August 31, 2008

Rasmussen, Too: Obama's Dead-Cat Bounce All Gone
— Ace

However, Obama's back where he was: Up by three.

Posted by: Ace at 06:49 PM | Comments (41)
Post contains 23 words, total size 1 kb.

1 I am so happy I am going to toss a wizard off a bridge.

Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 31, 2008 06:50 PM (wgLRl)

2 I'm feeling it, Big Daddy.  This thing is going to steamroll that bastard Obama in a big way.  Know why?  Because normal Americans know a second-rater when they see one.  O and his buddy hairplugs fit that bill to a T.

Posted by: rickinstl at August 31, 2008 06:55 PM (uV1ev)

3 He's up by three ----- today.

This still includes some convention 'bounce' ,such as it was. Going --- Going ---- GONE.

 I expect he will be up by 2 in the very near future, and up by nothing by maybe Thursday. After that if he is lucky he will be tied again. If there is any justice he will be trailing.

For Messiahs --- trailing is very very bad. Leads to questions of faith. Those are always pesky little thingies.

Gallup will soon revert to a +2 / + 3 mode as well. If it goes south too ,barring a disaster in the McCain campaign ,I think the fat lady can start to warm up in earnest.



Posted by: dougf at August 31, 2008 06:58 PM (16GPT)

4

How much $$$ is Obama going to have to spend in order to get a point in the polls? If the bundle they blew on the convention couldnt buy him anything, I doubt he can raise enough to win this election.

Posted by: Tyrtle at August 31, 2008 06:59 PM (BRWtH)

5 It is Labor Day weekend, too. Sarah brought out the crowds today in Missouri.
A chill wind is blowing, people. Now with more Alaska!

Posted by: Stormy70 at August 31, 2008 06:59 PM (Y+o71)

6 It gets better: That poll was taken over three days: Thursday the 28th, Friday the 29th, and Saturday the 30th. That means that it includes data from the thick of the convention, including the day after WJC & Biden gave their speeches. The gap was widening at that point. That means that in the days since then, McCain has closed the gap tremendously. OBAMA GOT NO BOUNCE FROM HIS SPEECH BECAUSE PALIN CUT IT OFF.

It gets EVER BETTER:

Andrew "Milky Loads" Sullivan squats eight plates, and gets turned on by black guys.

Posted by: Masturbatin' Pete at August 31, 2008 07:02 PM (qPHMe)

7 I'm in the mood, I'm gonna eat some hot, young, tasty tacos!

Posted by: John Edwards at August 31, 2008 07:03 PM (fE4SP)

8 I am so happy I am going to toss a wizard off a bridge.

Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 31, 2008 11:50 PM (wgLRl)

WTF!

This day is just full of randomly hillarious shit.

Posted by: Entropy at August 31, 2008 07:04 PM (HgAV0)

9 Damn its getting ugly out there.  The leftards are going absolutely apeshit. 

I've read posts on PUMA sites... these are Democrat sites, folks... where the blue on blue action is just scary.  We might look back wistfully at Dan Rather forging documents and think that was lightweight compared to what's coming.

Posted by: The Chewbacca Defense at August 31, 2008 07:04 PM (nuuDA)

10 You know, this poll isn't helping Michelle's kids.

Posted by: Masturbatin' Pete at August 31, 2008 07:05 PM (qPHMe)

11 You know, this poll isn't helping Michelle's kids.

...but it does benefit someone. Do you know who this benefits?

Mitt Romney.

