December 31, 2006

Sweet: Around 10 House Seats Will Migrate From Blue To Red States After 2010 Census
— Ace

For a potential net pickup of +20 seats, though, as everyone now clarifies, that would assume all of these seats would in fact be red. Which they won't be; they'll just be in red states, and red states have lots of blue areas. In fact, maybe it's the blue areas, the cities and adjoining suburbs, which will get almost all of the new seats.

Barone thinks it's good for a +10 pickup, at best.

But for presidential election purposes, that's +20 voters in the electoral college controlled by voters in red states.

Not too shabby.

Of course, with all of this movement south and west, one also has to consider that some of the migrants from the blue northeast and midwest might flip a red state to purple or even blue. Colorado seems one of the lower-hanging of fruits. And of course there's always Florida.

Posted by: Ace at 02:23 PM | Comments (14)
Post contains 175 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Freak not, Ace...already taken care of

Posted by: diebold at December 31, 2006 02:32 PM (0/c+a)

2 uh, where were you in November, diebold?

Posted by: eman at December 31, 2006 02:39 PM (FWrFx)

3 We let them have one for "appearances", eman.

Also, the programmers were kinda wrapped up with their fantasy football teams.

Posted by: diebold at December 31, 2006 02:49 PM (0/c+a)

4 The word is you guys had a 2005 calendar on the wall.

Posted by: eman at December 31, 2006 02:55 PM (FWrFx)

5 Just for that, all your future votes go to Kucinich.

Posted by: diebold at December 31, 2006 03:05 PM (0/c+a)

6 Like that wasn't going to happen anyway!

Posted by: eman at December 31, 2006 03:12 PM (FWrFx)

7 The InfluencePeddler is a genius-but sort of funny looking.

Posted by: InfluencePeddler's Little Brother at December 31, 2006 03:14 PM (WwHJ0)

8 The Roe effect marches on, and for the time being is unstoppable in it's force. The aging hippies and boomers at present have sway in universities and entertainment but they won't last forever.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at December 31, 2006 04:21 PM (FuM7z)

9 Hate to be a bummer, but migration may also do to red states what has happened in NH. Migration from MA has led to more people moving to NH. Yeah, they may hate the taxes and other problems in MA, but they also bring with them many of their liberal wishes. Add that 2006 was indeed a shit year for the GOP, and that may be why NH has all but become blue.

This is what may be happening in CO and AZ. Seems as though the only state growing redder out west is NV, where Cali refugees who are truly conservative are fed up.

Posted by: eddiebear at December 31, 2006 10:46 PM (AV77T)

10 It's not all migration. Red state women give birth more often than blue state women.

Louisiana will lose a Dem House seat from Katrina, as well. It will likely go to Texas or upstate (red) Louisiana.

Posted by: Dogstar at January 01, 2007 05:26 PM (dpudc)

11 Massachusetts will lose one. Can I pick which one? I just want to save Stevie Lynch (D-MA) 9th district. He's not my Congressman, but he's the best of the bunch. Take Barney Frank, please!

Posted by: Maggie at January 01, 2007 09:01 PM (A5SFX)

12 If the Democrats are in power in 2011, the Census results will be "adjusted" to reflect supposed undercounts in certain areas. This was tried in 2001, and it was barely prevented. Guess which areas were supposedly undercounted? The 2010 Census will not move seats from blue to red areas, it will do the opposite, shifting 10-20 seats to blue areas. Or possibly more. The continuing flood of immgrants, legal and otherwise, will pump up blue areas; and there's nothing to the Democrats from "finding" 10 million "undocumented" immgrants where they need them.

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