2005 05:26 AM (7wJH5)
Posted by: geoff at September 01, 2005 05:26 AM (J0ZE/)
The conservative's first reaction to information suggesting that the administration transferred money from NO storm mitigation projects to the elective war in Iraq is to attack those making the suggestion. Spin away, but this, and that fact that ~35% of LA, MS and Al National Guard personnel are in Iraq, is going to suck for the Bush administration and significantly increases the chances that the Dems will take back Congress in a year. No amount of ad hominem spin is going to help you on this.
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 05:29 AM (u8Zgq)
Ahem...
Here is a quote from an article originally published on June 8, 2004 in the Times-Picayune:
For the first time in 37 years, federal budget cuts have all but stopped major work on the New Orleans area's east bank hurricane levees, a complex network of concrete walls, metal gates and giant earthen berms that won't be finished for at least another decade.
"I guess people look around and think there's a complete system in place, that we're just out here trying to put icing on the cake," said Mervin Morehiser, who manages the "Lake Pontchartrain and vicinity" levee project for the Army Corps of Engineers. "And we aren't saying that the sky is falling, but people should know that this is a work in progress, and there's more important work yet to do before there is a complete system in place."
...
"I can't tell you exactly what that could mean this hurricane season if we get a major storm," Naomi said. "It would depend on the path and speed of the storm, the angle that it hits us.
"But I can tell you that we would be better off if the levees were raised, . . . and I think it's important and only fair that those people who live behind the levee know the status of these projects."
...
The Bush administration's proposed fiscal 2005 budget includes only $3.9 million for the east bank hurricane project. Congress likely will increase that amount, although last year it bumped up the administration's $3 million proposal only to $5.5 million.
"I needed $11 million this year, and I got $5.5 million," Naomi said. "I need $22.5 million next year to do everything that needs doing, and the first $4.5 million of that will go to pay four contractors who couldn't get paid this year."
And here is an excerpt from May of this year:
In the event of a slow-moving Category 4 or Category 5 hurricane (with winds up to or exceeding 155 miles per hour), it's possible that only those crow's nests would remain above the water level. Such a storm, plowing over the lake, could generate a 20-foot surge that would easily overwhelm the levees of New Orleans, which only protect against a hybrid Category 2 or Category 3 storm (with winds up to about 110 miles per hour and a storm surge up to 12 feet). Soon the geographical "bowl" of the Crescent City would fill up with the waters of the lake, leaving those unable to evacuate with little option but to cluster on rooftops -- terrain they would have to share with hungry rats, fire ants, nutria, snakes, and perhaps alligators. The water itself would become a festering stew of sewage, gasoline, refinery chemicals, and debris.
"I don't think anyone anticipated the breach of the levees." GWB.
Probably true -He doesent know shit.
Quack.
Posted by: Conservative Killer at September 01, 2005 05:35 AM (QwwYn)
"The Bush administration's proposed fiscal 2005 budget includes only $3.9 million for the east bank hurricane project. Congress likely will increase that amount, although last year it bumped up the administration's $3 million proposal only to $5.5 million."
"'I needed $11 million this year, and I got $5.5 million," Naomi said. "I need $22.5 million next year to do everything that needs doing, and the first $4.5 million of that will go to pay four contractors who couldn't get paid this year.'"
--------------
From May 2005 (http://tinyurl.com/dc6rw)
"In the event of a slow-moving Category 4 or Category 5 hurricane (with winds up to or exceeding 155 miles per hour), it's possible that only those crow's nests would remain above the water level. Such a storm, plowing over the lake, could generate a 20-foot surge that would easily overwhelm the levees of New Orleans, which only protect against a hybrid Category 2 or Category 3 storm (with winds up to about 110 miles per hour and a storm surge up to 12 feet). Soon the geographical "bowl" of the Crescent City would fill up with the waters of the lake, leaving those unable to evacuate with little option but to cluster on rooftops -- terrain they would have to share with hungry rats, fire ants, nutria, snakes, and perhaps alligators. The water itself would become a festering stew of sewage, gasoline, refinery chemicals, and debris."
Yet Bush can go on national TV and claim no one anticipated this...
UNBELIEVABLE.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 05:35 AM (QuUu2)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 05:37 AM (Byr3j)
Posted by: S. Weasel at September 01, 2005 05:38 AM (rasT+)
Posted by: Megan at September 01, 2005 05:41 AM (s22mC)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 05:42 AM (Byr3j)
Even if every dime requested from the US Government was granted, Katrina STILL would have done the EXACT SAME AMOUNT of damage.
Why? Because (a) the work would not have been completed by now, and (b) the levees could not hold back a Catagory 5 storm.
Morons.
