October 31, 2010

Geraghty: Three House Races Move to GOP; I'm Sensing the Super-Wave
— Ace

As you probably know, I am (for myself) defining a real victory as the Super Wave. I know that's expectations-raising and all but that's what I want.

Is it coming? It's hard to say; it would be, as everyone keeps saying, "unprecedented." But our president is pretty unprecedented too, as he keeps informing us; and it was truly unprecedented that a Congress stand united to tell their constituents to Go Fuck Themselves (in all-caps, actually) on a crucial vote in which the public was strongly engaged.

Geraghty notes that some races, which should be safe for Democrats, keep leaning to the GOP. (Including one of the Maine races Slublog highlighted Friday, Dean Scrontas.)

The Loughlin race in Rhode Island for Patrick Kennedy's former seat -- well, I mean the People's Seat; oh you know what I mean -- is one to watch. If Loughlin wins -- and we'll know he's probably going to win when the networks refuse to call it -- the Democrats are in for a truly horrific night.
I like how Sharron Angle puts it.

Oh: This post by Nate Silver is awesome. He organizes the Congressional races by closing time (earliest first) and then by degree of difficulty for the GOP to flip -- upshot is, if at 7:30 ET PM Andy Barr is beating incumbent Chandler, the GOP is looking for at least a 62+ gain night.

If Sean Bielat beats Barney Frank, we're looking at... 111 seats.

But that of course is a big if.

But...

If...


Posted by: Ace at 12:41 PM | Comments (368)
Post contains 275 words, total size 2 kb.

1 Chugguh, chugguh, chugguh...

Posted by: The Crazy Train at October 31, 2010 12:42 PM (YX6i/)

2 Retard Strength Fanboy here.

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 12:43 PM (Ew1k4)

3 Anything short of a Super Duper Double Wave  should be considered a failure of Right-Wingnut something or other.

Posted by: David Poofe at October 31, 2010 12:44 PM (i3PJU)

4

troll "Greg" w/ talk about 55 seats being a dissapointment in 3...2..1...

Posted by: YRM (Making A Big Bowl Of Pudding For Tuesday Night) at October 31, 2010 12:45 PM (xQuuU)

5 Catch a wave and you're sittin' on top of the world!

Posted by: ya2daup at October 31, 2010 12:45 PM (mndtc)

6 Retard Strength Fanboy here.

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 05:43 PM (Ew1k4)

*fist bump*

I was jealous when I saw that.

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 12:45 PM (YX6i/)

7 Anything short of a Super Duper Double Wave should be considered a failure of Right-Wingnut something or other.

Posted by: greg at October 31, 2010 12:45 PM (BSVaa)

8 ain't no fucking wave unless you also win Parliament.

Posted by: Glug at October 31, 2010 12:46 PM (BAtLQ)

9 I've gotten a new voter to vote straight Republican and an Obama voter to vote straight Republican down here in FL, hopefully it's a trend of how big this wave's gonna be

Posted by: YRM (Making A Big Bowl Of Pudding For Tuesday Night) at October 31, 2010 12:46 PM (xQuuU)

Posted by: Foole In The Rain at October 31, 2010 12:47 PM (pELFl)

11 Stay on target...  Stay on target...

Posted by: someone at October 31, 2010 12:47 PM (DfAwB)

12

Posted by: Foole In The Rain at October 31, 2010 05:47 PM (pELFl)

you sure that's pudding?

Posted by: YRM (Making A Big Bowl Of Pudding For Tuesday Night) at October 31, 2010 12:47 PM (xQuuU)

13 ain't no fucking wave unless you also win Parliament....Canadian one too....

Posted by: greg at October 31, 2010 12:47 PM (BSVaa)

14 ain't no fucking wave unless you also win Parliament.

Posted by: Glug at October 31, 2010 05:46 PM (BAtLQ)

Piker.  I'm expecting to take the Duma.

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 12:48 PM (YX6i/)

15 Remember the scrunt Nancy Pelosi, paraphrased "if you want to quit your job and play the guitar, you can still have health care, other saps will pick up the tab." GRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

Posted by: madamex at October 31, 2010 12:49 PM (jChrK)

16 I'm thinking its going to be more like a supernova .

Posted by: Berserker at October 31, 2010 12:49 PM (gWHrG)

17 you can't really call it a wave. don't get me wrong, but this year isn't even close to that.

Posted by: greg at October 31, 2010 12:50 PM (BSVaa)

18 I am completely clearing my calendar for Tuesday and Wednesday.   And I will NOT be doing computer work for any of my sisters!

I want to watch every bit of this.

And I want Obama hounded by this by the press when he's in India. 

No quarter!

Posted by: Miss Marple at October 31, 2010 12:51 PM (aXJHp)

19 *fist bumps back*
You know the best part of Tuesday?  I'm an election judge.  In friggin' Cook County.  And our last two elections (both after the Inauguration) I was assigned to a location with 4 Democrats.  When we met, one of them told me "It's funny you still think you matter." 
I may just remind him.  Or hold on to the memory to stay warm until I get home to watch the returns-I haven't decided yet.

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 12:51 PM (Ew1k4)

20 I'm thinking its going to be more like a supernova .

Posted by: Berserker at October 31, 2010 05:49 PM (gWHrG)

Gamma rays, baby!!

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 12:52 PM (YX6i/)

21 If the GOP doesn't take Heaven and kill all the Demons, it is a loss.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 12:53 PM (V9Q+f)

22 It's not a Wave unless Pelosi loses her seat!

Posted by: Grug, Moby Of Doom at October 31, 2010 12:53 PM (Hu/Da)

23 If the GOP doesn't take 95-100 seats in the Senate, 600 in the house, and the Presidency, you can't really call it a wave....just sayin'

Posted by: greg's mom, who says he is late for dinner and did not clean up the basement at October 31, 2010 12:53 PM (BSVaa)

24 They took 2000+ pages to describe what they want to do to us for healthcare, and Angle gave an entire  governing philosophy in 4 tight bullets.  That's the difference.  We don't know to obfuscate our goals.  I guess that's why they're so super smart. 

Posted by: pep at October 31, 2010 12:54 PM (8zlLq)

25 That Troy & Joe broadcast booth comment a few threads back was classic, btw.  Deserves a repost.  Nice job, whoever socked that!

Posted by: someone at October 31, 2010 12:54 PM (DfAwB)

26 I'm cautiously optimistic...having said that, I'm getting an extra case of bourbon delivered Monday afternoon.

Posted by: Mark Makers at October 31, 2010 12:54 PM (TAiZ/)

27
It's the Super Wave Dude, and it's gnarly and bitchin'.

Posted by: Megyn Kelly, Surfer Chick at October 31, 2010 12:55 PM (v1gw3)

28 Don't forget, Jim DeMint started the recession.  And my poll numbers are waaay up.

Posted by: Alvin Greene at October 31, 2010 12:55 PM (UOM48)

29

troll "Greg" w/ talk, in an arrogant, sanctimonious, didactic way, about 55 seats being a dissapointment in 3...2..1...

Posted by: YRM (Making A Big Bowl Of Pudding For Tuesday Night) at October 31, 2010 05:45 PM

FIFY

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2010 12:56 PM (yLCsy)

30 @12
you sure that's pudding

I had the same thought.  I was both enticed and repulsed.  Enticement won. Must be the German in me.

Posted by: pep at October 31, 2010 12:56 PM (8zlLq)

31
This won't be a Super Wave, but it will be a barely noticeable undulating mouse fart.

Posted by: Meggy McCain, D-Flip Flopper at October 31, 2010 12:56 PM (v1gw3)

32 Someone on the other thread mentioned PPP poll just out showing Paul up 15 in KY.  Sure doesn't look slanted towards the Dem, does it?   So you guys like that one, pay attention to the WV, WA, CA and PA polls they will be releasing soon.

BTW, winning by 15 shows how the GOP can have huge leads in the generic ballot and still tank in the close races.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 12:57 PM (huyI8)

33 what are we considering an appropriate "smoosh"? when may i crack open the pudding and beer?

Posted by: phoenixgirl at October 31, 2010 12:57 PM (eOXTH)

34 Greg, are you going to supply video of you pulling the lever for all the Rs?

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 12:58 PM (YX6i/)

35 And my poll numbers are waaay up.

Posted by: Alvin Greene at October 31, 2010 05:55 PM (UOM4

i'd agree with that

Posted by: Greg, supposed Republican Voter at October 31, 2010 12:58 PM (xQuuU)

36 BTW, winning by 15 shows how the GOP can have huge leads in the generic ballot and still tank in the close races.

Posted by: greg's mom, who says he is late for dinner and did not clean up the basement at October 31, 2010 12:59 PM (BSVaa)

37 You know, when Angle was first nominated...I was a little nervous. She's really gotten stronger through the election season.

 Oh, and Methos is cook county? Shoot. Me too. I can't believe IL is turning red.

