October 30, 2014

Registered Republicans Outpacing Democrats in Early Vote in Colorado
— Ace

About half the state's vote is already in.

Registered Democrats returned 294,648 of these ballots, or 32.5 percent; registered Republicans were 379,250, or 41.8 percent.

A candidate whose party is outpacing the competition by a 9.3 percentage point margin, with 40 to 45 percent of the ballots counted is in a pretty nice spot. Not rock-solid locked up, but in a nice spot.

Democrats have been depending on heroic GOTV efforts to overcome the fact that they're generally unpopular.

Okay, so where is the fruit of those efforts?

Posted by: Ace at 07:52 AM | Comments (279)
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CBS Poll Shows GOP Ahead by Six on Generic Ballot, Near 2010 Levels; But CBS Hides Its Own Poll
— Ace

Not only did they bury that poll finding in the ninth paragraph of the print piece, they also failed to report it at all on their broadcast report.

Posted by: Ace at 06:56 AM | Comments (205)
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Open Thread
— rdbrewer


Robert Speer Dunning, "Departing Day" (1902)

Posted by: rdbrewer at 06:07 AM | Comments (234)
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Morning Open Thread
— Open Blogger

Stay here while I put something else together.


Do not stray from this thread.


Stay.

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October 29, 2014

Overnight Open Thread (10-29-2014)
— Maetenloch

Quote of the Day

What's conspicuously missing from this whole debate has been any sense of the right to be wrong. For most commenters on the left, it is enough for them merely to declare the Hitching Post's proprietors to be ignorant, backward, and prejudiced, and this automatically justifies the mailed fist of the state coming in to set those bigots straight. They remind me of the old Tom Lehrer joke: "I know there are people out there who do not love their fellow man, and I hate people like that."

-- Robert Tracinski in Gay Marriage and the Right to Be Wrong

Kaci Hickox, America's Sweetheart

The comments to the linked article are uniformly angry. Typical is this: "She makes it REALLY easy to hate her." And that's among the nicer ones.

As of this evening Kaci is still a free-range ebola nurse somewhere in Maine. And isolation protocols - she don't need no pinche protocols. Because Science! bitches.

"I don't plan on sticking to the guidelines," she said Wednesday on NBC's "Today" show, referring to Maine' officials' plan for her to remain quarantined at home through November 10. "I remain appalled by these home quarantine policies that have been forced upon me."

One of Hickox's lawyers, Norm Siegel, told NBC's Matt Lauer state officials had until Thursday to adjust their approach, and if they tried to physically apprehend Hickox, her legal team would take the matter to court.

But the state of Maine may have had just about enough of Saint Kaci of the Order of Unique Snowflakes.

Meanwhile it turns out that Connecticut has 8(!) people under mandatory ebola quarantine. And they are not happy about it. One of them, Ryan Boyko, was exposed to ebola via infected NBC cameraman Ashoka Mukpo yet is metaphysically certain that he does not have ebola. Because credentials and Science! bitches.

"I'm outraged and very upset about the impact that this policy and the subsequent policies in other states will have on the actual fight to contain Ebola in West Africa," Boyko, a Ph.D candidate in the School of Public Health's epidemiology of microbial diseases department, told the Hartford Courant.

Umm how about the the fight to contain ebola in the United States of America? Can we focus on that for just a little bit okay? I know that's racist or something but let's just pretend that Connecticut is like a suburb of West West Africa and that you're actually fighting ebola there where it's still okay to take precautions.

Available Now: The Sexy Recalcitrant Ebola Nurse Costume for Halloween*

sexynurseB04Hi0PCMAAVaWz

* Attitude and entitlement sold separately.

more...

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World Series: Game Seven! [BCochran81]
— Open Blogger

Strap on your cups and your cleats one last time boys and girls. It's the final World Series post.

Again, before we get started on the series itself, there are a couple of baseball related news items I'd like to hit.

4safetyrules.png

First, the weirdest headline that no one is surprised by: Jose Canseco accidentally shoots off finger more...