Posted by: Dogstar at September 01, 2005 06:13 AM (KgeNY)
... and provides substantial funding for eight projects that are the highest priorities in the Nation. The high priority projects are the New York and New Jersey Harbor deepening project ($115 million); the Olmsted Locks and Dam, IL & KY, project ($73 million); projects to restore the Florida Everglades ($145 million) and the side channels of the Upper Mississippi River system ($33 million); projects to provide flood damage reduction to urban areas, namely, the Sims Bayou, Houston, TX, project ($12 million) and the West Bank and Vicinity, New Orleans, LA, project ($35 million); and projects to meet environmental requirements in the Columbia River Basin ($98 million) and the Missouri River basin ($22 million).
So, as you see, it's all Hillary's fault for getting her project top priority.
Posted by: geoff at September 01, 2005 06:17 AM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 06:22 AM (Byr3j)
In 1889, a flood caused by a broken earth dam destroyed the city of Johnstown, Pennsylvania. The tragedy caused a national uproar and many questioned the wisdom of earth dams.
We've known for well over a hundred years that concrete and newer building materials make better dams and levees. New Orleans knew this, and did nothing for decades. I'm not blaming the government of that city, just pointing out that engineering history seems to have passed that city by.
With the left, casting blame on the Bushes has become something of a habit. After September 11, you tried to prove that "BUSH KNEW" and did nothing based on a vaguely-worded PDB.
After the tsunamis, some on the left tried to blame Bush and dug up papers and studies and such to prove he knew about the risk.
As Megan said, those of us on the right have become almost numb to the constant attempts to blame the president for everything, and the inhumanity of finding political gain in human tragedy.
Given the intensity of your belief, and the speed with which you're casting the blame, maybe it's time for the right to wake up again to your antics and point them out to the millions of Americans who aren't thinking about blame, but instead are trying to figure out how they could help.
Maybe some light and some bad press will help you find the humanity you seem to have lost in your fanatical Bush hatred.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 06:35 AM (V7NgR)
No they won't, because they are imbeciles who have either never had, or have lost the ability to logically analyze anything. If you doubt that, read the posts by Raging Bee or Turbino. Anything bad that happens anywhere must somehow be the fault of G.W. Bush, even acts of nature. If a great earthquake occurred tomorrow, dropping part of California into the sea, I guarantee you they'd be blaming Bush.
Posted by: David C. at September 01, 2005 06:49 AM (7GPP9)
This is the same cowardly evasion we hear every time someone wants to weasel out of the consequences of his mistakes. If we're wrong in this instance, then you should be able to prove it without the name-calling. If you can't, then this blog has nothing to offer.
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 01, 2005 06:53 AM (7wJH5)
Then we can talk about blame. Hold a congressional hearing - flood the airwaves with accusations, counter-accusations and the usual blather of Washington.
But do it later.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 06:59 AM (V7NgR)
I'm sure you're aware that there is little chance that Bush personally had any involvement with the cut. The Senate and House Appropriations Committees have quite a bit to say about the budget as well. Personifying this as Bush's personal shortsightedness is ridiculous and only feeds your irrational hatred.
You could make the claim that this is a consequence of the Bush tax cuts - that critical services have been sacrificed in order to stimulate the economy. Then we could debate the relative merits of the two approaches. But saying "Bush consciously decides . . ." is ludicrous.
Except maybe Texans hate Louisianans . . .
Posted by: geoff at September 01, 2005 07:05 AM (J0ZE/)
No, but... FEMA's short list of disasters to prepare for had 3 items. #2 was a hurricane hitting New Orleans.
Another of the 3 is an earthquake hitting San Francisco.
If Bush hadn't returned FEMA to its old way by appointing an unqualified director (see http://www.warandpiece.com/blogdirs/002458.html), and cut its budget, and had its duties replaced by a Homeland Security Dept that doesn't actually do FEMA stuff...
well, but he did do those things. And if the aftermath of an earthquake in SF is as mismanaged as NO, then sure, Bush would bear responsibility.
FEMA since 2001 is being mismanaged with political appointees. This is the same screwball non-serious political payoff way that the Iraq operation is being mismanaged, and failing.
And after this many years of this pattern, we have every right to blame Bush for his actions.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 07:27 AM (QuUu2)
Even if every dime requested from the US Government was granted, Katrina STILL would have done the EXACT SAME AMOUNT of damage."
If FEMA hadn't been mismanaged / destroyed /, they would have had evacuation plans in place. We wouldn't be witnessing the 3rd world response we're seeing now.
Morons.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 07:30 AM (QuUu2)
All we ask is that you have the decency to start pointing fingers after all of the work necessary to help those in need is done.
A lot of blogs and websites are raising money today. Instapundit, Michelle Malkin, and others are putting links on their front pages, in their content, to raise money for the Red Cross and other organizations.