Posted by: Crazee at October 31, 2010 12:59 PM (xsoRi)

38 Oh, it'll be a wave all right.  All those libtard hipsters doing the wave at the Rally to Restore Inanity will wake up Wednesday morning in their parents' basements, unable to comprehend how teh evul wingers pulled it off.


Posted by: Jane D'oh at October 31, 2010 01:00 PM (UOM48)

39
Conservatives are so uneducated and crass that even the smallest of the small people in the democrat party will recognize their insignificance, and continue to vote for the winning liberal team of Speaker of the House Pelosi, Senator Reid, and President Obama, the triad of liberal success.

Posted by: John Kerry, D-Masshole at October 31, 2010 01:00 PM (v1gw3)

40

Bucs up 24-14!!! yay

anyhow...

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 05:57 PM (huyI

um, we lead in PA and are in the margin of error what's the point? all this w/ 08 samples oh wait I forgot troll, you think Ras is oversampling the GOP

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:00 PM (xQuuU)

41 Remember the scrunt Nancy Pelosi, paraphrased "if you want to quit your job and play the guitar, you can still have health care, other saps will pick up the tab."

Mop n Glo must have been talking to those 1960's hippie type folk guitar,puff the magic dragon strumming mofos. My job for years WAS playing guitar, and I paid for my own health care. She can fuck off.

Posted by: Berserker at October 31, 2010 01:01 PM (gWHrG)

42 It's not a wave unless every Republican is seated on Wednesday!!!!11!!!

Posted by: Grigori Rasputin at October 31, 2010 01:01 PM (jUBAo)

43 This is shaping up to be even better than the Christmas Gift Nancy Pelosi gave us last year!

Posted by: garrett at October 31, 2010 01:01 PM (ONDIY)

44

Posted by: Jane D'oh at October 31, 2010 06:00 PM (UOM4

some incoherent chick was shown at the rally asking why America is so stupid because the whole world loves Obama, the young vote really is useless...

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:01 PM (xQuuU)

45

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 06:00 PM (xQuuU)

margin of error in the rest*

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:02 PM (xQuuU)

46 PPP must have given up trying to influence that race Gerg. They then attempt sorta real numbers there and then go out to attempt to swing races they might have influence on. Duh. That's what I would do if I were a scum sucking america hating piece of prog filth.

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2010 01:02 PM (yLCsy)

47 Greg says...."if you want to quit your job and play the guitar, you can still have health care, other saps will pick up the tab."

Posted by: greg's mom, who says he is late for dinner and did not clean up the basement at October 31, 2010 01:02 PM (BSVaa)

Posted by: NM Hick (stuck in an island nation until after the wave breaks) at October 31, 2010 01:03 PM (YWhoe)

49

BE THE WAVE

Be the wave and you're sitting on top of the world

Dems are afraid because the Morons are in town (be the wave, be the wave)
They know we've got some friends here
And they know they're doomed and going down
You man the phones, do a precinct tour
And baby the Conservative's will win for sure
You gotta BE THE WAVE and you're sittin' on top of the world

Not just a fad cause it's been going since '09 (be the wave, be the wave)
The TEA Parties going strong
They said it wouldn't last too long
They'll eat their words with some Change and Hope
And watch 'em they'll flip their lids like that Obama dope
And when we BE THE WAVE we'll be sittin' on top of the world

Be the wave and your sittin' on top of the world

So take a lesson from a top-notch Ewok guy (be the wave, be the wave)
Get out the vote today
Let's drive those winning margins high
Just get away from the Internet
And baby go make some calls with the campaign set
And when you BE THE WAVE you'll be sittin on top of the world

Be the wave and you'll be sittin' on top of the world
(Way up high, up on top of the world)
Be the wave and you'll be sittin' on top of the world
(Way up high, up on top of the world)
Be the wave and you'll be sittin' on top of the world

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 01:03 PM (chhYn)

50
I normally restrain myself in making questionable prognostications, especially this close to an election, but in all candor, the democrat party is fucked.

Posted by: Pat Caddell, Dem Polster at October 31, 2010 01:03 PM (v1gw3)

51 The Anticipation is killing me. I want Election now. I want to see the Democrats humiliated and weeping openly on TV. I want to see some of them commit seppuku on TV. I want to see Olbergruppenfuhrer, Madcow and Tweety Bird reenact the headplosion scene form Scanners.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 01:03 PM (V9Q+f)

52 Best Christmas gift ever:  San Fran Gran McBotox losing the Air Force as her own, special chauffeur. 


Posted by: Jane D'oh at October 31, 2010 01:04 PM (UOM48)

53

Now PPP is trying to influence the 4 senate races that are still close. Well good for them, no one can say they didn't try. Whoops! Guess they failed early in throwing out Burr.

Assholes

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2010 01:04 PM (yLCsy)

54 RE 39: Teh evul wingers pulled it off because they were working phone banks and other GOTV efforts while they were toking up on the national mall.

Posted by: Nighthawk at October 31, 2010 01:04 PM (UtQFs)

55 Dean Scrontas

...you said scrotum.  Hehehehe.

Posted by: Beavis and Butthead at October 31, 2010 01:05 PM (Vt+Kg)

56

"PPP offers the highest quality polling at the most affordable price of any company out there."

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahaa. A cheap prostitute.

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2010 01:06 PM (yLCsy)

57 BTW, winning by 15 shows how the GOP can have huge leads in the generic ballot and still tank in the close races.

Sure, anything can happen.  Care to put your money where your mouth is?

Posted by: Intrade at October 31, 2010 01:06 PM (Ew1k4)

58 Did fox just show a clip of "orange glo" in florida calling Sarah Palin an extremist and then trying to link Marco Rubio as a similar extremist.  Shameful orange glo man shameful...

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:07 PM (p302b)

59 ot a wave unless every Republican is seated on Wednesday!!!!11!!!

Posted by: greg's mom, who says he is late for dinner and did not clean up the basement at October 31, 2010 01:07 PM (BSVaa)

60 It's not a wave unless the Republicans:

1.) Establish a House of Lords

2.) Take it

3.) Field a football team

4.) Win the Super Bowl

5.) Beat the ghost of Jack Johnson in boxing, and

6.) Win the triple crown.*





*Without a Horse

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 01:07 PM (O2/Ya)

61 I've never been called by a pollster and if I did get called I'd just hang up. Ipso facto cogito ergo sum magna cum, no wave!

Posted by: Grigori Rasputin at October 31, 2010 01:08 PM (jUBAo)

62 When a guy with a name like Scrontas (tee hee) can prevail, it's a whole new ballgame.  Pass the pudding and, hey, it's not too late to send Gunny Pop a few bucks. 

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 01:08 PM (zxpIo)

63 "n"...fing sock....

Posted by: Greg, the cheesy-mac is cold..... at October 31, 2010 01:08 PM (BSVaa)

64

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2010 06:02 PM (yLCsy)

focus on Ras which got the 08 race 99.99% right and the only one in 04 to say both candidates would be seperated by lesser margins then other polls that had Bush or Kerry w/ 53% of the vote results, Ras correctly predicted a close Bush win and in 06 correctly got many house and senate races right

Ras currently has CA, CO, IL, NV, PA, WA, & WV as tossups, according to RCP we lead in CO, IL, NV, & PA; CA, WA, & WV we have a shot at winning but CA is the biggest long shot of the 3 we should win all of the ones we lead in and the last 3 we should pull off a big upset in at least 1 w/ the polls having it in the margin of error; example: Bill McCullum lead Scott by 4 on the day of the primary and many like me predicted McCullum would win but Scott won in a close one it's all about ethusiasm and the mood of the electorate just ask the GOP which thought they could save some seats in 06 and 08 or loses in the 08 presidential race in NC, IN, FL, & VA that were won thanks to Dem ethusiasm, I trust polls a lot but only reputable polls and any poll watcher knows a 3-4 point lead could easily be the other way around in reality

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:08 PM (xQuuU)

65 It's not a wave unless the Republicans:

1.) Establish a House of Lords

2.) Take it

3.) Field a football team

4.) Win the Super Bowl

5.) Beat the ghost of Jack Johnson in boxing, and

6.) Win the triple crown.*



*Without a Horse

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 06:07 PM (O2/Ya)

I don't want to be presumptuous enough to speak for Methos, but I think we're both on board with that.

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 01:09 PM (YX6i/)

66
The teeth-gnashing and hand-wringing by the State Controlled Media on election night will be joyful and unprecedented.

I'm hopeful for heart palpitations, projectile vomiting and diarrhea for liberal talkers and scribblers.  It's going to be a night to remember.

Posted by: Fish at October 31, 2010 01:10 PM (v1gw3)

67 Someone on the other thread mentioned PPP poll just out showing Paul up 15 in KY.  Sure doesn't look slanted towards the Dem, does it?   So you guys like that one, pay attention to the WV, WA, CA and PA polls they will be releasing soon.

