April 30, 2008
— Ace Note, however, who was polled: Not Democratic voters specifically.
A survey of 571 registered likely voters in North Carolinas May 6 Democratic primary shows Sen. Hillary Clinton having moved from a double digit deficit in an InsiderAdvantage poll taken in mid-April to a two point lead over Sen. Barack Obama in this telephone survey, conducted April 29. The survey was weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8%
The results were:
Hillary Clinton: 44%
Barack Obama: 42%
Prior to his appearance on FoxNews Networks Hannity & Colmes, on which the poll was released, InsiderAdvantages Matt Towery noted: The shift has come almost entirely from white voters age 45 and over. There was a small drift of African-Americans back towards Clinton, but not so significant as to establish any trend.
I believe when all is said and done, Obama will likely carry North Carolina; or if he loses the race, it will be by just a few points.
I have seen some polls which show her closing, but I need a second or third poll to come out to establish a trendline.
And, is she really gaining in Indiana?
Posted by: eddiebear at April 30, 2008 06:58 PM (ROjYS)
Posted by: eddiebear at April 30, 2008 07:04 PM (ROjYS)
And as long this contest continues, the sparring continues and the negative attacks escalate.
Posted by: Bart at April 30, 2008 07:04 PM (Ub6Jo)
Posted by: someone at April 30, 2008 07:04 PM (2z2WN)
Yup. I think Rush was a bit off target by calling a halt to Chaos earlier this week.
Posted by: eddiebear at April 30, 2008 07:06 PM (ROjYS)
Posted by: Kid The Billy at April 30, 2008 07:06 PM (hoevv)
Posted by: David Ross at April 30, 2008 07:11 PM (AvUHE)
Well, Rush put it into neutral in order to perhaps reverse course and start pushing Barry "Wright" Obama now. Gotta prop up the loser.
Posted by: someone at April 30, 2008 07:11 PM (2z2WN)
Posted by: JB at April 30, 2008 07:13 PM (fJE/w)
Where do I write to subscribe to your newsletter?
Posted by: Nom de Blog at April 30, 2008 07:14 PM (5/uG4)
Posted by: DrewM. at April 30, 2008 07:18 PM (hlYel)
Posted by: Kid The Billy at April 30, 2008 07:20 PM (hoevv)
Posted by: JorgXMcKie at April 30, 2008 07:43 PM (3fkIA)
A: Because Obama can then be painted as the "black candidate" or the "black people's choice" for president. Which is true. Blacks are voting for him because of his skin color.
So let Obama win in NC with a big A-A turnout. Then Clinton can say that she's the candidate "for all of the people."
Obama and his ball-washers can then scream "racist!" and the DNC will be in turmoil.
Posted by: Bart at April 30, 2008 07:56 PM (Ub6Jo)
That would be the worst possible result for the Repubs this cycle, wouldn't it?
Posted by: someone at April 30, 2008 07:57 PM (2z2WN)
Obama out of the race would really demoralize the young voters, the KOSkids, the people who might consider Nader, and of course, many black voters. Those who like Hillary are pragmatic and are willing to chose a different candidate. Those who adore Obama, at least many of them, are not so pragmatic, and think Obama is their messiah.
Obama out is still unlikely, but it would really F up the dems.
Posted by: Gohuckyourself at April 30, 2008 08:04 PM (8jYMc)
But Obama *bowing* out -- with a possible grand coalition VP spot (though he'd be a fool to take it, as Clinton association would tarnish him as it did Gore) -- would mean forced unity until November.
Posted by: someone at April 30, 2008 08:09 PM (2z2WN)
Posted by: someone at April 30, 2008 08:30 PM (2z2WN)
so did I.
Posted by: eddiebear at April 30, 2008 08:34 PM (ROjYS)
Posted by: JB at April 30, 2008 08:54 PM (fJE/w)
Posted by: JB at April 30, 2008 09:16 PM (fJE/w)
Posted by: Gohuckyourself at April 30, 2008 09:30 PM (8jYMc)
I don't think either Hillary or Obama will deign to be VP for the other. Too much ego.
I just wanna see that marxist polesmoker Obama get his ass handed to him.
Posted by: along came Jones at May 01, 2008 01:41 AM (KOkrW)
DEMS are heading for unavoidable chaos, this is why Romney bowed out early, set up the GOP with a front runner while they sit back and watch the DEMS rip themselves apart.
Posted by: GTBurns at May 01, 2008 01:42 AM (iInYK)
Posted by: davod at May 01, 2008 02:30 AM (llh3A)
This poll is just so Obama can claim to be the comeback kid.
Posted by: davod at May 01, 2008 02:31 AM (llh3A)
Posted by: V the K at May 01, 2008 03:15 AM (/0sRQ)
Posted by: Kempermanx at May 01, 2008 03:50 AM (ANRVq)
Posted by: Dick Nixon at May 01, 2008 04:19 AM (/2xR+)
I now officially believe that it is time to MOVE ON! from all of this Obama-bashing. For a little while.
QUINNIPIAC POLL SAYS CLINTON OUT-PERFORMING OBAMA V. MCCAIN IN KEY STATES
Clinton leads McCain by 14 points in Pa., 8 in Fla. and 10 in Ohio. Obama trails McCain in virtual ties in Fla., Ohio, leads him by 9 points in Pa.
By Peter L. DeCoursey
HARRISBURG (May 1) Presumptive Republican presidential nominee U.S. Sen. John McCain of Arizona trails U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., by 8 or more percentage points in the new Quinnipiac Swing State Polls in the key fall election swing states of Pennsylvania, by 14 points, Ohio, by 10 points, and Florida, by 8 points.
Posted by: CJ at May 01, 2008 05:01 AM (9KqcB)
Posted by: serena at November 23, 2008 10:56 PM (JTx2M)
Posted by: serena at November 23, 2008 10:59 PM (JTx2M)
Posted by: serena at November 23, 2008 11:03 PM (JTx2M)
Posted by: 钢丝绳 at November 08, 2009 08:12 PM (SIx8Q)
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