Just checked Michael Moore's site. Not one link. Only the usual blame-Bush crap he's been writing for years. Atrios and Kos have blogads for donations, but no content from writers asking people to donate to a particular charity.
Joshua Micah Marshall is the only liberal blogger of note that has a link at the top of his page asking people to donate to the American Red Cross. The rest are just caught up in the life as usual Bush-bash.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 07:36 AM (V7NgR)
---------------------
Then there's this piece in the Chicago Tribune. First three grafs ...
Despite continuous warnings that a catastrophic hurricane could hit New Orleans, the Bush administration and Congress in recent years have repeatedly denied full funding for hurricane preparation and flood control.
That has delayed construction of levees around the city and stymied an ambitious project to improve drainage in New Orleans' neighborhoods.
For instance, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers requested $27 million for this fiscal year to pay for hurricane-protection projects around Lake Pontchartrain. The Bush administration countered with $3.9 million, and Congress eventually provided $5.7 million, according to figures provided by the office of U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.).
And further down in the piece there's this ...
"I'm not saying it wouldn't still be flooded, but I do feel that if it had been totally funded, there would be less flooding than you have," said Michael Parker, a former Republican Mississippi congressman who headed the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers from October 2001 until March 2002, when he was ousted after publicly criticizing a Bush administration proposal to cut the corps' budget.
Clearly Parker is yet another Bush-basher.
--------------
LOTS MORE THERE. and here:
The point is simple: BUSH has preferred political appointments and payoffs over competency and efficiency. The results are deadly.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 07:38 AM (QuUu2)
city council: Democrats
LA Governor: Democrat
Sen. Landrieu: Democrat
LA Lt. Governor: Democrat
Notice a pattern here?
Posted by: at September 01, 2005 07:45 AM (fmPjX)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 07:49 AM (V7NgR)
I find it interesting that so many people assume that New Orlean's levy system should be federally funded. Why weren't they raising revenue in New Orleans to build whatever system the city thought necessary? Federal funding be damned, if you need to build levies you put a tax measure on the ballot. If it fails, then the voters made their choice. Afterall, it's their city, not mine.
Blaming George Bush for the aftermath of this hurricane simply exposes the spiteful pettiness of the left. I laugh at every past reference to VonKreedon as a thoughtful, reasonable leftist. He exposed once and for all who he really is on this thread.
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 07:58 AM (Zxtyv)
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 08:01 AM (u8Zgq)
Those claims are going to have to be examined closely in the upcoming weeks, but I don't find the quotes from the Tribune particularly compelling. Lake Pontchartrain has not yet flooded (though it could happen), so the funding cut example is irrelevant, for the moment. Since the funding cuts should properly be studied in the context of the overall budget, and since we haven't heard the counterpoint position (i.e., the ratioanle for the cuts), relying on these cherry-picking quotes is not sound.
And how "continuous" and fervent were these warnings - we've had warnings on everything, did the hurricane warnings rise above the noise level? Here's a reason why federal budgeteers may have been blase about the hurricane threat:
Most residents along the East and Gulf coasts don't plan to take even simple steps to protect themselves and their homes from hurricanes, despite the devastation caused by five hurricanes that struck the United States last year, according to a 2005 poll.
Fifty-six percent of those surveyed said they felt "not too" vulnerable or "not at all" vulnerable. And one in four would do nothing to prepare for a storm, even after a watch or warning was issued.
In 2004, four hurricanes struck Florida within six weeks. They were among six tropical storms and nine hurricanes that formed during the unprecedented 2004 season. Hurricane Alex also struck North Carolina. Overall, the hurricanes and tropical storms cost 117 lives in Florida and damaged or destroyed one in five Florida homes. Property losses were estimated at $42 billion.
Yet 47 percent of those surveyed had no disaster plan for the hurricane season, the poll found.
If the residents at risk have this level of unconcern, how seriously should the government take the hurricane threat? And how immediate is the threat, given that New Orleans has been at risk for the entirety of its existence?
There are many levels of responsibility in disaster preparedness: individual, city, county, state, and federal. All the blame here seems to be concentrated at the federal level.
Posted by: geoff at September 01, 2005 08:12 AM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: S. Weasel at September 01, 2005 08:16 AM (rasT+)
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 08:18 AM (u8Zgq)
Reducing emissions wouldn't necessarily hit the economy. You just don't want to face reality, and the reality is that the American people have always been used to consume as much as they want. Not always in an arrogant way, but surely in a naive one. You want big cars, air-conditioniong til rooms freeze in the summer? You consume a hell lot by doing so, and don't even conceive the fact that hundreds of million people live in developed countries with half as many energy you waste everyday. Wake up and smell the coffee, men.
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 08:18 AM (v4vrZ)
Posted by: Dave Pasquino at September 01, 2005 08:19 AM (u8Zgq)
That's great, but should you?