BTW, winning by 15 shows how the GOP can have huge leads in the generic ballot and still tank in the close races.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 05:57 PM (huyI

1) PPP running "real" results in KY, where there's no credible case for trying to deny Paul's lead, does not mean they can't run "fake" results elsewhere in hopes of influencing the vote or out of their inherent bias.

2) So much of your sense of self-worth seems to be bound up in the GOP falling short of its wildest expectations.  Why is it more important to you to be right about your predictions of failure than to have the GOP wave materialize?  It casts doubt on your claim to be a supporter of the GOP when, rather than cautioning about excessive optimism, you instead flatly predict "failure."

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 01:10 PM (chhYn)

68 Okay, fine, I'm coming out of the closet as a90+ seat winner, okay?!  Are you all happy?  And I'm not even going to tell you what I really think.

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 01:10 PM (YX6i/)

69

Just face it, there's no wave....

If there was a wave, Paul would be cruising in Kentucky.....oh wait, he is.

No really, I mean, we should be killing it in Wisco.....er..Johnson up 7? Ok..um....

Washington! If there was a wave, we should be taking it right up to.....TIED?! Shit.....er....just hang on a sec....

Yeah, nah, California, that's the one I meant. Yeah, that's it, if the GOP can't get.....RCP has moved it back to 'Tossup'?? WTF? Even friggin' California.......

I....just give me a minute will you (mutter to myself as I desperately scan through RCP)...Nevada? No, scratch that one.....Illinois maybe, how's that one lookin? Oh, crap....er......Colorado? Meh, they're still in front though...Florida? Ugh, let's pretend that one doesn't exist......

West Viriginia! Er...that's the one I'm concerned about today...i mean, the one I've always been concerned about. Manchin was ten points up morons! I bet he's now up by twen........Margin of Error?!?!? Holy.....

(fist through keyboard, uncontrolled sobbing)

Hey guys?  Just bear with me while I search for a race that's going my..er, I mean the Democrat's way, OK..........

Posted by: Grug at October 31, 2010 01:11 PM (Pelv9)

70 It's not a wave unless the Republicans: 1.) Establish a House of Lords 2.) Take it 3.) Field a football team 4.) Win the Super Bowl 5.) Beat the ghost of Jack Johnson in boxing, and 6.) Win the triple crown.* *Without a Horse

Posted by: Greg, the cheesy-mac is cold..... at October 31, 2010 01:11 PM (BSVaa)

71 Scrontas..

Is that a new word for what my generation called the Taint?

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 01:11 PM (V9Q+f)

72 Let's freeze our cheese head moby out for a couple of days.  There'll be plenty of time to engage in stimulating debate with him on Tuesday night. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 01:11 PM (UcOiF)

73 Posted by: Grug at October 31, 2010 06:11 PM (Pelv9)

shumer's going to get 80% of the vote and be a leader if harry loses.

NYer's are just so smart, they are stupid....

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:12 PM (p302b)

74 I read Nate Silver's piece and although impressed with his effort, some of the races I know about don't fit within his scheme, so I personally wouldn't use that as a guide.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at October 31, 2010 01:12 PM (JcRgg)

75 Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 06:08 PM (xQuuU)

Interesting post, a lot of good information.  I look forward to the day when you are old enough to appreciate the use of punctuation to separate distinct ideas into sentences.

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 01:13 PM (chhYn)

76

NYer's are just so smart, they are stupid....

NY opposes the Obama agenda yet just keeps voting Dem, sometimes you can't fix stupid look to CT & possibly CA & WA

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:13 PM (xQuuU)

77 I'm telling you that if you really want to dream of pudding think about it like this: in 2006 any rep under 45% lost. 75% that were 46-49% lost. Fchucktodd let it slip that 75 dims are in the 46-49% range. Thats 106 seats motherfucker

Posted by: Zakn at October 31, 2010 01:14 PM (zyaZ1)

78

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 06:13 PM (chhYn)

lol sorry I try to keep up w/ the sometimes fast flow of comments here on ace and figured i'd hurry it up and catch up but found that I didn't miss much; I think i'd be a better blogger then a better commenter

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:14 PM (xQuuU)

79 My leg has fallen asleep.  See what the h8 does!

Posted by: Chrissy Matthews at October 31, 2010 01:15 PM (G/MYk)

80
you're gonna live-blog this shit, right?

Posted by: IreneFingIrene at October 31, 2010 01:15 PM (NkGvY)

81 "If Sean Bielat beats Barney Frank..." ...Ace will have the boners of all boners and it will be every moron's hiney for itself.

Posted by: Moi at October 31, 2010 01:16 PM (Ez4Ql)

82 I'll be voting a straight R ticket for the first time in my life. And I got both my son and my daughter registered for the first time, and will be hauling them down to the polls with me Tuesday to also vote straight R. People are pissed out here. Not everyone is blogging or being activist. We are quietly waiting. With relish. Run silent, run deep.

Posted by: Nobody at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (tcuMq)

83 Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 06:13 PM (xQuuU)

the post has a pic of mayor mike and the newly redesigned ariana and the mosque iman

and one of my friends told me mayor mikey is suddenly wanting to go back to a two term limit...even he couldn't take himself in a third term

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (p302b)

84 Hey Greg,  you might like this...

New poll puts Scott McAdams up one point in AK race.

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (bAySe)

85 when may i crack open the pudding and beer? I've already been dipping for two days. You ... wanna come over?

Posted by: Rajiv Vindaloo at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (BZ2Bm)

86 I Have a cup of the expensive pudding chilling in the fridge, just in case Barney's Frank gets the boot.

Posted by: DngrMse at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (ygIR/)

87 Oh, and Methos is cook county? Shoot. Me too. I can't believe IL is turning red.

Technically, I think we have to win and hold some offices before we're more than purplish, but I think Brady's the guy to whip the state party into shape.

I'm telling you, Cook County Election Commissioner is the race to watch. If the GOP can't pick that one up there's no chance of a wave.

That would be ten kinds of awesome.  The statewide races are better shots, by any rational measure.  I keep hearing turnout in the suburbs is 3 times what it is in Chicago as far as early voting goes, so who knows.  We're not expecting any rain or anything, but wind chill will be in the mid 40s all day, which might influence turnout.

Posted by: Intrade at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (Ew1k4)

88 Oh, it'll be a wave all right. All those libtard hipsters doing the wave at the Rally to Restore Inanity will wake up Wednesday morning in their parents' basements, unable to comprehend how teh evul wingers pulled it off........Axeltroll told me to do that....you mean I'm, wrong!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: Greg, the cheesy-mac is cold..... at October 31, 2010 01:17 PM (BSVaa)

89
My next door neighbor voted in Florida 22 today at 10:00 AM, and found an estimated 300 people in line when he arrived.  Voting on Sunday is a big deal!

Posted by: Fish at October 31, 2010 01:19 PM (v1gw3)

90

election-projection is also known for being a reliable predictor of elections and currently have a GOP +62 in House (my prediction) and +8 in senate, that's a fucking wave

the biggest gains in the house since 1948 and a pickup of senate seats in states that voted for Obama (including Obama's own home state) and taking out the majority leader and that's not counting what might be upsets in WV, CA, & WA (2 states Obama won by double digits and 1 state who's Senate candidate is a popular Governor running against Obama)

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:19 PM (xQuuU)

91 PERSONAL PEEVE: Been watching the POTUS speechifying for his candidates (as is his prerogative) the last few days and I have to ask- if he's going to wear a dress shirt and a suit jacket, is it too much to ask that HE WEAR A FREAKING TIE??!! I mean, even though with every fiber of my being I disagree with everything he says, does, and believes he is still the President of the United States and it irks me when he stands up in pubic looking like Hugo Chavez or that rat-faced little f*ck Ammawhatzizname. I can understand that he's busy and doesn't want to wear a tie. Fine. I feel the same way at times. So wear a golf shirt, or a chamois shit, or a friggin flannel shirt if you don't want to wear a tie, but don't stand up there and embarass MY COUNTRY by looking like some wanna-be third world thug dictator. /rant off...

Posted by: Nighthawk at October 31, 2010 01:19 PM (UtQFs)

92 I think gErg is Bawney Fwank's creepy stalker boyfriend.

Posted by: nickless at October 31, 2010 01:20 PM (MMC8r)

93 I don't want to be presumptuous enough to speak for Methos, but I think we're both on board with that.

You forgot "see the killscreen for Missile Command and Pac Man."

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 01:20 PM (Ew1k4)

94

Let's not get our expectations too high.  It's not like winning 60 seats would be a disappointment- it would still be very good.  Anything over 55 points is just cake pudding.

Taking less than 50 would be a disappointment, but don't pretend that anything short of the dream scenario 100 seat pickup is a "loss".

 

 

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2010 01:20 PM (plsiE)

95 ...is it too much to ask that HE WEAR A FREAKING TIE??!!

