March 31, 2010

More USAToday Polling: 50% Say Obama Doesn't Deserve Election; More Than Half Say Obama Deserves At Least "Moderate Blame" For Economy
— Ace

Kind of weak, really, that only around half are willing to say he's earned moderate blame for an economy he's presided over for 14 months (and an economy whose major spending bills he all voted for as Senator before), but this represents positive movement (for us) on the question. Remember, the public has generally wanted to blame Bush for the economy.

Americans anxious about unemployment and the economy increasingly blame President Obama for hard times, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, amid signs of turbulence in November's midterm elections.

...

In the survey last Friday through Sunday, the president gets tough treatment:

• Obama's standing on four key personal qualities, including being a strong and decisive leader and understanding the problems Americans face in their lives, has dipped. For the first time since the 2008 campaign, he fails to win a majority of people saying he shares their values and can manage the government effectively.

• Twenty-six percent say he deserves "a great deal" of the blame for the nation's economic problems, nearly double the number who felt that way last summer. In all, half say he deserves at least a moderate amount of blame.

The blame directed at his predecessor, former president George W. Bush, hasn't eased, however: 42% now give Bush "a great deal" of blame, basically unchanged from 43% last July.

• By 50%-46%, those surveyed say Obama doesn't deserve re-election.

Hmmmm... less than a majority says he "shares their values." As I was remarking in that Letterman post, that's a big problem for The One.


Posted by: Ace at 11:06 AM | Comments (38)
Post contains 300 words, total size 2 kb.

1 Keep in mind that this is just Obama.  I wonder how this redounds to other Democrats, considering that people are loathe to loathe the president -- especially a hopeychangey one who is only opposed by vicious racists.

Posted by: AmishDude at March 31, 2010 11:09 AM (T0NGe)

2 Solid B+

Posted by: IE COn at March 31, 2010 11:11 AM (/COcn)

3 He shares my values, except for his love of wookies.

Posted by: Karl Marx at March 31, 2010 11:11 AM (I1/U/)

4 Recall that the 52% thought Republicans still controlled congress during the 2008 election.

There is a reason they were clueless stupids.

Posted by: Vic at March 31, 2010 11:11 AM (QrA9E)

5
to Ace's last point: Indeed. More people are coming to realize Barack Obama is President of the United States..of only those who agree with him.

George Bush started wars with despots and muslim terrorists. Obama's prosecuting a war against Americans.

Posted by: this is Carlton, the doorman at March 31, 2010 11:13 AM (FAI37)

6
Republicans will make gains in November.  Will it be a blow out?  Hard to predict.

Our real fight will be 2012.  The left know they are going to lose seats in Nov.
The left are already busy dreaming up excuses to blame everything on Republicans looking ahead at 2012.




Posted by: Lemon Kitten at March 31, 2010 11:13 AM (0fzsA)

7 I assume this poll is "adults," versus "likely voters." I further assume it overweights Mediacrats, given relative turnout from the last election. Ergo, it's probably nearly 10 points skewed in favor of Zero. He has a big image problem, and it's getting worse. At least Jimmy Carter will be able to sleep soundly in his grave knowing he was only the second-worst president in history.

Posted by: Fresh Air at March 31, 2010 11:15 AM (5cFRU)

8 Hard to get excited about 50% not believing Obama not being re-elected.  Recently saw a poll in 1995 saying 65% did not think Clinton would be re-elected.

Posted by: IE COn at March 31, 2010 11:16 AM (/COcn)

9 Folks, let's not get sidetracked here. The number one issue right now is not whether Obama should be re-elected in 2012. The only item on our plate is to make sure we take back the House of Representatives come this November (thereby making Obama a 'lame duck')

We will address any and all questions regarding Mr Obama's continuing job security in the November 2012 elections. In the meantime, folks, please keep your eyes on the ball (i.. the November 2010 elections)

Posted by: alwyr at March 31, 2010 11:17 AM (w2++y)

10 If elections were held today, dems would be unemployed.But given our vaunted "fourth estate" and some time, all those qualities will be hyped to a positive nature and those who are against Obama will be smeared and demonized.For example.gang bangers and drive by shooters are more positive than a miltia in Michigan.

Posted by: MIKE191 at March 31, 2010 11:18 AM (I8zxS)

11
Major portions of our current decline can be blamed squarely on Democrats like Barney Frank et. al.. Fannie and Freddie/ the housing collapse -  have sucked billions upon billions out of our pockets and the economy.

The governmetn fucks up, we get the bill.

Obama pushed our national debt higher than any other president in history.

Obama and the democrats layered stimulus and now the biggest social welfare/wealth re-distribution scheme onto our already teetering economy.

The media are doing all they can to cover for the dems, but unless you are a total idiot, this crappy economy can very easily and honestly be laid at Obama's feet.