That's the question you should be asking. It's just distasteful. Like I've said repeatedly on this thread, ask your questions, hold your hearings.
Just have the simple decency to do it later.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 08:23 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 08:24 AM (Zxtyv)
Pot, Kettle, Black, dude. Although it strikes me that calling you an asshole is less severe then accusing the President of the United States of being a mass murderer. This is where being a moral relativist comes in mighty handy for you, right vonK?
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 08:24 AM (Byr3j)
The bad taste in you mouth my not be what you wish it was.
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 08:26 AM (u8Zgq)
Posted by: Dogstar at September 01, 2005 08:29 AM (KgeNY)
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 08:29 AM (u8Zgq)
Posted by: S. Weasel at September 01, 2005 08:32 AM (rasT+)
ever thought we're not just talking about factories but everyday's life?
Start by turning off your air-conditioning now and then, or by buying a car that doesn't gobble fuel like an SUV. You cut emissions also this way.
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 08:33 AM (v4vrZ)
Anyway, I think that's a cop-out. Keeping an administration's feet to the fire is why we have an opposition party, isn't it? If you don't want the issue to be forgotten, then don't let us forget about it.
In the meantime, I'd like to see Michael Moore dedicate half the time he spends bashing Bush trying to rally support for the Red Cross and helping those affected by this disaster.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 08:38 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: Megan at September 01, 2005 08:39 AM (s22mC)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 08:40 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: Megan at September 01, 2005 08:42 AM (s22mC)
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 08:43 AM (Zxtyv)
I want to see the LAKE. Those trees should be cut down and used to build a platform and chairs I could use to get a better view of said lake.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 08:45 AM (V7NgR)
You attack my sensabilities with your illogical worldview and your BDS. Does that count?
"Start by turning off your air-conditioning now and then, or by buying a car that doesn't gobble fuel like an SUV"
Somebody is jealous!! Must be hot where you are.
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 08:46 AM (Byr3j)
I like the vanilla flavor.
Posted by: bitterman at September 01, 2005 08:51 AM (fmPjX)
I've travelled the US north and south, and I'm happy were I am. We just have different attitudes: you think you can do whatever you want (freedom, isn't it?), we think that somebody's freedom stops when it starts affecting others'. More generally, if I know that my way of life is built on wasting, I try to change a bit. And I'm not a frigging environmentalist.
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 08:51 AM (v4vrZ)
Posted by: geoff at September 01, 2005 08:53 AM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 08:55 AM (Zxtyv)
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 08:57 AM (v4vrZ)
How does my turning up the AC and driving like a bat out of hades affect your freedom?
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 08:58 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 09:00 AM (Byr3j)
But don't you see like everything is connected?
That if you consume less oil, oil will cost less because there's less demand?
Are you so damn sure that the greenhouse effect doesn't exist? Cos that affects the entire world.
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 09:04 AM (v4vrZ)
If you read my post better...
That doesn't help me continue trying to be nice.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 09:08 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 09:10 AM (v4vrZ)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 09:11 AM (V7NgR)
We will be hearing a lot in coming months about the “dead zone” in the Caribbean. To put it succinctly, chemical fertilizer runoff from the Missouri and Mississippi rivers accumulate in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico every summer, causing a massive phytoplankton bloom. This bloom absorbs all oxygen and causes the surface temps to get up to and past 90. This is what caused Katrina to go from a CAT2 and weakening to a CAT5 literally overnight.
http://www.nasa.gov/vision/earth/environment/dead_zone.html
That and Bush chopping 44% out of New Orleans Corps of Engineers budget (bad timing, that…), well, kina hamstrings local goverment. The Bush administration has also been dismanteling FEMA, putting the responsibilities on Homeland Security, which is proving almost completely unprepared.
http://www.indyweek.com/durham/2004-09-22/cover.html
It’s been 4 years since 9/11 and supposedly Homeland Security is in place to handle the aftermath of a large-scale terrorist attack. Such an attack would leave a refugee situation similar to what we see in NOLA…why is HS so unprepared?
After the shock of the event, the American people need to scrutinize what this government under George Bush has done to the programs and systems that were supposed to take care of us in the event of disaster, as well as the laws that were put in place to try to avert it in the first place.
This is no time for “theological science”.
Posted by: Zorro at September 01, 2005 09:13 AM (UT6C5)
So, basically, you Europeans and your stinginess with oil are holding back the development of alternatives. Nice going.
Posted by: S. Weasel at September 01, 2005 09:14 AM (rasT+)
The 'greenhouse effect' does exist or we wouldn't have an atmosphere. What we dispute is the evidence (or lack thereof) supporting global warming. Why punish US consumers and our economy over speculation?