The people he's speaking to wouldn't know what it was....might scare them.

Posted by: Tami at October 31, 2010 01:21 PM (VuLos)

96 Actually, the campaign is sending out on average three emails a day.  today MO wants you to party with her in the Bronx.  A lot of them are putting the emails from the campaign to their trash can.  I know this cause my worried lib/dem friend said that they are having trouble getting people to attend the events.  My response was "make them free, most new yorkers don't have the money they want for an audience"

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:21 PM (p302b)

97 Originally written by Gil Scott Heron, I rewrote it in a way the Moron nation will appreciate (I hope) The Revolution Will Be Televised You will be able to stay home brother You will be able to amuse yourself on the internet And have some Val-U-Rite vodka Because the revolution will be televised The revolution will be televised The revolution will be brought to you by the Tea Party singing God Bless America in 4 part harmony The revolution will show you pics, vids and blogs of Leftists heads exploding in 1080p High Res Color led by Worst Persons In The World, who no longer have a tingle up their leg because the revolution will be televised The revolution will be brought to you by wireless routers, Iphones and Androids The revolution will be televised The revolution will not give you hope and change The revolution will not pander to race, creed or color The revolution will help career politicians enjoy Fun-Employment The revolution will be televised There will be no pictures of useful idiots wearing Che T-shirts Or paint chip eating people chanting We Are The People We Have Been Waiting For Because the revolution will be televised Americans will not care about Dancing With the Stars or Snookie and The Constitution and American flag will no longer be trampled Because the revolution will be televised The nuts from Acorn and the Thought Police from NPR will not issue meaningless statements and The New Black Panther Party that advocates Killing White Cracker Babies will count the days till they are incarcerated Because The Revolution Will Be Televised David Letterman will no longer joke about underage girls getting raped Whoopie Goldberg will not dismiss it because it's not "Rape-Rape" The America hating self appointed liberal elites will not show their ugly faces and Yes We Can will be replaced with Hell No You Don't From the Radical Republicans of 1854 to the Tea Parties today We are One Nation Under God And the this revolution will be televised

Posted by: political correctness czar at October 31, 2010 01:21 PM (UPNlB)

98 @93 He doesn't wear a tie because he's hip to all the cool young people; he even goes on the Jon Daily Show and makes jokes about Slurpees!

Posted by: ChuckOH at October 31, 2010 01:21 PM (jUBAo)

99
If the conservatives win less than 100 seats, it's a democrat victory.

Posted by: Sheila Jackson Lee, D-Moonbattery at October 31, 2010 01:22 PM (v1gw3)

100 Winston Wolfe, people remember Winston Wolfe!!!!!!

Posted by: opus at October 31, 2010 01:22 PM (IebeI)

101 I CAN"T WAIT FOR TUESDAY

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:22 PM (xQuuU)

102 "If Sean Bielat beats Barney Frank, we're looking at... 111 seats."
-----

I don't agree with this reasoning.  That forecast doesn't take into account that the Frank/Bielat race is highly publicized.  Big media attention on these races obviously helps the republican challenger and very few other long-shot races have had that kind of attention.  What matters is races that have been quiet, like the Kucinich contest.

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 31, 2010 01:23 PM (bAySe)

103 Taking less than 50 would be a disappointment,

I'm content with pretty much anything that loses Dem control of the pursestrings and puts Nanzi's flat ass in the back benches.

Posted by: nickless at October 31, 2010 01:23 PM (MMC8r)

104 So wear a golf shirt, or a chamois shit, or a friggin flannel shirt if you don't want to wear a tie, but don't stand up there and embarass MY COUNTRY by looking like some wanna-be third world thug dictator.

Posted by: Nighthawk at October 31, 2010 06:19 PM (UtQFs)

Denigrating the office is an integral part of his strategy.

Posted by: iknowtheleft at October 31, 2010 01:23 PM (G/MYk)

105 Posted by: ChuckOH at October 31, 2010 06:21 PM (jUBAo)

glen Beck looked uber kewl today in his "nifty sweater" (that's my dad's description when mom forces him to wear a sweater)

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:23 PM (p302b)

106 I've never said this before, but I can't wait to watch MSNBC on Tuesday night and and Wednesday morning. I'm assuming it's still on air, of course.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at October 31, 2010 01:24 PM (swuwV)

107

PERSONAL PEEVE: Been watching the POTUS speechifying for his candidates (as is his prerogative) the last few days and I have to ask- if he's going to wear a dress shirt and a suit jacket, is it too much to ask that HE WEAR A FREAKING TIE??!!

See, he's trying to show everyone he's just a regular Joe, just like all the other working stiffs.

That he's spent his life with everything handed to him on a silver platter without really having to work for it is just a minor detail.

Besides, the jacket and tie gets in the way of his golf swing.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2010 01:24 PM (plsiE)

108 95 I don't want to be presumptuous enough to speak for Methos, but I think we're both on board with that.

You forgot "see the killscreen for Missile Command and Pac Man."

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 06:20 PM (Ew1k4)



And beat the original Ghouls 'n Ghosts for the NES without pausing.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 01:24 PM (O2/Ya)

109 *runs on field fist bumping the rest of the tsunami group*

I too projected Repubs gain >90 seats in the house.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 01:24 PM (YWhoe)

110 Can i just say that I like Stephen colbert a lot...he seems like a genuinely good person...but for some reason I'm not feeling the same way about jon stewart...i feel like he isn't the least bit genuine...

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:24 PM (p302b)

111 And and? I'm so excited that I'm stuttering.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at October 31, 2010 01:25 PM (swuwV)

112 No real linky dinky, but this text just appeared on drudge a bit ago:

"NYT LEAD MONDAY: Both parties see possibility of bigger Republican wins in House than either side was talking about -- even few days ago... Developing..."

Posted by: DngrMse at October 31, 2010 01:26 PM (ygIR/)

113 95 I don't want to be presumptuous enough to speak for Methos, but I think we're both on board with that.

You forgot "see the killscreen for Missile Command and Pac Man."

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 06:20 PM (Ew1k4)

If you want to see the Kill screen on Missile Command you should be listening to Rush - Tom Sawyer while playing it.

/Chuck reference.

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 01:26 PM (oVQFe)

114 Come onnnnnn ladybug!

Posted by: rickl at October 31, 2010 01:26 PM (hZFhS)

115 "We know there's going to be Shock & Awe in Washington, D.C.!" FAP! FAP! FAP! FAP! FAP! FAP! FAP! FAP! F-A-A-A-A-A-A-P!!!

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:26 PM (tJjm/)

116 *runs on field fist bumping the rest of the tsunami group*

I too projected Repubs gain >90 seats in the house.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 06:24 PM (YWhoe)

'Sup, dood?!  Have you waxed your board, yet?

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 01:26 PM (YX6i/)

117 http://lookatthisfuckinhipster.com/

Posted by: Moi at October 31, 2010 01:27 PM (Ez4Ql)

118 *CoolCzech takes a long drag on his cigarette*

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:27 PM (tJjm/)

119 "1) PPP running "real" results in KY, where there's no credible case for trying to deny Paul's lead, does not mean they can't run "fake" results elsewhere in hopes of influencing the vote or out of their inherent bias."

So some of their polls are good, but the "important" race polls are rigged, huh?  No pollster wants their last result to be crap.  

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 01:27 PM (huyI8)

120 #106

I agree.  In fact,  Third World dictator is always the look he's shooting for.  Note aviator sunglasses and purple tie as well.

Posted by: Miss Marple at October 31, 2010 01:28 PM (aXJHp)

121 ...Ace will have the boners of all boners and it will be every moron's hiney for itself.

That needs to be embroidered on pillows and sold in the AoS Boutique.  Anybody know how to do that or are we talking Chinese sweatshop children for a fast turn-around?

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 01:28 PM (zxpIo)

122 OMG I've been trying to explain all day to my dumb blond friend who likes to be a dumb blond...that the tea party isn't as much a physical group but a kitchen table state of mind.  that they may not come forward and be a thrid party because they may better serve the country as being a group of people united by a state of mind.

She keeps asking who will get the ax, what party will go away?  the dems or the republicans...damn you msnbc why did you tell her stuff like this?

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:29 PM (p302b)

123

Gentlemen,

Now is not the time to get overexcited and prematurely holster our weapons.

Posted by: Dick Cheney's Epic Warcock at October 31, 2010 01:29 PM (3W1+C)

124 Anybody hear what happened in D.C. yesterday with the "Big, Fat, Bloated, Lard-ass Government Doesn't Suck Rally"? Did they get hordes of semi-adequate, half-way literate, not really motivated bureaucrats to show up?

Posted by: nerdygirl at October 31, 2010 01:29 PM (6bnh9)

125

I'm content with pretty much anything that loses Dem control of the pursestrings and puts Nanzi's flat ass in the back benches.