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Now in Wisconsin, Crowd Makes For the Exits While Obama is in Mid-Drone
— Ace

Via @rdbrewer4 in the sidebar: First time is happenstance...

I'm thinking maybe a lot of these people at these rallies are, how do I put this, paid to be there, or expected to be there as part of their work for the unions.

And like all good union employees, they show up late and leave early.


more...

Posted by: Ace at 02:57 PM | Comments (304)
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Science: Actually, Mass Shooting Incidents Aren't Going Up At All, If You Bother To Do the Actual Research
— Ace

...as Science demands.

Mother Jones is pushing some more fake numbers at the public.

[A] recent article in Mother Jones asserted that we have "entered a new period in which mass shootings are occurring more frequently." This report relied on the well-known list compiled by Mother Jones, which has been one of the key sources used to support the claim made in the last few years that the incidences of mass shootings have accelerated.

Grant Duwe, a researcher with Minnesota's Department of Corrections, and author on mass murders in America, has already run the numbers -- and Mother Jones' numbers are simply wrong. Mother Jones seems to rely only on newspaper accounts of mass shootings, and therefore does not know about a large number of mass shootings which are documented in FBI files but are not easily discoverable through Lexis/Nexis searches of newspapers. And this problem gets worse the further back in time you go:

[T]he underreporting in the Mother Jones list grows more severe the further back in time we go. When looking at the data by decade, we see that the Mother Jones list captured 89 percent of the 18 cases from 2010-2013, 69 percent of the 29 cases from 2000-2009, 55 percent of the 42 cases from 1990-1999, and just 32 percent of the 25 cases from 1982-1989.

Hit the link to see Mother Jones' graph of some mass shootings, showing an upward trend; and then page down to see the author's graph of all mass shootings, showing no particular trend at all.

Posted by: Ace at 12:24 PM | Comments (385)
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The Democrats' Last Line of Defense: College-Educated, Single White Women
— Ace

The Kaci Hickox demographic.

Socially liberal white-collar and single white women look like the fragile last line of defense for Democrats hoping to avoid a Republican sweep in next week's election, according to detailed results from a broad array of new polls.

For the third consecutive election, congressional Democrats are facing the prospect of a decisive rejection by most white voters, including not only white men but also white women who are either married or lack a college degree. But in surveys of both individual Senate races and national preferences on the generic congressional ballot, Democrats are showing stubborn strength with college-educated and single white women.

That performance—combined with preponderant leads among minority voters in almost all surveys—represents the Democrats' best chance of overcoming gaping deficits with the remainder of the white electorate in the key contests.

So that, of course, explains NARAL idiotic ad.

Note, however, that college-educated women actually prefer Republicans on most important issues not related to Condom Scarcity:

Yet in a measure of the party's vulnerability, even that advantage rests on an unsteady foundation: National Pew Research Center and ABC/Washington Post polls conducted in October found that college-educated white women, though strongly preferring Democrats on issues relating to women's health, actually trust Republicans more on both managing the economy and safeguarding the nation's security.

Nevertheless, many such women will vote with their uterii.

In Colorado, Mark Uterus leads Cory Gardner by 27 points among college-educated white women.

As the article points out: College-educated white women are, for voting purposes, minorities.

Speaking of the Lena Dunham Demographic: Kevin Williamson has actually read her memoir.

It's scarifying.

If there is such a thing as actually abusing a child through excessive generosity and overindulgence, then Lena Dunham’s parents are child abusers. Her father, Carroll Dunham, is a painter noted for his primitive brand of highbrow pornography, his canvases anchored by puffy neon-pink labia; her photographer mother filled the family home with nude pictures of herself, "legs spread defiantly." Self-styled radicals from old money, they were not the sort of people inclined to enforce even the most lax of boundaries. And they were, in their daughter's telling, enablers of some very disturbing behavior that would be considered child abuse in many jurisdictions -- Lena Dunham's sexual abuse, specifically, of her younger sister, Grace, the sort of thing that gets children taken away from non-millionaire families without Andover pedigrees and Manhattanite social connections. Dunham writes of casually masturbating while in bed next to her younger sister, of bribing her with "three pieces of candy if I could kiss her on the lips for five seconds . . . anything a sexual predator might do to woo a small suburban girl I was trying." At one point, when her sister is a toddler, Lena Dunham pries open her vagina -- "my curiosity got the best of me," she offers, as though that were an explanation. "This was within the spectrum of things I did."

