August 31, 2010
Ah, Old Friend, layered chocolate and vanilla Jello Pudding...
How I have missed your cold and squooshy embrace.
[PuddingSkull via The MegaIndependent]
Murkowski: "Based on where we are right now, I dont see a scenario where the primary will turn out in my favor.
Also: "For the good of the state of Alaska, I am conceding the race for senator."
Oh Dear: Joe Miller's camp just tweeted mention of us and pudding, before a sane hand deleted it.
But DrewM. screencapped it.
By the way, that's Joe Miller not saying that himself, but retweeting (reposting) Stace McCain saying it. Still -- score.
— Genghis Its Maetless Tuesday.
He had to take the night off so it looks like youre stuck with me. Please try to keep the cheering to a reasonable level. By which I mean it'd be reasonable if there was some actual cheering rather than the sound of crickets chirping. Hello? Anyone here?
Love hurts. And sometimes it's fatal:
"BAKERSFIELD, Calif. (AP) - A doctor involved in an "on-again, off-again" relationship apparently tried to force her way into her boyfriend's home by sliding down the chimney, police said Tuesday. Her decomposing body was found there three days later."
"Dr. Jacquelyn Kotarac, 49, first tried to get into the house with a shovel, then climbed a ladder to the roof last Wednesday night, removed the chimney cap and slid feet first down the flue, Bakersfield police Sgt. Mary DeGeare said."
"While she was trying to break in, the man she was pursuing escaped unnoticed from another exit "to avoid a confrontation," authorities said."
Sad, yet weird on many levels. The article comes with a photo of the scene. About four feet away from the chimney she tried to climb down is a flimsy looking door with a large glass pane and on the other side is a rather large window. Neither of those paths of entry would've worked for the good doctor? Seems like she was working her way down the list of ways to break in, but in reverse: hardest to easiest. I'm guessing she had to abandon the shovel approach because she was trying to dig her way in under the foundation.
Origins of "The Bunk:"
As AoSHQ continues to grow in readership, in its attempt to conquer the known universe, new and confused readers make the mistake of being assimilated here and are transformed into morons (and if you hang around the ONT, you aren't even worthy of that designation: you become "sub-moron." And there is no hope for you.)
Often, however, some ask about long-standing inside jokes while they still can, knowing that their last few remaining active brain cells are quicky passing into darkness and oblivion. I've been pestering Ace for awhile to post some kinda' FAQ 'splaining some of these things but he's too bizzy hanging out on his new motor yacht/face down in a gutter somewhere. It's like he thinks he owns the place or something.
So here's about all I could find on YouTube concerning "bunk." I hope it helps.
If you can find a better version, post it in the comments and I'll replace it. If not, maybe some of you old-timers can monkey-type explanations of other AoS traditions/outrages for some of the newcomers/lurkers so they can feel right at home. And so they can feel despair.
There are no kittehs below the fold tonight. At least none in the domestic pet sense. more...
— Ace We already know what he'll say: You're welcome.
The I's will have it.
We know he'll say:
This is a promise I made, which has been kept, even though the promise was to get all troops out of Iraq.
I did this. Even if it was Bush's timetable.
The surge? Never heard of it.
The troops...? They, maybe, had something to do with this. But mostly, you know, it was me.
"Need to rebuild our nation here at home." Standard McGovern/Mondale/Jesse Jackson paradigm.
"Our unity at home was tested." Ah, you mean Democrats made political points off dead soldiers' bodies? Yes, I suppose our unity was tested, if that's what you mean.
Throwing the troops some credit.
Actually, being honest, nothing through this part was particularly objectionable, or, even, nit-pickingly objectionable.
Ah, here we go. Back to the Jesse Jackson paradigm. $12 trillion spent on war (???), need to shore up the middle class with all this War Money we've been spending.
Basically blaming his current economic mismanagement on Bush's decisions on war seven and a half years ago.
Is this dirtbag really using an opportunity to thank the troops as a campaign commercial for his failed economic policies? I think he is.
— Ace Stay tuned...
— Ace Murky is outperforming her election-day performance, which becomes a problem when she starts getting above 50%... below that, and she continues losing votes, above that, she eats into Miller's lead.