Sure, but we do need a big enough lead to make up for the inevitable RINOs who so very much want to "compromise"* with Obama and the remaining Dems.

Also, the bigger the margin of our win, the longer we're likely to hold onto the House.

*And by "compromise", I mean bend over and squeal like a pig.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2010 01:29 PM (plsiE)

126 I don't care what your political ideology is, but if you're still voting for Barney Frank after his decades of malfeasance culiminating in his role in one of the greatest financial fuck-ups in history, then there is something seriously wrong with you. If Frank wins, the rest of the country needs to kick MA-4 out of the union. I'm sure there must be some provision for that in the Constitution somewhere. 

Posted by: SteveN at October 31, 2010 01:29 PM (7EV/g)

127

per PPP tweet...

"Our polling would suggest rumors of Joe Miller's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Close race, he's definitely still in it"

Isn't that the Kos pollster, too?    And, isn't it true that write-in votes won't even be counted unless it looks like they may be a plurality?    And, didn't the scrunt get an October surprise this morning?

I want to see her cry like the spoiled brat she is.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 01:30 PM (ZfkPl)

128 108 AnonymousDrivel MSNBC will be on the air: it'll just be broadcasting a Video Yule Log and a continuous audio track of 1960s protest songs. Sort of like what Soviet TV broadcast back in the day when Premiers and Party Chairmen died, or what Third World countries broadcast when a coup occurs.

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 01:30 PM (chhYn)

129 123 "...Ace will have the boners of all boners and it will be every moron's hiney for itself." That needs to be embroidered on pillows and sold in the AoS Boutique. Anybody know how to do that or are we talking Chinese sweatshop children for a fast turn-around? Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 06:28 PM (zxpIo) I'm thinking little street urchins in some back alley of Calcutta.

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:30 PM (tJjm/)

130 #112 curious

"I'm not feeling the same way about jon stewart...i feel like he isn't the least bit genuine..."

Do tell.

Posted by: Miss Marple at October 31, 2010 01:31 PM (aXJHp)

131
There comes a time
When we heed a certain call
When the right must come together as one
There are people lying
And it's time to lend a hand to truth
The greatest gift of all

We can't go on
Pretending day by day
That someone, somewhere will soon make a change
We are all a part of
God's great big family
And the truth, you know love is all we need

[Chorus]
We are the wave
We are the morons
We are the ones who make a brighter day
So let's start waving
There's a choice we're making
We're saving our own lives
It's true we'll make a better day
Just you and me

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 01:31 PM (zb9qo)

132

Nah, gerg is getting his poll results about 30 min early so he's media

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2010 01:31 PM (yLCsy)

133
Affirmative Action is the most successful program ever initiated by government, and we're proud of its success in moving minorities into positions of power and prestige.

Posted by: Harry Reid, D-Nevada at October 31, 2010 01:31 PM (v1gw3)

134 @130: nah, I figure that around 8:00 pm Tuesday, MSNBC will switch to a rerun of Obama's speech in Berlin.

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:32 PM (tJjm/)

135 118 'Sup, dood?!  Have you waxed your board, yet?

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 06:26 PM (YX6i/)

Yeah, brah! Had to go find my long board. Forgot where I left it. Musta' been the Maui Wowie we toked up last time a storm hit.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 01:32 PM (YWhoe)

136

Hang on.

In a post above, Greg says "So you guys like that one, pay attention to the WV, WA, CA and PA polls they will be releasing soon."

It seems that Greg knows these PPP polls won't be good for the GOP, otherwise he wouldn't be demanding we "pay attention" to them. But how does he know this when the polls haven't been released yet? PPP is the Democrat pollster so how did he come by this insider information.......unless he's part of the Dem party machinery?

What's the story Greg?

Posted by: AussieMarcus at October 31, 2010 01:32 PM (Pelv9)

137 btw you can catch the coverage of the 1994 midterms on YouTube, I was 5 at the time so I never got to enjoy that and I couldn't believe how depressed the anchors were

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:32 PM (xQuuU)

138 "Frank is out?, Frank is out?. Am I hearing that correctly?"

Posted by: CNN Idiots at 9:00 Eastern at October 31, 2010 01:32 PM (wj+Hw)

139

per PPP tweet...

"Our polling would suggest rumors of Joe Miller's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Close race, he's definitely still in it"

 

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 06:30 PM (ZfkPl)

Now come on, you're going to make Greg cry.

Posted by: robtr at October 31, 2010 01:33 PM (hVDig)

140 Denigrating the office is an integral part of his strategy. Posted by: iknowtheleft at October 31, 2010 06:23 PM (G/MYk) Yes, and that strategy appears to be that he serve only one term as POTUS. I can get behind that strategy 100%

Posted by: Nighthawk at October 31, 2010 01:33 PM (UtQFs)

141 HUGE story via Drudge (Of Course)

CBS caught fabricating story against Joe Miller.

Posted by: MelodicMetal at October 31, 2010 01:33 PM (9eTd5)

142 With glistening pectorals that induced tingling legs, Barack Obama became our first Pet Rock President, a man whose fifteen minutes were up even before the big hand hit three. Relying on ideologues and acquired sensitivities, the Pet Rock President dashed his own post-partisan and post-racial promises. “Passage at any cost” was his M.O., the pets who did his bidding be damned -- Pelosi, the faux religious Cruella de Ville, Reid, the obtuse apotheosis of the Peter Principle, and Waxman, the bureaucrat who never read a bill he didn’t read. Together, these Pet Pebbles gave the Pet Rock President a wardrobe befitting an emperor; that is, everything to adorn his exalted sense of self and nothing the American people really wanted to see. And for that, the polls will be bustling on November the second…

Posted by: JackRev at October 31, 2010 01:33 PM (vKJob)

143 <sigh>...anyone out there have some wheels they can lend me?...mine have fallen off.

Posted by: OBAMA'S BUS at October 31, 2010 01:34 PM (5qJM5)

144 What's the over/under on MSNBC/NYT/ABC/LSD suicides come Wednesday AM?

Posted by: Rajiv Vindaloo at October 31, 2010 01:34 PM (BZ2Bm)

145 Speaking of wearing a suit and tie, did not Nolan Ryan just a bust a fastball at the game last night while WEARING A TIE?

Posted by: Hapless Strikeout Victim at October 31, 2010 01:34 PM (3W1+C)

146 So some of their polls are good, but the "important" race polls are rigged, huh?  No pollster wants their last result to be crap.   Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 06:27 PM (huyI However, it does often happen that a pollster's last polls ARE crap, reflecting bias or incompetence or both.

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 01:35 PM (chhYn)

147 I can't wait until Issa subpoenas the DOJ over the Black Panther stuff. Can't wait.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 31, 2010 01:35 PM (VW9/y)

148 Have any of you had this experience?   I know I have.

Posted by: Delta Smelt at October 31, 2010 01:35 PM (AZWim)

149 With glistening pectorals that induced tingling legs, Barack Obama became our first Pet Rock President, a man whose fifteen minutes were up even before the big hand hit three. Relying on ideologues and acquired sensitivities, the Pet Rock President dashed his own post-partisan and post-racial promises. “Passage at any cost” was his M.O., the pets who did his bidding be damned -- Pelosi, the faux religious Cruella de Ville, Reid, the obtuse apotheosis of the Peter Principle, and Waxman, the bureaucrat who never read a bill he didn’t read. Together, these Pet Pebbles gave the Pet Rock President a wardrobe befitting an emperor; that is, everything to adorn his exalted sense of self and nothing the American people really wanted to see. And for that, the polls will be bustling on November the second…

Dude, can I just eat my waffle?

Posted by: CNN Idiots at October 31, 2010 01:36 PM (wj+Hw)

150 Frank is out?, Frank is out? Well, not yet but if you really want...

Posted by: This Thread's obligatory Andrew Sullivan at October 31, 2010 01:36 PM (BZ2Bm)

151 But...but...but; what about all of us hipsters being in DC yesterday...10 million at least!...we vote you know.

Posted by: Greg in DC at October 31, 2010 01:36 PM (5qJM5)

152

Yeah, brah! Had to go find my long board. Forgot where I left it. Musta' been the Maui Wowie we toked up last time a storm hit.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 06:32 PM (YWhoe)

Yeah.  '94 was gnarly.  But, I think we're talking Waimea + Mavericks, this time.  And I don't mean the likes of McCain.  I'm talking Mark Foo.

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 01:36 PM (YX6i/)

153 145 ...anyone out there have some wheels they can lend me?...mine have fallen off. Posted by: OBAMA'S BUS at October 31, 2010 06:34 PM (5qJM5) The wheels on the bus come flying off, Flying off, flying off....

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 01:36 PM (chhYn)

154 Conservatives are so uneducated and crass that even the smallest of the small people in the democrat party will recognize their insignificance, and continue to vote for the winning liberal team of Speaker of the House Pelosi, Senator Reid, and President Obama, the triad of liberal success. ....and there is no wave.....