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 09:15 AM (Byr3j)
S. Weasel pretty much said what I wanted to say anyway.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 09:18 AM (V7NgR)
SCREEEEEEEAAAAAAAAAMMMMMMMM!
THEY'RE EVERYWHERE!!!!!!!
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 09:18 AM (Byr3j)
Global Warming makes the storms stronger as storms gather strength from warmth. It's not that complex. It's not god, it's not the devil. It's heat.
In the shorter term, what bush boy could have been done to help was to not send 1/2 the National Guard to guard oil in Iraq and to not radically defund FEMA and other first responders.
Personally, I'd prefer if bush boy would wipe that idiotic 'my pet goat' look off his face.
Events like these prove that conservatives were wrong when they repeatedly said in 2000 that we really don't need an intelligent president.
Posted by: Lars Gruber at September 01, 2005 09:18 AM (NXi5I)
Posted by: Megan at September 01, 2005 09:20 AM (s22mC)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 09:20 AM (V7NgR)
If you are arguing that we all should make a few small personal sacrifices in the name of conservation, I agree with you. If you are arguing that we are a wasteful society, I also agree.
If you are arguing for more government regulation, then I disagree.
I'm of the mind that if you believe strongly in a cause, you should spend your energy seeking to change hearts and minds rather than seeking to change policy. I've always believed that if you win the debate, then the policy will follow. Futhermore, governmental laws and regulation always work best when the vast majority agrees with them. Otherwise, the citizenry will simply find ways to circumvent the law.
So, which is it for you? Were you really trying to make a case or just simply tweak the noses of we "Bush lovers"? If you were engaging simply to provoke a fight, that's cool. Sometimes I do it myself. But your tone has shifted from when you made your first post. I'm not sure what it is you want to achieve.
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 09:21 AM (Zxtyv)
Case in point: low-flow toilets. The things were meant to save water, but they didn't since they had to be flushed more often to get the, um, stuff down.
People started illegally converting their toilets back to the old style monster flushes. Good intentioned policy led to bad environmental effects.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 09:25 AM (V7NgR)
Personally, I'd prefer if you'd eat a big bowl of shit and take your circus act elsewhere, jerk-off.
Lars. Who the fuck names his kid Lars?
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 09:28 AM (Zxtyv)
"If you are arguing that we all should make a few small personal sacrifices in the name of conservation, I agree with you. If you are arguing that we are a wasteful society, I also agree.
If you are arguing for more government regulation, then I disagree"
I'm from Italy, so speaking of government regulation in the US makes little sense to me. I'm glad you agree with me, that is what I wanted to say.
Sorry if my tone has changed, but you're the first one trying to really talk here and I appreciate that. The others just avoided it.
Posted by: Alex at September 01, 2005 09:33 AM (v4vrZ)
Sorry about that. The infestation of guys like Lars boy there has us a bit twitchy.
I think the environmental movement's use of the political system and the courts is what has led to its radicalization and to a certain extent, separation from the lives of ordinary citizens of this country.
Their energy was spent getting political elites to change laws and trying to get government agencies to make rules changes that grew more and more restrictive. By doing this, rather than trying to convince people of their point of view, they have generated no small amount of resentment.
I think people should conserve. I think people should recycle, and try to think of the ultimate end of a particular purchase. For instance, I buy cage-free eggs and farm-raised meat because I don't want to support factory farming. Sure, my dollars going elsewhere might not make a huge difference, but if I can convince others to follow my lead then maybe in a few years things might change.
Anyway, that's what I think on this - the whole hearts and minds argument.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 09:41 AM (V7NgR)
Posted by: David C. at September 01, 2005 09:47 AM (7GPP9)
It is the essential madness of leftists to insist that we feel guilty about the two things living organisms cannot help but do: consume resources and produce waste. And yet they insist no guilt be attached to all sorts of behaviors we can control in ourselves, such as looting or burglary or diseases that arise from promiscuity.
Posted by: S. Weasel at September 01, 2005 09:55 AM (rasT+)
In all my years in academia and out in the real world, I've yet to witness a sheaf of paper do anything other than prop up a wobbly table.
Posted by: Tony at September 01, 2005 10:01 AM (dYcZw)
FEMA is not, and never has been a "first responder" in any normal sense.
FEMA is an administrative unit - they push paper. They'll get you a loan many weeks AFTER THE FACT. Maybe they'll get you a nifty blue FEMA tarp - BUT IT WILL BE SOMEONE ELSE WHO PUTS IT UP.
Anyone who has lived through a hurricane where FEMA was involved knows this.
Posted by: Tony at September 01, 2005 10:09 AM (dYcZw)
Regarding the RedState "debunking":
After most of a screen worth of ad hominem and isinuation that NO really was lost cause anyway, Thomas gets around to making an argument.
The Left would have us believe that the Bush Administration purposefully underfunded the levees, and that this underfunding directly caused (or at minimum, contributed to) the catastrophe in New Orleans. This is wholly false.