The whole article is horrifying.

And to end on a lighter note: Charles C.W. Cooke has found the transcript for the full NARAL anti-Cory-Gardener ad.

What you heard earlier today was just an excerpt.

The full ad is much more baroque.


Woman: I miss tampons.

Man: Me too, Sweetpea. Me too.

Woman: And television.

Man: Remember HBO?

Woman: Shut down by Cory Gardner for promoting pre-marital sex.

Man: And the Discovery Channel! Climate change that everyone knows is weirding our weather, Cory flat-out denied it. Now, look at how things are, Hot Legs.

Woman: He’s just not Science, is he?

Man: Exactly, Sugar Tits. This guy has no idea what's going on in the real world. Last year, he took my little brother’s shoes away. Poor Jimmy.

I'm pretty sure that's the first time National Review has published "Sugar Tits" outside the context of a Mel Gibson charging document.


Sorry: I thought it was clear that the Charles C.W. Cooke piece was parody.

However, I guess, given the Lena Dunham stuff (which is unbelievable, but from her own memoir), people weren't quite sure.

But the Charles C.W. Cooke bit is fake.

Posted by: Ace at 11:45 AM | Comments (301)
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Senior Administration Official: We Pressured Israel Not To Take Any Action Against Iran's Nuke Program, and "Now It's Too Late"
— Ace

They're actually bragging about this.

Seth Mandel looks beyond the schoolboy taunts ("chickensh*t," "Asperger-y") to find the real meat of yesterday's story.

The Obama administration wanted to brag through its stenographer that the president had protected the Iranian nuclear program from Israel:

I ran this notion by another senior official who deals with the Israel file regularly. This official agreed that Netanyahu is a "chickenshit" on matters related to the comatose peace process, but added that he's also a "coward" on the issue of Iran's nuclear threat. The official said the Obama administration no longer believes that Netanyahu would launch a preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities in order to keep the regime in Tehran from building an atomic arsenal. "It's too late for him to do anything. Two, three years ago, this was a possibility. But ultimately he couldn’t bring himself to pull the trigger. It was a combination of our pressure and his own unwillingness to do anything dramatic. Now it's too late."


If Iran goes nuclear, those words will be the perfect description of the Obama administration's fecklessness: "Now it's too late."

Meanwhile, the Administration is of course not interested in finding out which Genius of Diplomacy chose to insult an allied world leader in such personal terms.

This could be due to the fact that the insults are quite calculated and coordinated.

Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon traveled to Washington last week expecting to see top Obama administration officials.

Instead, he found himself with a lot of time on his hands.

The White House denied him meetings with Vice President Joe Biden, Secretary of State John Kerry and National Security Adviser Susan Rice. Senior administration officials attributed the snub to numerous negative comments Ya'alon made earlier this year criticizing the administration in general and Kerry in particular

Meanwhile, Israel is protesting Obama's throwing of that beleaguered state "under the bus."

Israel's Economic Minister responded:

Israel is stronger than all of its defamers.

The Prime Minister of Israel is not a private person. He is the leader of the Jewish State and the entire Jewish people. Cursing the prime minister and calling him names is an insult not just to him but to the millions of Israeli citizens and Jews across the globe.

The leader of Syria who slaughtered 150,000 people was not awarded the name "chickenshit". Neither was the leader of Saudi Arabia who stones women and homosexuals or the leader of Iran who murders freedom protestors.

Remember, we were promised that Obama was a man with a "first class temperament." And that his alleged intelligence would allow him to exercise Smart Power and bring peace to the world.