Posted by: Greg, the cheesy-mac is cold..... at October 31, 2010 01:37 PM (BSVaa)

155

Uh Oh, not good news from the Conservative New York Times Greg.

NYT LEAD MONDAY: Both parties see possibility of bigger Republican wins in House than either side was talking about -- even few days ago... Developing...

From Drudge

Posted by: robtr at October 31, 2010 01:37 PM (hVDig)

156 145 <sigh>...anyone out there have some wheels they can lend me?...mine have fallen off.

Posted by: OBAMA'S BUS at October 31, 2010 06:34 PM (5qJM5)

They haven't fallen off.  Its just that so many people have been thrown under you they no longer touch the ground.

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 01:37 PM (oVQFe)

157 @149: it would be something if Obama's DOJ instructed its lawyers to take the 5th, wouldn't it?

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:37 PM (tJjm/)

158

How will we contain our enthusiasm until Tuesday night?

I just don't see it happening, personally. I have a fridge full of pudding courtesy of SIL#1 and am planning a big trip to the liquor store tomorrow.

Ace, you are live-blogging this, aren't you?

Aren't you?

 

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 01:37 PM (3jxR/)

159 Greg- From Dreudge: >NYT LEAD MONDAY: Both parties see possibility of bigger Republican wins in House than either side was talking about -- even few days ago... Developing... I will wash the pudding off my nutsack with your tears.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 31, 2010 01:38 PM (VW9/y)

160 147 Speaking of wearing a suit and tie, did not Nolan Ryan just a bust a fastball at the game last night while WEARING A TIE? Don't forget that the first pitch is being thrown out tonight by someone who I expect will a) Hit the strike zone easily and b) will infuriate the shit out of liberals when he gets huge amounts of cheers.

Posted by: Rajiv Vindaloo at October 31, 2010 01:38 PM (BZ2Bm)

161 Mr. Wolf is suggesting to me it's not only time to start dipping in pudding, it's time to start marinating in it. We can bring pudding into the voting booth, right?

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at October 31, 2010 01:38 PM (swuwV)

162 That scoreboard thingy is way cool. Thanks for posting it. It'll make election night even funner.

The way I read it, my 63-seat prediction requires Republicans to win all races in which they're now behind by 1. I can live with that.

A 100-seat pickup requires winning all down-11 races. Not likely. Let's not set the bar too high.

Posted by: schizuki at October 31, 2010 01:38 PM (M+lbD)

163 Frank is out? ....back in soon...IYKWIMAITTYD....

Posted by: Greg, the cheesy-mac is cold..... at October 31, 2010 01:38 PM (BSVaa)

164 155 145 ...anyone out there have some wheels they can lend me?...mine have fallen off.
Posted by: OBAMA'S BUS at October 31, 2010 06:34 PM (5qJM5)

The wheels on the bus come flying off,
Flying off, flying off....

Posted by: stuiec at October 31, 2010 06:36 PM (chhYn)

We're ummmmmmmm, we're uhhhhhhhhh, going...too...fast...down, uhhhhhhhh...that next HILLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!11!! eleventy!!!

Posted by: Panic On OBAMA'S BUS at October 31, 2010 01:38 PM (5qJM5)

165 160 How will we contain our enthusiasm until Tuesday night? I plan on doing a lot of poling. LOTS of poling. IYKWIM. AIKTYD!

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:39 PM (tJjm/)

166 She keeps asking who will get the ax, what party will go away?  the dems or the republicans...damn you msnbc why did you tell her stuff like this?

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 06:29 PM (p302b)

Tell her it will be the dems that get the boot.   Maybe she'll shut up after that.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 01:39 PM (ZfkPl)

167 I'm content with pretty much anything that loses Dem control of the pursestrings and puts Nanzi's flat ass in the back benches.

Like, I mean, we can do things about that now, yannow?

Posted by: Kim Kardashian at October 31, 2010 01:41 PM (8zlLq)

168

How will we contain our enthusiasm until Tuesday night?


Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 06:37 PM (3jxR/)

I'm not going to be able to. I have the defibrillator ready to go, but the wife's not home at the moment, so I'm trying to hold out long enough for her to return.

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 01:41 PM (YX6i/)

169 "NYT LEAD MONDAY: Both parties see possibility of bigger Republican wins in House than either side was talking about -- even few days ago... Developing... " BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:41 PM (tJjm/)

170 Like, I mean, we can do things about that now, yannow? Posted by: Kim Kardashian at October 31, 2010 06:41 PM (8zlLq) Kim, didn't I see a story on CNN that your ass implants popped during doggy-style sex?

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:43 PM (tJjm/)

171 As you probably know, I am (for myself) defining a real victory as the Super Wave. I know that's expectations-raising and all but that's what I want.

Super Wave???...is that like Captain America and Aquaman?  They're both AWESOME!!!

Posted by: The Pain of Palin Steele (comic book aficionado) at October 31, 2010 01:43 PM (5qJM5)

172 this morning I sent this and this to all of my friends asking the libs/dems to at least watch them cause they are funny and to pass it on to people they know are voting in those districts as a way of being "fair and balanced".

Everyone thought they were funny and I know I made some people think...and I know a lot of people forwarded my email to their friends...so that was a good "days work" today...

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:43 PM (p302b)

173 OMG I just realized that an "M" name will win the alaska race no matter what...and that's my prediction, I stand by it...

Posted by: your friend, joe at October 31, 2010 01:45 PM (p302b)

174 99 Originally written by Gil Scott Heron, I rewrote it in a way the Moron nation will appreciate (I hope) Thank you from the moron hoard.

Posted by: End of times wave at October 31, 2010 01:45 PM (Ceb/w)

175 The wheels on the bus come flying off, Flying off, flying off.... No No No....they go round and round.....just like Katy's boobs uhhhh, Mom.....

Posted by: Greg, the cheesy-mac is cold..... at October 31, 2010 01:45 PM (BSVaa)

176 Scott Bielaf beating Bawney Fwank would be tantamount of a 100 ft wave hitting the shores of San Francisco. It would totally demoralize the Democrats. First the seat that Teddy Kennedy, sat his besotted ass in for the last 60+ years, lost to a (gasp) Republican and now the seat that Frank sits in gone. The end of civilization as the Democrats know it.

Posted by: Stan at October 31, 2010 01:46 PM (N1Gru)

177 Tavaris Jackson > Brett Favre

Posted by: Delta Smelt at October 31, 2010 01:46 PM (AZWim)

178 Time to make an ice run. Be right back.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 01:48 PM (YWhoe)

179 I want Barney Frank gone (and in prison) more than any other win.

Posted by: Tami at October 31, 2010 01:48 PM (VuLos)

180 Fuck. I'm supposed to be taking a nap (work nights) but this shit has me to excited

Posted by: Zakn at October 31, 2010 01:48 PM (zyaZ1)

181 Folks.....don't get cocky.....

Posted by: FU52 at October 31, 2010 01:48 PM (BSVaa)

Posted by: / at October 31, 2010 01:49 PM (p302b)

183 183 Folks.....don't get cocky..... Posted by: FU52 at October 31, 2010 06:48 PM (BSVaa) You can be a real big prick...

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 01:49 PM (tJjm/)

184 greg you can lick the pudding off my dog's balls. I'm generous that way.

Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Team at October 31, 2010 01:51 PM (eCAn3)

185  the Bushes throw out the 1st pitch yet?

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 01:51 PM (zb9qo)

186 At least if NYer's can vote out everyone up for re election in the state senate that might show they have half a brain....

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 01:51 PM (p302b)

187 And beat the original Ghouls 'n Ghosts for the NES without pausing.
And Mega Man!

And yes, buzzion, I have to admit that episode of Chuck was the only reason I know about "killscreens."

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 01:51 PM (Ew1k4)

188 Here's another great story linked at Drudge: Grim Dems Await Huge House Losses.  A quote from a Dem media consultant:“Everybody that is tied will lose, and everyone that is ahead by a few points will lose because of the GOP wave,”  “There are going to be some surprises.”

Posted by: tims472 at October 31, 2010 01:51 PM (kzxY7)

189

You just know we'll all be insufferable until the very last drop of Valu-Rite and pudding is gone, sometime late Wednesday night.

Ther very best part of this will be my smug satisfaction when I go to a gig with my lib musical friends. They know how much of a political junkie I am. I might even tell a couple of them about my blog that I keep secret.

This kind of shock just might bring a few of them around to that wonderful thing called "reality". What a concept!

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 01:52 PM (3jxR/)

190 185.....huh??????

Posted by: FU52 at October 31, 2010 01:52 PM (BSVaa)

191 Mass extinction event.....join the dinosaurs, Democrats!

Posted by: picturerock at October 31, 2010 01:53 PM (xhDNS)

192 Mr. Y-not has promised to dip for me... but only if we win the Senate. 

Prepare the puddings!