He correctly states half the argument, the other half being that the reason for the underfunding was to help pay for the MessO'Potamia and the tax cut.
The idea that the White House and Congress should have magically foreseen a Cat4-5 coming down almost head-on onto New Orleans, and should have therefore increased funding for the levees, and that doing so would somehow have stopped this tragedy, is absurd. It wouldn't last five minutes in even the most Plaintiff-friendly jurisdictions in the Union.
He gets slippery with the argument here. There was no need to "magically" forsee a Cat4-5 storm, that was the reason for the funding of the projects in the first place. Bush's assertion that nobody could have foreseen this possibility is simply, plainly and stupidly wrong, but Thomas takes up the party line anyway. Also, there is no argument that funding should have been increased, rather that the administration was reckless in decreasing the appropriated funding. What mitigation fully funding the projects would have made is of course speculative, but one of the projects was to reinforce the very 17th Street canal that gave way.
Then Thomas returns to the comfort of blaming the government and citizens of NO for not doing it themselves or living elsewhere, and of course more reference to "ghouls" and "gibbering yard apes" before attempting to make more argument.
But let’s stop for a moment and examine the idea that the local government should have done the work. According to the Times-Picayune article that Thomas attributes to Editor & Publisher:
Also that June, with the 2004 hurricane season starting, the Corps' project manager Al Naomi went before a local agency, the East Jefferson Levee Authority, and essentially begged for $2 million for urgent work that Washington was now unable to pay for.
...
The panel authorized that money, and on July 1, 2004, it had to pony up another $250,000 when it learned that stretches of the levee in Metairie had sunk by four feet. The agency had to pay for the work with higher property taxes. The levee board noted in October 2004 that the feds were also now not paying for a hoped-for $15 million project to better shore up the banks of Lake Pontchartrain.
…
The 2004 hurricane season was the worst in decades. In spite of that, the federal government came back this spring with the steepest reduction in hurricane and flood-control funding for New Orleans in history. Because of the proposed cuts, the Corps office there imposed a hiring freeze. Officials said that money targeted for the SELA project -- $10.4 million, down from $36.5 million -- was not enough to start any new jobs.
So we see that the local government tried to keep the work going, ponying up local money to cover the federal shortfall, but they weren’t able to keep up with the underfunding.
Thomas and others have then latched on this bit about funding a study:
There was, at the same time, a growing recognition that more research was needed to see what New Orleans must do to protect itself from a Category 4 or 5 hurricane. But once again, the money was not there. As the Times-Picayune reported last Sept. 22:
"That second study would take about four years to complete and would cost about $4 million, said Army Corps of Engineers project manager Al Naomi. About $300,000 in federal money was proposed for the 2005 fiscal-year budget, and the state had agreed to match that amount. But the cost of the Iraq war forced the Bush administration to order the New Orleans district office not to begin any new studies, and the 2005 budget no longer includes the needed money, he said."
Now it is true that this study, had it even begun, would not have helped NO wrt Katrina. However, the political issue is the Bush administration’s policy priorities and this clearly defines that they prioritize the invasion/occupation of Iraq over protecting NO from Hurricanes. Further, while the study would not have helped NO in the current context it would have provided very useful information on how to rebuild NO.
Thomas continues his argument by noting that, “ A 15-foot wall doesn't contain a 22-foot surge. Once the water is over the levee in any quantity, it starts scouring the levee from the face of the earth. ”. He argues that even IF the Feds had not de-funded the levee projects we would be in the same situation. He quotes the Times-Picayune:
A large section of the vital 17th Street Canal levee, where it connects to the brand new "hurricane proof" Old Hammond Highway bridge, gave way late Monday morning in Bucktown after Katrina's fiercest winds were well north.
But from the original T-P article we find out that:
One project that a contractor had been racing to finish this summer: a bridge and levee job right at the 17th Street Canal, site of the main breach on Monday.
Reading the two articles it would seem that the bridge got finished, but not the levee that gave way.
Finally Thomas ends up arguing that this does show the Bush administration’s priorities and that they are the correct priorities:
governance is an exercise in prioritization. Was it rational and defensible to shift funding from any source toward defense- and war-related activities in the aftermath of 9/11? Of course.
He re-iterates that this prioritization is irrelevant:
The levees were inherently unready: even at maximum proposed funding, their design was only for a Cat3 storm, not the Cat4/5 that Katrina was.
But the levees in fact came very close to holding. For the first 24 hours it looked like NO was in fact spared, but then the 17th St. levee breached.