Posted by: Ace at 10:45 AM | Comments (428)
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Marquette Law School Poll: Walker At 50%; Burke, 43%
— Ace


Meanwhile, a majority of the most-likely to vote Millennials now want a Republican-controlled Congress.

This is good news, but not quite as good as it might appear upon first reading. Note that this is the subgrop of Millennials most likely to vote, which is only 26% of the larger group.

Nevertheless:


A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds slightly more than half (51%) of young Americans who say they will "definitely be voting" in November prefer a Republican-run Congress with 47 percent favoring Democrat control -- a significant departure from IOP polling findings before the last midterm elections (Sept. 2010 -- 55%: prefer Democrat control; 43%: prefer Republican control). The cohort --26% of whom report they will “definitely” vote in the midterms -- appear up-for-grabs to both political parties and could be a critical swing vote in many races in November.

The larger group -- including those likely to vote, and those unlikely to vote -- still prefers Democrat control:

While more 18- to 29- year-olds (50%-43%) surveyed in the IOP’s fall 2014 poll would prefer that Congress be controlled by Democrats instead of Republicans, the numbers improve dramatically for the GOP when only young people who say they will "definitely vote" are studied.

Still, that sounds like one of Obama's strongest demographics will be a net wash.

Posted by: Ace at 09:41 AM | Comments (376)
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Seattle Man Attacked By Wrench-Wielding Clown
— Ace

This clown, however, seems to be an Avenging Clown of Wrench Justice.


An intoxicated man with a heavily bleeding head wound told Seattle Police Department officers a man dressed as a clown hit him with a wrench at a house party Saturday night in Maple Leaf.

Officers were called to a home in the 800 block of Northeast 80th Street around 11 p.m. to investigate an assault.

According to the police report for the incident, the owner of the home and other witnesses, who were all clearly intoxicated, said the victim had been acting inappropriately toward a woman at the party, attempting to "spoon" and "rub up on" her. They said the victim eventually went too far and was asked to leave the party.

Meanwhile, in France, two or three evil clowns attempted to block a retiree's car on the street, but fled when other cars arrived.

Posted by: Ace at 08:55 AM | Comments (255)
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Kaci Hickox: I've Decided That I'm Going to Ignore Quarantine and Just Do What I Want
— Ace

Incredible.

She says she's "appalled" by her 21-day home quarantine. Asked if she intended to voluntarily observe the guidelines of the quarantine, she says No.

"I don't plan on sticking to the guidelines. I remain appalled by these home quarantine policies that have been forced upon me, even though I am in perfectly good health and feeling strong and have been this entire time completely symptom free,' said Hickox, who wouldn’t emerge from Maine's 21-day voluntary quarantine until Nov. 10.

"I truly believe this policy is not scientifically nor constitutionally just, and so I'm not going to sit around and be bullied around by politicians and be forced to stay in my home when I am not a risk to the American public."

This, seriously, might be the most obnoxiously special snowflake I've ever seen. Video at the link. She's got a shit-eating grin on through half of this. She's just loving her Moment in the Spotlight.

MKH makes an important point: The reason we have coercive, non-voluntary quarantines is that we have learned through 4,000 years of recorded human history that people will not voluntarily self-quarantine, and will in fact act irrationally as willing agents of plague.

Ebola Doc Craig Spencer actually lied to police and insisted that he'd been boarded up at home during his period of quarantine. Only when they began checking his Metrocard (which records rides taken) did he start admitting he'd been out of his apartment, quite a lot.

The Clerisy Class has decided that it is fashionable to lie about the risks of Ebola. Just yesterday, Chris Hayes claimed that only three people with Doctors Without Borders (MSF, for Medecins Sans Frontiers) had contracted ebola.

In fact, that number is eighteen -- and ten of them died from ebola.

When called on this, Chris Hayes quickly invented a strange distinction -- fifteen of those eighteen people hadn't caught Ebola while working on patients under supervision, but rather, I guess, just living in the Hot Zone.