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 01:53 PM (UcOiF)

193 ummm.... that's a real nice ad for effing Dingell at the top of this web page. WHY???? Do any other morons notice it too?

Posted by: political correctness czar at October 31, 2010 01:55 PM (UPNlB)

194 greg you can lick the pudding off my dog's balls. I'm generous that way.'

Hey!!  Be generous with your own genitals, dude.  I have standards and I will lick my own balls, thank you very much.

Posted by: UncleFacts's Canine Companion at October 31, 2010 01:55 PM (zxpIo)

195 This is a rolling feed of every piece of elitist crap the NYT publishes, as it's released. Keep an eye on it for the pudding cup review...I mean "bigger wave than expected" article. http://nytimes.com/timeswire/ There's also an rss feed link at the bottom of the page, if you're into that sort of thing, you sick bastards.

Posted by: Rajiv Vindaloo at October 31, 2010 01:55 PM (BZ2Bm)

196 Mr. Y-not has promised to dip for me... but only if we win the Senate. 

Prepare the puddings!

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 06:53 PM (UcOiF)

ah-hem...for you or for him?

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 01:55 PM (ZfkPl)

197 Nate Silver says if NC-4 goes GOP, then the Trunks win 112.  Based on my convenience store nose count,  Lawson for the win.

Posted by: mrp at October 31, 2010 01:56 PM (HjPtV)

198 195 ummm.... that's a real nice ad for effing Dingell at the top of this web page. WHY????

To give Greg something to read? 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 01:57 PM (UcOiF)

199 "NYT LEAD MONDAY: Both parties see possibility of bigger Republican wins in House than either side was talking about -- even few days ago... Developing.."

Notice nothing was said about the Senate.  I've NEVER said the momentum in the House races was stalled.  I've always focused on the floundering Senate races.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 01:57 PM (huyI8)

200 ah-hem...for you or for him?

We will both enjoy the pudding. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 01:57 PM (UcOiF)

201 201 Hey Greg now you're back, will you answer the question at 138? Cheers.

Posted by: AussieMarcus at October 31, 2010 01:58 PM (Pelv9)

202

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 06:57 PM (huyI

again coming up short in the senate doesn't mean it's not a wave election dumbass, look to 1930 as a great example

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 01:59 PM (xQuuU)

203 The Dems are playing the expectations game well this last weekend. 

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 01:59 PM (huyI8)

204 Hi! Off topic -- did you all hear about Doc Zero over at HotAir's Greenroom? He's been hired at Human Events.

Posted by: Mindy at October 31, 2010 02:02 PM (WugQm)

205

Suicide watch --

Greater on Tues. night for the libtards?

-or -

Greater in the days following Michael Jackson's death by all his pathetic fans?

Posted by: laceyunderalls at October 31, 2010 02:02 PM (YOqW8)

206 >>The Dems are playing the expectations game well this last weekend. No you're not.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 31, 2010 02:02 PM (VW9/y)

207 Apparently those people voting for Senators are entirely different than those voting in the House races. Funny how that works out.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 02:02 PM (CN+Qv)

208 Puh-fuckin-lease, Greg.  Did you see that congenital idiot Chris Van Hollen on FNS this morning?  He's totally convinced it's all a big foolie and the Dems are gonna come out swinging for the cheap sets on Tuesday. 

Could. Not. Stop. Laughing.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 02:02 PM (zxpIo)

209 119 http://lookatthisfuckinhipster.com/ - My youngest kid probably has his picture there somewhere.

Posted by: GrumpyUnk at October 31, 2010 02:02 PM (TkQ9R)

210 Raz says our older citizens are going GOP with an 18 point spread.  If thats the case, it will be a superwave with a touch of grey.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at October 31, 2010 02:03 PM (JcRgg)

211 Greg reminds me of Leary, the villain from In the Line of Fire, who insists that he is Clint Eastwood's friend because he's never lied to him. 

Because Greg is a concerned conservative who will be voting a straight R ticket in Wisconsin (except for a sheriff candidate whom the progressives have labeled a fake Democrat).  And we know this is true because, although he has never espoused a single conservative belief, nor has he ever endorsed a single conservative candidate, he tells us so. 

And Greg, like Leary, would never lie to us.

Well, here's the thing.  Cards on the table time.  Tell us why you're voting for Johnson over Feingold, Walker over Barrett, and whoever the hell you claim you're voting for in your Congressional district or I'm finished reading your posts. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:03 PM (UcOiF)

212 did you all hear about Doc Zero over at HotAir's Greenroom? He's been hired at Human Events.

Posted by: Mindy at October 31, 2010 07:02 PM (WugQm)

Great news.  Used to know a managing editor, over there.  Good people. 

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 02:03 PM (YX6i/)

213

You know what this means, don't you?

We need to make a drink just for this occasion.

Essential ingredients include Valu-Rite, and um, something chocolate, either liquor or pudding, perhaps with a flaming top to honor Quenchy.

Let the competition begin!

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 02:03 PM (3jxR/)

214 Hey!! Be generous with your own genitals, dude. I have standards and I will lick my own balls, thank you very much. Posted by: UncleFacts's Canine Companion at October 31, 2010 06:55 PM (zxpIo) Summon the Meteor Balls!

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 02:03 PM (tJjm/)

215 I like the Nate Silver site (even if he is a libtard), but yeah, it's clear that he is a pure math guy - they tend to think mathematics can solve every problem, including accurate election predictions.  Well, it can't.  There are some things that are just too difficult to quantify in any meaningful manner.

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 02:04 PM (gx/7q)

216 195 ummm.... that's a real nice ad for effing Dingell at the top of this web page. WHY???? Do any other morons notice it too?

Posted by: political correctness czar at October 31, 2010 06:55 PM (UPNlB)

They seem to be region specific probably based on IP.  I've currently got anti-Ted Strickland ads up.  I've also seen pro-Strickland ads appear.

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 02:04 PM (oVQFe)

217 As always gentlemen, with the possible approach of any Republican SuperWave, let us remind outselves that we are in the Republican Party. Remember, this is the party that gave us the Bushtards, Mittens, Mitch McConnell, Cantor, and the Republican Congress that never saw an earmark it didn't like. In other words, these people are sure to find a way to fuck things up. In short, ladies and gentlemen, in the words of the Remarkable Mr. Wolf, "Well, let's not start sucking each other's dicks quite yet, gentlemen."

Posted by: Downfall Hitler's Last Parody at October 31, 2010 02:04 PM (H6lGz)

218  ohioans are shouting at the prince....

Posted by: / at October 31, 2010 06:49 PM (p302b)

Even Clevelanders are giving him the heave-ho.

Fuck 'im.

Posted by: ErikW at October 31, 2010 02:04 PM (hex3W)

219 I'm going to be one pissed off squid on Wednesday if all you muthafuckin SUPER WAVE FREAKS turn out to be wrong. You better BE RIGHT!

Posted by: HondaV65 at October 31, 2010 02:04 PM (F8kve)

220 208 >>The Dems are playing the expectations game well this last weekend.

No you're not. Posted by: JackStraw at October 31, 2010 07:02 PM

---

I see what you did there. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:04 PM (UcOiF)

221 Oh, thank God.  Not gonna be a shutout. 

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 02:05 PM (YX6i/)

222 192 185.....huh?????? Posted by: FU52 at October 31, 2010 06:52 PM (BSVaa) Oh, I thought you were trying to make this one of our notorious cock threads... Sorry. (sulks off into a corner)

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 02:05 PM (tJjm/)

223

Anyone else notice how Greg has steadily upped his definition of what constitutes a "wave", as the polls have moved further to the GOP??

A couple of weeks ago, it was "meh, they'll win only 40-50 house and 5 Senate seats. Big deal, no wave, they should be winning 50-60 seats".

Then last week it became "only 50-60 House and 6-7 Senate seats. So what. That's not a wave, they should be going for 70 seats".

Now it seems to be "70 House seats and  8 Senate isn't a wave, they need to win 80-90 seats plus every close Senate race."

 

I like Greg. There's something amusing about a troll who can't even pretend to keep his own bullshit straight.

Posted by: AussieMarcus at October 31, 2010 02:06 PM (Pelv9)

224 We need to make a drink just for this occasion.


That's an excellent idea! 

Might make a good addition to the Moron(ette) Cookbook and Cheese Cake Calendars.

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:06 PM (UcOiF)

225 did you all hear about Doc Zero over at HotAir's Greenroom? He's been hired at Human Events.

Excellent.  Love Doc Zero.  He deserves better than the sidebar at a dying blog.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 02:06 PM (zxpIo)

226

We need to make a drink just for this occasion.

Essential ingredients include Valu-Rite, and um, something chocolate, either liquor or pudding, perhaps with a flaming top to honor Quenchy.

Let the competition begin!