The T-P article ends with the following indictment of the Bush administration, and I will end with this as well:
The Newhouse News Service article published Tuesday night observed, "The Louisiana congressional delegation urged Congress earlier this year to dedicate a stream of federal money to Louisiana's coast, only to be opposed by the White House. ... In its budget, the Bush administration proposed a significant reduction in funding for southeast Louisiana's chief hurricane protection project. Bush proposed $10.4 million, a sixth of what local officials say they need."
Local officials are now saying, the article reported, that had Washington heeded their warnings about the dire need for hurricane protection, including building up levees and repairing barrier islands, "the damage might not have been nearly as bad as it turned out to be."
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 11:40 AM (u8Zgq)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 11:49 AM (Byr3j)
No. That's idiotic. The fact that local people don't have the big picture is a reason why you have a FEMA, a FEMA that put hurricane hitting NO as #2 disaster it should plan for.
If you want to read one article to understand how FEMA got so f***ed up in just 4 years, you have to read this Sept 04 article by Jon Elliston:
http://tinyurl.com/7ujjf
It's very good, and has some specifics on New Orleans and flooding.
I double-dog-dare you to do it.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 11:59 AM (QuUu2)
What is BDS?
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 12:01 PM (u8Zgq)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 12:02 PM (Byr3j)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 01, 2005 12:06 PM (Byr3j)
Are there enough NG? I'm not seeing/hearing that to be the case. At any rate I definitely read an authority saying that ~35% of the personnel in the LA/MS/AL Gaurd are currently in Iraq and I would think that would have a significant impact on the Guard's ability to respond. Do you disagree?
Posted by: vonKreedon at September 01, 2005 12:10 PM (u8Zgq)
What Bush did to FEMA since 2001 is directly responsible for the horrible mismanagement of the disaster.
Not the disaster, but how it is being (mis)managed. Follow link above. Bush is responsible.
Some call it Baghdad on Bourbon Street.
Looting? Freedom is messy.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 12:11 PM (QuUu2)
Skip to the end to get to the part about NOAA predicting storms of greater intensity.
2001. Scientific American.
George Bush on ABC's Good Morning America, Sept. 1, 2005:
"I don't think anyone anticipated the breach of the levees."
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 12:15 PM (QuUu2)
Posted by: ChrisG at September 01, 2005 12:16 PM (nfnmD)
Posted by: at September 01, 2005 12:19 PM (QuUu2)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 12:19 PM (/vEJR)
Hastert proposed bulldozing itall.
A Dutch engineer suggested the hydraulic sea walls that protect 16M below sea-level in Holland could work.
But that would take a competent administration.
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 12:22 PM (QuUu2)
Posted by: tubino at September 01, 2005 12:23 PM (QuUu2)
Posted by: ChrisG at September 01, 2005 12:24 PM (nfnmD)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 12:24 PM (/vEJR)
Posted by: ChrisG at September 01, 2005 12:27 PM (nfnmD)
By the way, Tubino, it may surprise you to know that I don't think the president is handling this crisis all that well. What I don't like, however, is the speed and the glee with which his political opponents are latching onto a national crisis to score political points.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 12:33 PM (/vEJR)
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 12:40 PM (/vEJR)
You know, the reason why W wasn't reading any of that shit you keep dredging up is because he was getting some massive head from Laura.
And we all know that's a perfectly acceptable excuse for damn near anything, don't we?
So fuck off, ya cunts.
Posted by: Dogstar at September 01, 2005 12:40 PM (KgeNY)
Actually, I kinda like it. It's exactly the asinine behavior that most reasonable people reject, because it offends their sense of fairness. Gets em to the polls.
I hope the moonbats never give it up. So far, I see no reason to worry about it.
Posted by: Dave in Texas at September 01, 2005 12:51 PM (pzen5)
"By the way..." Criminy, what a cliche. Told you I was tired.
Posted by: Slublog at September 01, 2005 12:53 PM (/vEJR)
Since the administration told the states about their intent, and the states refused to step up to fill the gap, we are left with a regrettable gap in our disaster mitigation efforts. But the administration was within its rights to make that decision.
Then we come to FEMA's performance during the flood. FEMA is supposed to coordinate the interaction among the various relief agencies, and handle federal compensation after the disaster. It doesn't actually provide relief itself. So its effectiveness is at the mercy of the response of the other agencies.
Also, why don't you lay some blame on the LA governor, who was late in calling for the National Guard? Why don't you blame the mayor, who didn't set proper guidelines on evacuation and looting?
Finally, my point with quoting the lack of concern of coastal residents was to point out that there wasn't much political pressure to change the administrations policy. And as a side note, your statement that "local people don't have the big picture is a reason why you have a FEMA" is exactly the sort of mind-numbing nanny-statism we abhor.
Posted by: geoff at September 01, 2005 12:53 PM (J0ZE/)
Uhhh...let me guess! 'Cause they're Democrats?