In other words -- of the 18 infected, only three were infected by the route the CDC and Ignorant Clerisy insists is the only plausible method of transmission (direct contact with a patient while treating him).

Most -- 15 of the 18 -- were just infected by casual contact with carriers.

That's supposed to make us feel less worried about this disease?

Have the Lovers of Science actually worked out any of the Science on this?

more...

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"Sweet Pea, Cory Gardener Denies *Science!*"
— Ace

That's why he's banned birth control, Sweet Pea! That's why there's no condoms anymore, Sweet Pea!!!

Here's your new NARAL ad against Cory Gardener:

Woman: Did you try the corner market?

Man: Of course.

Woman: Grocery store?

Man: Sold out?

Woman: Drug store?

Man: Come on.

Woman: So *everyone's* sold out of condoms? Hmm. How did this happen?

Man: Cory Gardner banned birth control. And now, it's all on us guys. And you can't find a condom *anywhere*. And the pill was just the start. Pell grants my little brother was counting on for college? Cory cut them. Climate change that *everyone* knows is weirding our weather, Cory flat-out denies it. Sweet Pea, Cory denies science!

Woman: Come on!

Man: This guy has no idea what’s going on in the real world.

Lot of that goin' round.

The New York Times just published a whiny piece decrying what they call the "bumpkinization" of politics -- by which they mean pitching ads to non-progressive urban "Science Lover" voters -- and yet they don't seem to notice there's an awful lot of bumpkinization going on on the left, including among the self-alleged Leftist Elite.

As Fat Bastard said about farts: Everyone likes their own brand, eh?

more...

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More Details On the Bugging of Sharryl Attkisson's Computer
— Ace

Transparent.

So CBS News hires an independent computer analyst whom Attkisson identifies as "Jerry Patel," also a pseudonym. He finds a massive amount of suspicious activity in the computer, including the removal of all kinds of log messages. The author describes the scene as "Patel" does his work: "Now he's breathing heavily. It alarms me because it alarms him and he’s not easily alarmed. His voice becomes more formal and he launches into what sounds like a speech for posterity. 'In my professional opinion, someone has accessed this box... I see evidence that shows a deliberate and skilled attempt to clean the log files of activity.'" Intrusions of this caliber, concludes "Patel," are "far beyond the the abilities of even the best nongovernment hackers."

...


More drama arises in September 2013. As White House officials pressure CBS News executives over Attkisson's Benghazi reporting, something goes haywire with her computer. "That very night, with [White House spokesman Eric] Schultz, [White House Press Secretary Jay] Carney and company freshly steaming over my Benghazi reporting, I’m home doing final research and crafting questions for the next day's interview with [Thomas] Pickering. Suddenly data in my computer file begins wiping at hyperspeed before my very eyes. Deleted line by line in a split second: it's gone, gone, gone." Attkisson grabbed her iPhone to record the madness.

Don Allison, a security specialist at Kore Logic, takes a close look at Attkisson's iMac. The results turn up scandalous, as Attkisson writes: "While a great deal of data has been expertly wiped in an attempt to cover-up the deed, Don is able to find remnants of what was once there. There's key evidence of a government computer connection to my computer. A sort of backdoor link that leads to an ISP address for a government computer that can’t be accessed by the general public on the Web. It's an undeniable link to the U.S. government."

Via Mary-Katherine Ham, who links this to the USAToday report from yesterday in which Susan Page called the Obama Administration the greatest threat to the media in history.

Posted by: Ace at 06:25 AM | Comments (182)
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Top Headline Comments 10-29-14
— Gabriel Malor

Happy Wednesday.

Rick Klein's election roundup is worth a look.

The CIA leak case is heating up.

It was misreported last week that the U.S. was heightening security around federal buildings in the wake of the Canada shooting attack. It took a week, but DHS is doing it now.