Posted by: Masturbatin' Pete at August 31, 2008 07:06 PM (qPHMe)

12 No, Pete, but the allegations that Palin's kids aren't does, so it all evens out.

Posted by: Entropy at August 31, 2008 07:06 PM (HgAV0)

13 From a Puma Blog:
http://blog.pumapac.org/2008/08/30/saturday-night-free-for-all/

quote:
"They have also tried to dig into the pasts and personal lives of other Pumas. They have also attacked my mother. Listen up Pumas, if you are in any way public as a Puma be prepared to have any and every embarrassing, disparaging, and damaging fact from your life publicized and ridiculed. If you’ve had a DUI or a speeding ticket, watch out. If you’ve had a business go bankrupt or a check bounced, watch out. If you’ve been divorced or sued, watch out. If you’ve been photographed topless or drunk, watch out. If your lights have been turned off because you couldn’t pay the bill; if your children have been in trouble or you changed your voter registration or moved — WATCH OUT. They are coming for us and they will exploit every angle they possibly can."





Posted by: The Chewbacca Defense at August 31, 2008 07:11 PM (nuuDA)

14 Posted by: Masturbatin' Pete

You, sir, are a trusted commentator!

Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at August 31, 2008 07:12 PM (fE4SP)

15 I don't think Johnny Mac and Palin need to hit Hillary or the feminists right now.  Let the nut roots do it. 

Posted by: The Obvious at August 31, 2008 07:14 PM (1g+FW)

16 Even though Obama is still the man to beat and Republicans will probably lose this presidential election because both Democrat vs. Republican trends so overwhelmingly favor the former... and, worse, because the electoral college map favors Obama in a huge way...

... it's still nice to see McCain fight a good campaign.

Posted by: Christoph at August 31, 2008 07:17 PM (hawOV)

17 For three days the Democrats and Obama's campaign have been publicly debating with McCain's Vice President nominee.

It almost appears as though Obama is fighting to come in second.

That's not a very leaderly appearance.

Posted by: Justin at August 31, 2008 07:20 PM (iH1PP)

18 Well put, John. I wish I could shake your hand in congratulations for your donation to the ticket (which I can't support; I'm a foreigner who's just interested in the underlying issues, like being pro-life in my case).

Posted by: Christoph at August 31, 2008 07:23 PM (hawOV)

19 My last comment went under the wrong thread.

Posted by: Christoph at August 31, 2008 07:23 PM (hawOV)

20

Now if we could just turn around the Congressional races with the oil arguments...

The recriminations in the Democratic Party would be glorious.

Sigh, can't let hopes get away with themselves.

Posted by: MlR at August 31, 2008 07:26 PM (PLmsY)

21 ROWR!

Posted by: Animala at August 31, 2008 07:31 PM (7rbe9)

22 Even though Obama is still the man to beat and Republicans will probably lose this presidential election because both Democrat vs. Republican trends so overwhelmingly favor the former... and, worse, because the electoral college map favors Obama in a huge way---

That's just so wrong IMAO.

The ONLY important thing is the electoral collage total and that map although it favors Obama in terms of the States has  locked up and makes a lot of McCain States must wins, also indicates that there are now only 4 critical States. I think that the others are pretty much decided.

Ohio
Virginia
Nevada
Colorado

I also think that Ohio and Nevada are just about to become pretty much  McCain leaning States. That leaves just two. And frankly I think that McCain has to be considered the clear favorite in Virgina. Not by much but by enough.

That leaves just Colorado and it will be a tough battle but hardly one that cannot, indeed should not, be won.

And this ignores the quite possible gains in New Hampshire,Michigan, and Minnesota. By the time the election rolls around I expect that Detroit's mayor will be out of office or so weakened that the machine there will not be operating at full capacity so Michigan looks ever better for a pickup.

If I were a betting man I would take McCain for teh win and fully expect to make a bundle.

Posted by: dougf at August 31, 2008 07:36 PM (16GPT)

23

I saw somebody today (was it Krauthammer? He's usually not such a jackass...) whining "In a year when generic democrats are beating generic republicans by 10%....".

Dude. Dude. What year hasn't a generic democrat beaten a generic republic by 10%?

1994?

The problem with a 10% lead is generic democrats out-poll actual real democrats by 15-20%.