Posted by: Lemon Kitten at March 31, 2010 11:21 AM (0fzsA)

12 The telephone poll of 1,033 adults has a margin of error of +/—4 percentage points.

That's funny.  1033 means +/- 3%.  They must have tossed out data due to getting too many of one demographic or another.  Either way, I think the data is skewed in Obama's favor.  If they adjusted it due to turnout models, then it's pro-Obama, but not as much as a typical "adult" sample.

I think the key is to compare this poll to previous polls of its type.  You can usually judge a poll against itself without questioning methodology.

Posted by: AmishDude at March 31, 2010 11:21 AM (T0NGe)

13 Don't forget the GOP.....they are notorious for failure from the jaws of victory thing...(I believe by design, Soros and special interests)

Cornyn has already started on this well known GOP rhetoric....

Posted by: non_dhimmie at March 31, 2010 11:24 AM (zACGu)

14
I posited a few weeks ago that Soros has implanted several Republicans with microchips programmed to make them do or say stupid shit every time the GOP is gaining momentum.

To wit: Lindsey Graham.
To wit: Gang of 14 when the Republicans were winning public favor in 2008 with Drill Here, Drill Now.

just a coupla examples, but there are many many more

Posted by: this is Carlton, the doorman at March 31, 2010 11:28 AM (FAI37)

15 In this "post-racial" world, I think it's going to take the complete cratering of the economy before people are going to be willing to admit that their president fucked up. Even in light of the Tea partiers being called all sorts of slurs and hateful names, being called a racist is still something people shy away from. Until people get over that, they're not going to criticize the "first" black president.

So maybe that 50% are criticizing his white half.

Posted by: wherestherum at March 31, 2010 11:31 AM (gofDd)

16

14
I posited a few weeks ago that Soros has implanted several Republicans with microchips programmed to make them do or say stupid shit every time the GOP is gaining momentum.

 

Micro-chips or something.  I know that half the problems we face in this conservative ascendency are the RINO's.  We have to be rid of them also. 

Posted by: Soona' at March 31, 2010 11:33 AM (iwsmh)

17 That's funny.  1033 means +/- 3%.  They must have tossed out data due to getting too many of one demographic or another.  Either way, I think the data is skewed in Obama's favor.  If they adjusted it due to turnout models, then it's pro-Obama, but not as much as a typical "adult" sample.

I think the key is to compare this poll to previous polls of its type.  You can usually judge a poll against itself without questioning methodology.
Posted by: AmishDude

We can always count on Dr. AmishDude to check the math. 

Posted by: mpfs at March 31, 2010 11:36 AM (QuP9W)

18

These Congresscritters absolutely have to be voted out:

Pelosi, Reid, Frank, Durbin, Boxer, Waxman, Rangel, McCain, Graham, Snow, Collins, Nelson, Dodd,

and that's just the ones I can think of off the top of my little pointed head.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at March 31, 2010 11:39 AM (i3AsK)

19 Fifty percent? Is that the best you can do? Wankers.

Posted by: somepollster at March 31, 2010 11:40 AM (AZGON)

20 I just got back from a conference at the State Capitol put on by State Rep. Greenberg on what we as a state can do and are doing to resist Obamacare.  I would say there were around 100 at the meeting, standing room only. When the meeting was over (it was full of Teaparty types BTW) a candidate for Blanche Lincoln's Senate seat, Jim Holt suggested we go down the hall and try to convince Governor Beebe to join the 14 other states in the lawsuit against Obamacare. We (maybe 50 of us) caught Gov. Beebe outside his office and began questioning him on his stand on Obamacare and why we hadn't filed suit with the 14 other states. The Governor seemed taken aback and a little off balance faced with around 40 angry voters but kept his composure. He allowed that though he was against the bill (he doesn't have a clue how we are going to pay for our share since the state is near bankrupt) he doesn't think the lawsuits are going to be successful and it would cost at least $60,000 to the state to call a special session.  The state budget office figures Obamacare will cost the state of Arkansas 100-200 million) Needless to say, we as a group disagreed strongly. After 10 minutes or so of argument he said he was late for a funeral and we let him leave. He is aware we exist, however.

Posted by: maddogg at March 31, 2010 11:44 AM (OlN4e)

21 When the economy crashes, Barry's fingerprints are going to be all over it.

Posted by: GarandFan at March 31, 2010 11:44 AM (6mwMs)

22 To paraphrase PJ O'Rourke: electing Democrats because the Republicans screwed up is like saying "Dad burned dinner, let's get the dog to cook."

Posted by: tachyonshuggy at March 31, 2010 11:44 AM (yUybe)

23 Graham was just reelected. He is not up again until 2014.

Posted by: Vic at March 31, 2010 11:45 AM (QrA9E)

24 Hard to get excited about 50% not believing Obama not being re-elected.  Recently saw a poll in 1995 saying 65% did not think Clinton would be re-elected.