AoSHQ Weekly Podcast rss.png itunes_modern.png | Stitcher | Download | Ask The Blog | Archives

Posted by: Gabriel Malor at 01:29 AM | Comments (583)
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October 28, 2014

Overnight Open Thread (10-28-2014)
— Maetenloch

Quote of the Day I

Hitherto the plans of the educationalists have achieved very little of what they attempted, and indeed we may well thank the beneficent obstinacy of real mothers, real nurses, and (above all) real children for preserving the human race in such sanity as it still possesses.

-- C. S. Lewis

Quote of the Day II

"Blood, mucus, feces, semen. Now if you came across some strange mucus or feces out there on the or subway or anywhere else, don't eat it."

-- New York TV host Errol Lewis explaining how to avoid ebola. Note that only two of the listed substances are actually on the subway do-not-eat list.

Everyone's Favorite RadFem is Back With a Comprehensive Plan for Utopia

Now before everyone gets too excited I have to tell you that there's a drawback to it: About a half of you are going to have to be killed.

Maybe not murder-death-kill-killed but most definitely euthanized-snuff-killed. And I'm pretty sure you can use that XY-poisoned little brain of yours to guess which half she has in mind.

Before we do anything, the very first measure to adopt is to take all men out of all positions of decision-making immediately, and actually out of any kind of social, professional position whatsoever.

Major serial killers, serial torturers, pimps, pornographers, severe domestic abusers, serial rapists, genocide planners, biocide planners and pedocriminals across the world will simply be euthanised: the decisions will be taken by women in a mass world tribunal for patriarchal crimes. This is by far the best solution, and is the most legitimate, ethical way of reducing male population to more reasonable levels.

Well okay I'm down with starting with the serial killers, serial rapists, and pedophiles.  But honestly I'm iffy on the pimps and pornographers and a bit negative but open to suasion on the Irish and Chinese.

Okay so once we're past that whole male population reduction step, what lies in store for the few XYers that will be allowed to live? Well the short, nasty life of being helots in service to women and Gaia that's what. While women would finally be free to live to their natural six score and ten+ years of being IN CHARGE.

All men at least above 15 (or younger if very asocial) should live separately from women and children, on their own in small huts or studios, isolated from one another and scattered around so that women can keep an eye on them (they should never be in groups or packs, that would be illegal). So it would also be illegal for male adults to impose their presence on females, girls and children. Men would have to care for themselves on their own: food, laundry, etc. No male above his age of puberty would be allowed to receive any kind of service from a female. Their life expectancy would probably drop to the age of 40, but that's how things should be. Women's life expectancy without men would rise to 130 years at least.

...In order to keep all men and post-pubescent boys busy, we'd send them to clean up the vast amounts of detritus, pollution and toxic wastes men have littered and almost killed the world with. Much of the damage to the earth is irreversible, however with a great deal of effort and genius, women will find sustainable, natural and simple ways of healing a lot of the damage men have caused, and send men off to do the dirty work. No man will be allowed to take any decision without female guidance. We know what happens when men decide on their own! DISASTER.

But of course there are some downsides too.

PIV would be illegal too of course, as well as the initiation of any verbal or physical contact to women and girls or boy children, unless solicited by a woman for specific matters. I'm not sure what to do about boy children. Obviously you know my opinion, but let's say that's up to the mother to decide what she wants to do before he turns of age to leave the female family circle.

But on the other hand just think of all the possibilities of non-PIV reproduction now open to you ladies. I mean come on who wouldn't prefer some kind of budding process to the current man-PIV-tainted childbirth process?

The number of children and human population will naturally decrease to sustainable levels, so will the number of males born. Women will be free to experiment parthenogenesis or procreation with two female eggs.

Also banned: nuclear families, private ownership of land, war!, schools, meat, oral sex (just playing a hunch on this one), states, laws, and catty remarks about recent weight gain (also playing another hunch).

Next step: universal Feminist paradise. Yay!

But don't worry - the Onion has already covered this plan.

more...

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Fox Reports State Department Memo, Planning Possible Treatment of Non-US Citizen Ebola Patients
— Ace

Huh.

Posted by: Ace at 04:09 PM | Comments (228)
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