It looks like in most areas she will be above 50%. But how far above?
Counting from Miller's own stronghold of the Mat-Su valley (Palin's area) got him about +150 votes, which is okay, but not as many as Murky got from hers. He still has Fairbanks; but she still has "the bush," which, the thinking goes, will support her because they like her style of Big Daddy federal dollar subsidies.
5000+ votes have been counted, I think, leaving maybe 6000 to go, and Miller still has a 1400 vote edge.
4:29pm: The Anchorage Daily News reports that the latest batch of absentees came from the Mat-Su valley, specifically House Districts 13 through 16. Crunching the numbers myself, on election day, Murkowski won 38% of the vote in those districts. Among the absentees, she's picking up nearly 48% of the vote -- a much bigger improvement than among the Anchorage absentees, but she still has a long way to go.
Districts 13-16 The Anchorage Daily News reports this latest batch of new ballots was from Districts 13-16 -- the Mat-Su Valley (Palinland). Miller won 62.12% of the vote in those districts on Election Day, but he only won 52.33% of the new ballots from those districts. With all of today's ballots, Murkowski is now out-performing her Election Day numbers in all districts that have been counted today by 5.9%. If that were to continue in all districts across the state, she would need a total of 16,690 new ballots to be counted to pass Miller.
I don't know whose blog that's from -- if you know, please tell me.
Bear in mind Murky's overperformance, and Miller's underperformance, aren't really unexpected -- I always thought that these ballots would skew Murky due to the fact that many were cast long before Miller appeared viable (and before anyone really heard of him).
So is The Other McCain.
Hey, Guys! I Just Found A Stack of Ballots! But of course you did, darling.
Update: But Was That From a Murky Stronghold in Anchorage?
Joe Miller Camp Says This Is Good News
— Ace Update: Oh, God.
Murkowski netted 343 votes in first 2,391 absentees. 57%.
At that rate, she will net just enough votes to overtake Miller.
Update: cinyc writes:
The Alaska Daily News reports the first batch came from HDs 17-26 in Anchorage, which went 53-47 Murkowski on election night. So she ran about 4 points ahead of her election night tally in those votes. That alone probably wouldn't put her over the top. But we need to see how the Miller strongholds voted before concluding anything.
Is That The Strongest Punch You've Got? The Miller camp says it reads this as a positive thing -- if those numbers come from a Murky stronghold and that's all she could eke out, maybe he'll be okay.
The Alaska Division of Elections said it expects to count 15,272 absentee, questioned and early ballots Tuesday. They're part of at least 25,500 outstanding ballots that remain to be counted one week after Miller stunned political watchers by nearly upsetting Murkowski.
The delay in vote counting is not unprecedented.
Alaskans two years ago also were kept in suspense waiting to find out who would capture the state's other U.S. Senate seat.
A week after Election Day in November 2008, roughly 30 percent of the vote -- about 90,000 ballots -- had not been counted in the race between incumbent Republican Ted Stevens and his challenger, Democrat Mark Begich.
Stevens, who died earlier this month in an airplane crash, led Begich, the mayor of Anchorage, by 3,257 votes. Begich prevailed when the early, absentee ballots and questioned ballots were tallied.
Votes trickle in slowly from "the bush."
And Mike Pence has a guy helping Miller out:
Hm. . RT @mattklewis: RT @RickKlein: Intriguing 2010/2012 tidbit: @RepMikePence has a press staffer up in Alaska helping @JoeWMiller #AKSEN
Yeah he's running.
— Ace Slate? Slate? The amateur online webzine staffed by people who couldn't get hired by TNR?
Not So Easy, Is It?
How Obama's struggles with disaster and war may be casting Bush's presidency in a more favorable light.
By John Dickerson
Posted Monday, Aug. 30, 2010, at 7:51 PM ET
In November, George W. Bush will publish a memoir, Decision Points, in which he will try to put the tough moments of his presidency into perspective. His successor is already helping. On Sunday, President Obama spoke in New Orleans to commemorate the fifth anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. On Tuesday, he will speak to the nation about the final stage of the Iraq war. The back-to-back events could be called the Cleaning Up Bush's Messes Tourwhat many Democrats would call the entire Obama presidency so farand yet both events highlight Obama's struggles with disaster and war, potentially putting his predecessor in a more favorable light.