Posted by: IE COn at March 31, 2010 04:16 PM (/COcn)

Was that before or after the GOP went all in on Viagra futures?

Posted by: stuiec at March 31, 2010 11:59 AM (7AOgy)

25 Hmmm... I'll wait to read what someguy says about this so I know what to think. 

Posted by: Y-not at March 31, 2010 12:01 PM (Kn9r7)

26 29 Hmmm... I'll wait to read what someguy says about this so I know what to think.

I'll tell you.  Punch-down!

Posted by: Kratos (missing from the side of Mt Olympus) at March 31, 2010 12:04 PM (otlXg)

27 In this "post-racial" world, I think it's going to take the complete cratering of the economy before people are going to be willing to admit that their president fucked up.

Posted by: wherestherum at March 31, 2010 04:31 PM (gofDd)

Even beyond the racial implications, it takes an awful lot for the average American to admit he or she fucked up.  No one likes to be wrong -- especially in a very public way on a very important matter.

So there will be a fair number of the 52-percenters who will continue to tell themselves Obama's doing just fine in order to protect their own egos against the admission of their error.  Some of them are even going to engage in magical thinking, where they tell themselves that if they just believe enough in Obama, he'll somehow transform into the great American President they hoped he'd be.

Posted by: stuiec at March 31, 2010 12:05 PM (7AOgy)

28 I'll tell you.  Punch-down!

Posted by: Kratos (missing from the side of Mt Olympus) at March 31, 2010 05:04 PM (otlXg)

Why is everyone talking about baking bread all of a sudden?

And what about kneading and rising and loaf-forming?  Why only punching down?

Posted by: stuiec at March 31, 2010 12:06 PM (7AOgy)

29 This is good.  I think these polls are finally starting to reflect the fact that people are talking around the watercooler without fear of being called racists, because it affects their pocket book.  He probably won't ever drop below 40%, but that should be good enough for a wave election.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes, parading around as a typical commenter at March 31, 2010 12:07 PM (7VvJB)

30 I just took a poll in my house, and 100% of respondents believe Congress should impeach Barry and send him to prison for sedition.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at March 31, 2010 12:11 PM (P33XN)

31 I just took a poll in my house, and 100% of respondents believe Congress should impeach Barry and send him to prison for sedition. Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at March 31, 2010 05:11 PM (P33XN) Yeah, my dogs are completely disgusted with the health care legislation. I think I've flipped the Jack Russell Terrier, and the Boston is seriously disgruntled. (What?)

Posted by: joncelli at March 31, 2010 12:13 PM (RD7QR)

32 Moderate Blame on the economy, it is official OBAMA OWNS our problems now.



Posted by: Gary B at March 31, 2010 12:58 PM (1gWfF)

33

Gallup Polls are racist, they only include 34% African Americans in their polls. We at the Post have decided that since the President is African American only African Americans should be polled.

It would be racist to do otherwise.

Posted by: Washington Post at March 31, 2010 01:18 PM (fwSHf)

34 Does any one besides me rccall, that prior to the 2006 election when George Bush was President and the Congress was Republican, unemployment was 4%.

Posted by: btenney at March 31, 2010 03:52 PM (sGuLc)

35

@5: "George Bush started wars with despots and muslim terrorists. Obama's prosecuting a war against Americans."

Wanna bet on who breaks first: the terrorists, or the Americans?  Up until relatively recently, I'd have bet on the terrorists.  Now?  It's a pick-'em, at best.

Posted by: Fa Cube Itches at March 31, 2010 04:30 PM (kmEfr)

36

Durbin isn't up for reelection until 2012.

Just keep in mind, people are going to be very cautious saying anything bad about the FBP (first black president) on the phone to a stranger.  If this poll got 50% of people to say that, well, what do people really think!? 

In the 1980 election, it was no picnic for Reagan, even though Carter was completely clueless and scaring people.  Reagan had his work cut out for him and barely won that time.  (Having a third party candidate named John Anderson was yet another anchor on Reagan).

In 1984, Reagan enjoyed a blow out over Fritz Mondale (vp to Carter). But 1980 was a tough fight.

 

Posted by: Boots at March 31, 2010 06:21 PM (06JTY)

37 I was convinced that in 2008 Obama would lose because of the "Bradley Effect". That went out the window, obviously. But I think, based admittedly on anecdotal evidence, that quite a few Dems that voted for Barry thinking that he would be another Clinton will not support him again.

Yeah, some people may, in fact, be afraid to criticize Obama for fear of being called a racist. But i don;t think that they will be fooled again. If the Dems go ahead and shove amnesty and cap n tax on everyone, they're done.

Posted by: Luca Brasi at March 31, 2010 10:22 PM (19dri)

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