Posted by: The Warden at September 01, 2005 04:04 PM (kZvJO)
Posted by: Howard Dean at September 01, 2005 04:05 PM (/vEJR)
Posted by: digitalbrownshirt at September 01, 2005 06:23 PM (ipjUv)
"'I'm not saying it wouldn't still be flooded, but I do feel that if it had been totally funded, there would be less flooding than you have,' said Michael Parker, a former Republican Mississippi congressman who headed the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers from October 2001 until March 2002, when he was ousted after publicly criticizing a Bush administration proposal to cut the corps' budget." - from the Chicago Tribune, noted by Josh Marshall.
But hey, I'm just a critic, and as we all know here, people who criticize Our Great President are not only unpatriotic -- they're not even human, just "ghouls." (I presume that includes Republicans who have a better grip of facts on the ground than Bush does?)
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 02, 2005 04:53 AM (7wJH5)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 02, 2005 05:00 AM (Byr3j)
PS: I got this from Andrew Sullivan, not the DNC. Yeah, yeah, I know, Sullivan's an evil apostate and all that. Which only proves that people like you can't even fool your fellow conservatives. Deal with it.
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 02, 2005 06:07 AM (7wJH5)
You're doing a fine job and further instructions and talking points are on their way!
Remember, "It's all Bush's fault!"
Posted by: Howard Dean at September 02, 2005 06:10 AM (V7NgR)
Doesn't really matter where you got it, since the entire liberal blogosphere has quoted the same excerpt (and Andrew Sullivan, BTW, has never been a serious conservative). It's about the 5th time it's been posted in the comments here.
As I mentioned on another thread, the fact that Parker was fired (over budget disputes) gives him an axe to grind. Maybe he's maintained his objectivity, but it's at least questionable.
Then, if you go up to digitalbrownshirts linked article, you find that the current head of the ACE says that Parker's wrong. And if you look at what Parker said, it doesn't make much sense in light of what happened. That is, the levees that failed were completed - the funding cuts didn't affect them.
Posted by: geoff at September 02, 2005 06:16 AM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: BrewFan at September 02, 2005 06:33 AM (Byr3j)
Something similar happened at DoD, where several senior officers were forced out for telling Bush and Rumsfeld that they'd need more troops to control Iraq than they were planning to send. Guess what we're finding out the hard way: THEY WERE RIGHT AND RUMMY WAS WRONG! That's why I'm more inclined to believe Parker in this case.
This is part of a pattern with Bush: come hell (terrorism and war) or high water (New Orleans), Bush will not be moved from his original number-one goal, "tax relief." No government project is so important that it can't be shortchanged to keep us from having to pay for what we need.
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 02, 2005 07:27 AM (7wJH5)
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 02, 2005 07:31 AM (7wJH5)
Helluva job!
Posted by: Howard Dean at September 02, 2005 07:32 AM (V7NgR)
Really? Care to tell us who these senior officers are or give us a link to your information?
"THEY WERE RIGHT AND RUMMY WAS WRONG"
Ok, tell me how many more troops we needed and what would have been the effect. Less casualties? I can't wait for this...
Posted by: BrewFan at September 02, 2005 08:10 AM (Byr3j)
Now at last you've gotten to the crux. Yes the tax cuts were fueled in part by budget cuts throughout the federal budget, which resulted in scaling back many services. Bush made the cuts to reduce the tax burden on citizens, and thus to stimulate the economy. Lo and behold, the economy was stimulated - in complete opposition to Paul Krugman's predictions.
You can still argue that the tax cuts weren't worth it, that the cut services and increased deficit are worse than the recession was. I wouldn't agree, and I don't think any further discussion would bring us closer to agreement.
Posted by: geoff at September 02, 2005 08:45 AM (J0ZE/)
Posted by: Raging Bee at September 02, 2005 11:03 AM (7wJH5)
fewer US and Iraqi casualties in the long term;
This is what I thought you'd say and your subsequent points rest upon this one so lets take a look at it. First, why didn't you answer the 'how many' question? If you have sources that say we should have had more troops certainly they told you how many. Well, the reason you can't find that number is because you could send 1,000,000 troops there and not affect the casualty count because of the type of asymetrical warfare thats being fought. An IED that takes out a supply convoy can not be prevented by an airborne infantry division. In this environment the economic law of diminishing returns is a good analogy for what would happen with more troops.
Lastly, it would make your opinions more credible if provided a citation about the 'senior officers' being fired for wanting more troops. There's no doubt a few retired general officers and one who was retiring made these recommendations but I've never seen any credible proof that a senior commander in the field has said we didn't have enough troops. And if you think general officers don't express such opinions I suggest you read Douglas MacArthur's biography.
Posted by: BrewFan at September 02, 2005 11:35 AM (Byr3j)
Posted by: Anonymous at April 08, 2011 03:28 AM (zCWZM)
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