The relevant similarity between the federal response to Katrina and the BP oil spill (other than geography) is that both show the limits of the presidency and the federal government....
Sen. Obama not only expected the surge to fail; he saw it, incorrectly, as yet another example of Bush's inability to adapt to reality. President Obama, at least, does not face that criticism. He has based his strategy in Afghanistan on the same counterinsurgency strategy that was central to Bush's surge. He's done more than borrow his predecessor's strategyhe's also borrowing his language. Of these two quotes, which is Obama and which is Bush?
A) "If I didn't think that it was important for our national security to finish the job then I would pull them out today, because I have to sign letters to these families who have lost loved ones."
B) "If we can't win, I'll pull us out. I'm not going to keep those kids in there and have to deal with their loved ones."
DrewM. mentions that in a recent PPP poll, independents (and all voters as a group) in Ohio prefer Bush over Obama.
We'll start rolling out our Ohio poll results tomorrow but there's one finding on the poll that pretty much sums it up: by a 50-42 margin voters there say they'd rather have George W. Bush in the White House right now than Barack Obama.
Independents hold that view by a 44-37 margin and there are more Democrats who would take Bush back (11%) than there are Republicans who think Obama's preferable (3%.)
Answer to the quote question, BTW: A was Obama and B was Bush.
— Ace Very good piece, read the whole thing.
The left is furiously blasting Washington Post TV Critic Tom Shales for stating what was obvious to everyone, that Amanpour is out of place, completely clueless about US politics and insists on internationalizing domestic issues. But shooting the messenger won't save Amanpour. Her hiring is only the latest manifestation of a media that is too radicalized to save itself. Bringing in a personality from the sinking ship that is CNN was obviously a bad idea on commercial grounds alone. Amanpour left CNN, for the same reason that Campbell Brown did. And ABC News taking Amanpour in, demonstrates that they share CNN's bad judgment.
Unlike ABC producers, Americans are not interested in an "outsider's perspective" on American politics. They can get that from the White House. Threatening to stab Tom Shales with a knife won't change that either.
Amanpour's promise to "open a window on the world" for what she imagines are parochial American viewers is condescending even to those who agree with her. It's grating to those who don't. Because Amanpour's window is the parochial European left-wing window from which you can see Brussels, but not Iowa, a stifling world that is upper class in its arrogance, and low class in its empathy for terrorists. ABC News producers may be determined to bring that tiny dollhouse of a world to Americans, but who exactly is supposed to underwrite this project? The BBC and its outrageous salaries are funded by taxpayers. ABC has to pay its own way.
Lenin called on Communists to seize the telegraph offices, telephone stations and post offices in order to control the means of communication. The American left has seized the means of cultural communication, hijacking the media, the educational system and entertainment, and turning them into vehicles for their brand of political indoctrination. And they've managed to badly devalue all three. The American educational system is a shell of what it used to be, the media is imploding and the entertainment industry keeps hitting new lows. Just as in the USSR and Venezuela and everywhere else, what the radical left controls, it also destroys.
Thanks to Pocono Joe.
Here's a funny, unrelated thing. Jon Stewart was talking about the bedbug epidemic, which, by the way, seems to be an EPA-engineered pestilence, because they no longer permit pesticides that actually work. So you'll just have to live with them, okay?
Anyway, Isabella Rossellini had recently done some bizarre documentary called "Green Porn" about animal mating rituals and techniques. Her bit on bedbugs was particularly creepy:
— LauraW Oh my. My, my, my.
Obama's State Department referred to Arizona's immigration law in a report to the UN Human Rights Commissioner. This law remains overwhelmingly popular with the American people. So popular that it is being used as a model by other states' legislatures.
So naturally it has been presented to the UN as an example of something we are doing wrong.
Most politically savvy president ever!