Posted by: Entropy at August 31, 2008 07:41 PM (HgAV0)

24

PUMA's, Attack!

each other

Posted by: DPR VIII at August 31, 2008 07:42 PM (4XUD3)

25 This was posted in the other thread by "Rocks," and I have to repeat it here because it's brilliant:

"Andi must be going nuts. Obama's convention bounce has gone splat like a milky load on some power glutes."

That and the wizard-off-a-bridge thing win teh intarweb for today!

Posted by: Masturbatin' Pete at August 31, 2008 07:43 PM (qPHMe)

26

The problem with a 10% lead is generic democrats out-poll actual real democrats by 15-20%.

So true. Actual democrats always underperform generic democrats, and real life republican candidates always outpoll generic republicans. It's been that way since at least the reagan administration. 

Posted by: Maetenloch at August 31, 2008 07:44 PM (Ab2VX)

27 While Palin has made a good first impression, the more significant numbers will come a week from now after the nation media has a chance to learn more make up some nasty shit about her.

Posted by: Warden at August 31, 2008 07:52 PM (KXbGD)

28 > I am so happy I am going to toss a wizard off a bridge. I'm as happy as... well, me!

Posted by: 400 Year Old Clam at August 31, 2008 07:56 PM (nKJNN)

29 Traditionally, democrats have led in the polls during the summers.  When school starts and people start thinking reality, democrats usually lose 3 -5 points.  This year, with Sarah Barracuda pulling Joe's hairplugs for all the world to see, I'd expect a bigger lead - and win - for our team.

Posted by: askmom at August 31, 2008 07:58 PM (vGRk0)

30 I am so happy I am going to toss a wizard off a bridge.

Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 31, 2008 11:50 PM (wgLRl)

WTF!

This day is just full of randomly hillarious shit.

It's definitely hilarious, but not quite random.  It's a reference to his name.

Posted by: Dave J at August 31, 2008 08:10 PM (qsGH+)

31 Curiously, RCPs electoral map still shows FL as a toss up.  There is no way Obama takes FL.  Not going to happen.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at August 31, 2008 09:26 PM (6L459)

32

LOL if for ANY reason it was worth putting her on the ticket to give the Messiah the deadest corpse bounce in the history of presidential elections

That doesnt change the fact that the RNC is going to need to get her story out there- loud and clear- to the millions who know nothing about her

I mean if Slow Joe Hairplugzz can get people to like him by giving a speech, then shes gonna blow peoples minds

Posted by: TMF at August 31, 2008 11:19 PM (/YM8H)

33 Im still praying the "whitey" tapes of Meeechelle are real

Posted by: TMF at August 31, 2008 11:20 PM (/YM8H)

34

Now I'm worried.  Are those scandis that palin is hangin with?

 

 

Posted by: Hammer at August 31, 2008 11:43 PM (iq/aE)

35 http://www.softgreenglow.com/wp/        My bad.  I didn't link right, mostly because I am stupid.

Posted by: Hammer at August 31, 2008 11:48 PM (iq/aE)

36 "The One who" once Needed a bounce. But chose a dunce And got a dounce.

Posted by: mrobvious at September 01, 2008 12:58 AM (f1wSu)

37

not quite random.  It's a reference to his name

Yes I'm well aware of the Mines of Moria.

That's what makes it hillarious...

Posted by: Progressive Feminist Male at September 01, 2008 07:06 AM (HgAV0)

38 Dammit.

Posted by: Entropy at September 01, 2008 07:07 AM (HgAV0)

39 I am not really interested in a Mccain win as much as I want to see Obama lose. Because the LULZ that will happen when the DEMS Messiah of Hope and Change falls on his ass will be spectacular.

Remember 2000? The libs will freak out when they try to rationalize how their champion lost. Aligations of voter fraud, racism and UFO's may come into play
Reality will be this is wat happens when you put a lightwirght community organizer of Chichago with only 4 years of Senate Experience up aganist a grizzled War Hero.

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