By doing so, Obama officials undoubtedly hope to stir up international condemnation of the Arizona policy in advance of the UN General Assembly meetings in September, which they believe will increase pressure on Arizona to back down. It is a highly cynical move that speaks volumes about the Obama teams willingness to undercut American sovereignty and popular will on the world stage.
This approach has rightly been strongly condemned by Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, who described the Arizona reference in the government report as downright offensive, and called on it to be removed. The State Department has just announced that it will stand by its decision to include Arizona in its UN submission, with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton strongly in favour of it.
Here's some more advice for Lefties that I know is going to go completely ignored.
You cannot prove how much you love the United States by constantly looking for ways to debase and embarrass her for the amusement of international thugs and scumbags. This behavior undermines your claims of fidelity and admiration very gravely.
When you insist on doing these things, this is what most other American citizens think to themselves:
* Our President and our State Department are pathetic sniveling poodles to repugnant regimes that do not share our values and who hate us.
* Our President's administration does not serve their fellow citizens, but disdains them, and do not seem particularly moved by commonsense demands for safety and rule of law.
Thank you, lefties. Another stick to beat you with in November, you America-hating idiots.
Related: Gabe tips that the nonpartisan, nonpolitical, and completely objective DOJ continues to harass Arizona over illegal immigration issues.
— Ace A new book is out claiming, for the eight millionth time, that it is.
Andrew Sullivan, who vowed that gay marriage would not change conventional marriage one iota and who further vowed that gay marriage would have the salutary effect of reducing and restraining gay male promiscuity, is championing the book, declaring, again, that heterosexual breeders really need to get over their hang-ups about having multiple partners and embrace polyamory.
By the way, he never, ever seems to notice that he's grossly contradictory or outright lying. It just never occurs to him there's an inconsistency here.
Megan McArdle has read the book, too. She writes:
I'm in the middle of Sex at Dawn, the book that's caught the attention of a number of commentators, including Dan Savage and our own Andrew Sullivan. I'm about halfway through the book, and so far, I'm disappointed to say that it reads like fucking cock-twaddle.
Actually, she said "horsefeathers," but I knew what she really wanted to write, so I changed it.
As someone who's wary of evolutionary biology stories which just happen to tell us that our dominant social structures are "natural", I should find the book interesting. Unfortunately, it reads like an undergraduate thesis--cherry-picked evidence stretched far out of shape to support their theory. The language is breathless rather than scientific, and they don't even attempt to paper over the enormous holes in their theory that people are naturally polyamorous.
For example, like a lot of evolutionary biology critiques, this one leans heavily on bonobos (at least so far). Here's the thing: humans aren't like bonobos. And do you know how I know that we are not like bonobos? Because we're not like bonobos. There's no way observed human societies grew out of a species organized along the lines of a bonobo tribe.
She then links this gay guy over at Scientific American, who questions this evolution-says-we're-supposed-to-be-promiscuous thesis. If evolution and "nature" really want us to just have sex with as many partners as we like, why has evolution and "nature" given us such a profound check on such behavior -- sexual possessiveness of our partner's exclusive affection, heart-break over a partner's infidelity, and empathy for our partners making us not wish to hurt them in this very painful way?
Heartbreak is every bit as much a psychological adaptation as is the compulsion to have sex with those other than our partners, and it throws a monster of a monkey wrench into the evolutionists otherwise practical polyamory. Its indeed natural for peopleespecially mento seek sexual variety. My partner once likened this to having the same old meal over and over again, for years on end; eventually youre going to get some serious cravings for a different dish. But I reminded him that people arent the equivalent of a plate of spaghetti. Unfortunately, we have feelings.
Unless you have the unfortunate luck of being coupled with a psychopath, or have the good fortune of being one yourself, broken hearts are not easily experienced at either end, nor are they easily mended by reason or waved off by all the evolutionary logic in the world. And because were designed by nature to be not only moderately promiscuous but also to become selfish when that natural promiscuity rears its headagain, naturallyin our partners, reasonable people are far from immune to getting hurt by their partners open and agreed-upon sex with other parties. Monogamy may not be natural, but neither is indifference to our partners sex lives or tolerance for polyamory. In fact, for many people, especially those naively taking guidance from evolutionary theorists without thinking deeply enough about these issues, polyamory can lead to devastating effects.
He quotes an anthropologist who outlines the basics of the phenomenon we know as heartbreak, and the clinical description of heartbreak is itself sort of heartbreaking.
There is little doubt that many of us, gun to our heads, would admit, "Sure, I'd like to see what that other person not my spouse is like in bed."
But the polyamory proponents conveniently forget about the directly contrary impulses -- inborn instinct and drive, it seems, every bit as "natural" and "Darwinian" as the spread-the-seed impulse -- that keep most of us monogamous at least most of the time.
There's no doubt that one of these two impulses must be suppressed -- either the impulse to cheat must be suppressed, or the impulse to not wish to hurt someone close to you must be suppressed.
It's not surprising that a confirmed malignant narcissist like Andrew Sullivan thinks it's the latter that's screwing up everyone's good time, and thrills over books that justify ("Science!") sexual sociopathy.
Via Instapundit, who notes a funny comment in McArdle's comment section.
How Sullivan Thinks... He's an extremely narcissistic guy -- he's always contriving some reasons why his personal preferences are morally required to be everyone's preferences.
Hence, his creation, as critics called it, a one-man political party, the Party of Andrew. And then later, when he found the 2000 year old church to contradict the Sacred Scrolls of Sullivan, the Church of Andrew.
So here's what's going on: He has a lot invested in the idea that gay marriage must be equal to, in every way, if not superior to, straight marriage, because he's in a gay "marriage." (Apparently one with a loosey-goosey policy on fidelity.)
Now, if he doesn't feel this same need that most straights do to be monogamous, that would imply that his marriage is deficient in some manner; that he is deficient in some manner. That would imply that gay marriage is... lesser than straight marriage, as it lacks (for him, at least) one of the main features of straight marriage.
He can't have that. He can't and he won't.
Thus, any heterosexual (or homosexual, for that matter) who retains a sentimental attachment to the ideal of lifelong exclusive commitment must be irrational and fundamentally broken in some manner. Science ("Science!") must endeavor to prove this.
And to prove that Sullivan is as he conceives himself -- the most superlative life-form on the planet Earth (and probably most other planets, too, but he'll get to them as time permits).
— DrewM Given that the polling is pretty consistent on this issue, shouldn't the MFM start calling Obama, Bloomberg and other supporters of the Ground Zero Victory mosque "fringe elements" and "a tiny minority"?
A poll released Tuesday found 71 percent of New Yorkers want the developers of an Islamic center and mosque near ground zero to voluntarily move the project.
The Quinnipiac University poll finds the same percentage of New Yorkers want Attorney General Andrew Cuomo to investigate sources of funding for the project in lower Manhattan.
Cuomo, a Democrat running for governor, has said little about the issue. He says it's protected by the Constitution, although he will investigate if concerns are found.
The poll finds 53 percent of registered voters feel the Muslim developers shouldn't be allowed to build a couple blocks from ground zero. Yet about the same share says they have a right to.
Obviously, just because 70% of people think something doesn't mean they are right. Still, you'd think the fringe minority element would take a moment to reflect and consider why they are so far outside the American mainstream. They never do because in this case the 'wackos' are the self anointed arbiters of "right thinking" and morality. Sure less than 30% agree with them but as long as it's the right 30% and they are in it together, then they are the holders of wisdom and the masses just don't get it.
Funny how 20% who think Obama is a Muslim* shows a dangerous rise in the number of lunatics in the country but 29%? Oh, well, that's an important sector of the American public who must be listened to and celebrated.
Two strange stories that are related enough:
The FBI actually has to defend itself from CAIR types for having the temerity to invite Robert Spencer to speak to a terrorism task force.
*Just to be clear, no, I don't think Obama is a Muslim.
— Ace At Hot Air, this gem:
President Obama's top education official urged government employees to attend a rally that the Rev. Al Sharpton organized to counter a larger conservative event on the Mall.
"ED staff are invited to join Secretary Arne Duncan, the Reverend Al Sharpton, and other leaders on Saturday, Aug. 28, for the 'Reclaim the Dream' rally and march," began an internal e-mail sent to more than 4,000 employees of the Department of Education on Wednesday.
Although the e-mail does not violate the Hatch Act, which forbids federal employees from participating in political campaigns, Education Department workers should feel uneasy, said David Boaz, executive vice president of the libertarian Cato Institute.
"It sends a signal that activity on behalf of one side of a political debate is expected within a department. It's highly inappropriate ... even in the absence of a direct threat," Boaz said. "If we think of a Bush cabinet official sending an e-mail to civil servants asking them to attend a Glenn Beck rally, there would be a lot of outrage over that."
Well, as Michelle Obama said, Barack Obama isn't going to allow you to live your normal lives.
— Ace His pitch:
This year's Republican primary in Alaska has come down to a fight between the establishment and the conservative grassroots. Unfortunately, Joe Miller and his homegrown base of conservative Alaskans are facing legal battles with well-funded special interests committed to maintaining the status quo in Washington.
With your support, Joe can continue his momentum; stave off the inevitable lawsuits, and cross the finish line with another victory for the conservative movement. Please donate 50, 75, or 100 dollars to preserve the integrity of Alaska's electoral system and ensure that the true conservative is on the ballot in November.
— Ace Really good. The first couple of minutes are so-so, but give it a chance until he gets on a rhetorical roll.
— Ace A guest post by Michael Smith of Heritage Alliance.
I asked Michael Smith to write us up a guide to organizing before the election. He'd offered advice in this area before, and I thought I should take him up on it.
Below, his essay. It's a great, detailed DIY guide to local organizing (and local insurgency). A lot of people like to blog or comment because they feel they don't have a voice in our actual politics; I know that was the main reason I started.
But, for those with a bit of social agility and talent for organization (and if you haven't tried, maybe you have that talent but don't know it yet), there is a more tangible way to have a real voice in politics.
I know that if morons here were well-represented up in NY-23 we never would have had to learn to spell the name "Dede Scozzaflava" or whatever the hell it was called.
Grassroots Organization... For Morons
by Michael Smith,
Nolan Ryan used to annoy sports reporters because every time they'd ask him the same mindless pre-game question they ask all the other players ("What's it going to take to win tonight?"), he'd give the same answer: "The key to winning this ball game is to outscore the opposition."
Now that conservatives have been throwing rallies, renting billboards, and crashing town halls for 18 months, they're coming to realize that by 7 p.m. Nov. 2, what counts is how many votes they've put on the board.
How to get votes? Organization. When it's done right, it wins elections--and it's just about the only way to beat an incumbent.
More importantly this season: While felons and Democrat election officials can steal a close one, they can't beat a blowout. We need a blowout.
Organizing voters simply means having the names and contact information for, and communicating with, people who vote like you in your area. That area can be as small as your block, precinct, state legislative district, or U.S. Congress district--whatever you think that you, as an activist, can handle.
But why bother? Especially if you live in a safe GOP district, or the opposite--one designed as a corral for Democrats. Either way, can you hope to move the needle?
Damn the torpedoes! Choose from any of the following valid reasons to organize:
* Small numbers can swing primaries, when only 10 percent of registered voters show up.
* Are all your representatives--state house, state senate, U.S. Congress--solid conservatives? Nothing can get them voting right faster than the knowledge that somebody is organizing voters in their district. If they don't, the primary is their term limit. (And, as Ace noted recently, the primary is where personnel changes must be made. By general-election time, the choice is often between meh and bleah.)
* Many states (such as Texas, where I live) need to build a big state-house majority for redistricting. Since 2006 they've suffered with Democrats in seats that had always been "safe" Republican.
* There's no guarantee that the Republican who replaces your Democrat this November won't turn RINO. More on that later.
But let's look at how organizing benefits you personally.
— Geoff Good News: By the end of the year we'll have doubled the number of Predators patrolling the southern border!!
Bad News: We currently have 3.
Thanks to Andy at Lost Chicken Blog.
— Gabriel Malor
Brand Democrat™ from Slublog.
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