Okay here's my candidate (substitute Val-U-Rite for the Grey Goose)

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 02:07 PM (gx/7q)

227 We will both enjoy the pudding. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 06:57 PM (UcOiF)

You are going to need more pudding, like a gallon.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 02:07 PM (V9Q+f)

228 I still think about 60 in the House and 8 in the Senate is the most reasonable prediction, based on all I've heard. But I will GLADLY be proven a total fool by a Super Wave!

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 02:07 PM (tJjm/)

229 Thank you, Pats.  At least you guys are covering the spread. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:07 PM (UcOiF)

230 Apparently those people voting for Senators are entirely different than those voting in the House races. Funny how that works out.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 07:02 PM (CN+Qv)

And amazing, too, that 55 wins, only, in the house would not be part of a wave.    Seems to me there has been much discussion from Greg about House races.    Now, he's just talking about Senate races.

 

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 02:07 PM (ZfkPl)

231 We need to make a drink just for this occasion

The Tuesday Tsunami.  Ingredients:  the blood of patriots with a generous splash of lib tears.  Shaken, not stirred.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 02:09 PM (zxpIo)

232 Posted by: AussieMarcus at October 31, 2010 07:06 PM (Pelv9)

People have noticed that Greg keeps moving the Goal Posts.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 02:09 PM (V9Q+f)

233 Oh c'mon people, Greg is some troll from DU who is here to do anti-GOTV for their side, don't give him too much credit, or thought, or even basic respect or decency, that would be  an unearned honor for him

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 02:10 PM (gx/7q)

234 187  the Bushes throw out the 1st pitch yet?

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 06:51 PM (zb9qo)

I think game time is 8:00 pm eastern.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 02:12 PM (YWhoe)

235

 

 

 

 

Be the Shock Wave

 

 

 

Posted by: CanaDave at October 31, 2010 02:13 PM (XXRI4)

236

People have noticed that Greg keeps moving the Goal Posts.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 07:09 PM (V9Q+f)

He's slowly moving it so it no longer about how many seats are actually won but what the margin of victory actually is.  Like if it really was a wave Angle would have won by 8 rather than 3.  Stuff like that. 

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 02:13 PM (oVQFe)

237 You are going to need more pudding, like a gallon.

'Wish we still had a hot tub. 

We're renting this place and I'm not sure the landlord would be too keen on me filling up the bathtub. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:13 PM (UcOiF)

238

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 07:07 PM (gx/7q)

Wow. Two of those and you'd see Elvis.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 02:13 PM (3jxR/)

239

Essential ingredients include Valu-Rite, and um, something chocolate, either liquor or pudding, perhaps with a flaming top to honor Quenchy.

Let the competition begin!

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 07:03 PM (3jxR/)

Chocolate martinis for me.   And, since this will be, probably, one of the biggest elections in my lifetime, I will be substituting the Valu-Rite for Goose.   Plus adding lots & lots of cherries.

 

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 02:14 PM (ZfkPl)

240 The Tuesday Tsunami.  Ingredients:  the blood of patriots with a generous splash of lib tears.  Shaken, not stirred.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 07:09 PM (zxpIo)

David Brooks will ad seltzer to it and call it "Unexpected".

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 02:14 PM (YX6i/)

241 I'm already committed to buying bosom-dipping pudding for the 'ettes. But the deadline for submitting your cup sizes is rapidly coming up upon us, gals!

Posted by: CoolCzech at October 31, 2010 02:15 PM (tJjm/)

242


Okay here's my candidate (substitute Val-U-Rite for the Grey Goose)

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 07:07 PM (gx/7q)

Jeebus...I don't want to be comatose before the EC races are called.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 02:16 PM (ZfkPl)

243 "He's slowly moving it so it no longer about how many seats are actually won but what the margin of victory actually is.  Like if it really was a wave Angle would have won by 8 rather than 3.  Stuff like that. "

Nope.  In politics, a win is a win.  Doesn't matter if it's a narrow 1 pt win or a Paul in KY blowout.

And in response to the poster who wondered how I knew what PPP might show, I'm sure others here have sources, as well.  From what I understand, they really are working on the partisan breakdowns/weighting, so they get the results right (they had the raw numbers earlier).  They want to be better than Rasmussen this cycle.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 02:17 PM (huyI8)

244 I think every event over the last stretch has only solidified conservative passion and further exposed the inanity and horribleness of the ruling left. I agree that modest expectations of gains will be surpassed.

Posted by: rrpjr at October 31, 2010 02:17 PM (pHaEX)

245 Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 07:13 PM (oVQFe)

Yep, expect him to start spinning as fast as a nuclear centrifuge. We unseat people like Fwank and the frigging Senate Majority Leader but if we do it by 3% it isn't a victory for us.

On election day, he won't be fucking that chicken. The chicken will be fucking him.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 02:18 PM (V9Q+f)

246

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 07:17 PM (huyI

hey asshole, again look to the 1930 senate elections

Posted by: YRM (The Youngest Commenter On Ace Who Has Big Pudding Plans For Tuesday) at October 31, 2010 02:19 PM (xQuuU)

247 They want to be better than Rasmussen this cycle.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 07:17 PM (huyI

They don't have it in them.    But, then again, since you are from KOS, I'm sure you want to believe that.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 02:20 PM (ZfkPl)

248 @245
Prove you're a conservative and not a moby. 
Tell us why you're voting for Johnson over Feingold, Walker over Barrett, and whoever the hell you claim you're voting for in your Congressional district. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:20 PM (UcOiF)

249 chemjeff, if you make that drink, make sure you sip on it.....all night long.

Posted by: laceyunderalls at October 31, 2010 02:22 PM (YOqW8)

250 Reuters (of fauxtography fame)  claims Bwany Fwank is 'funny'. I think they meant 'shitty' buts who's to know?

Posted by: torabora at October 31, 2010 02:23 PM (IblyN)

251
why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?


Enough with the fucking echo chamber in here. It's getting like DU.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:23 PM (zb9qo)

252 Is there an echo in here, or is it just me?

Posted by: Ronster at October 31, 2010 02:25 PM (9q4PA)

253 In 2004, Harry Reid won re-election with 61.1 Percent. His Rep challenger had 35.1 Percent. If we unseat Reid it is spectacular. But Greg will proclaim that there is no wave because we only beat him by 3-4 percent.

I am sure Barney Frank has won past elections by double digit margins. But if we only beat him by 3-4 percent it isn't a wave. Despite the fact that the difference between this election and the last election is double digits.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 02:25 PM (V9Q+f)

254

Kahleeeforneeeha's budget is counting on $5.3 billion in bail-out money.

*inset long pause here*

Bwahaaaaa!

Posted by: torabora at October 31, 2010 02:26 PM (IblyN)

255 6.) Win the triple crown.*





*Without a Horse

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 06:07 PM (O2/Ya)

 

Look, its not because I can run fast ok? Quit askin!

Posted by: A man called Horse at October 31, 2010 02:26 PM (FIDMq)

256 Can I just say... we morons tend to let our inner 14 year old boy loose on this site (along with trenchant, pithy political analysis, of course), but the moronettes are the epitome of class and dignity.  Thanks for putting up with our extended adolescence, ladies. 

Now show us your boobs! 

(Seriously, thanks.  This site wouldn't be what it is without you)

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 02:27 PM (c1oyg)

257

They don't have it in them.    But, then again, since you are from KOS, I'm sure you want to believe that.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 07:20 PM (ZfkPl)

They can just lie about how accurate they were. Its not like the MSM will actually check.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 02:27 PM (CN+Qv)

258

Notice nothing was said about the Senate. I've NEVER said the momentum in the House races was stalled. I've always focused on the floundering Senate races.

I'm probably giving you more respect than you deserve, but there's been little change in Republican prospects for taking the Senate- it's always been a longshot.

About all that's changed in the past month is whether we need to win 4 of 4 toss-up races, 5 of 6, or 6 of 7.

The difference between holding 50 seats or 48 seats is negligible given that we'd need 51 seats to overcome the Slow Joe tiebreaker. While possible, almost everyone has acknowledged that it's unlikely.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2010 02:27 PM (plsiE)

259 I'm a believer even though a small part of me fears the tsunami won't be large enough to justify the enthusiasm.

However, not all of these polls can be wrong so if the reality doesn't match expectations, I'm going to be asking questions, like just how bad is vote fraud in
places like Washington state?

Hope we can get somebody in the GOP interested in doing something about the vote fraud.  A few high profile cases would go a long way toward restoring confidence.

What I do know for a fact is that the Democrats are wailing loud and hard and they ain't acting.  I'm keyed up now just to see how bad it just might be.

House:  68+
Senate:  49-49 split

... but a whole lot of state legislatures and governors' mansions will have gone red and that bodes well for the future.


Posted by: Full Moon at October 31, 2010 02:27 PM (DtbEv)

260

These predictions are getting absurd. And Nate Silver's an ass.

The only one I trust is Michael Barone. The rest of them sound like the stock pickers who use Technical Analysis to pull stock picks/prices out of their asses.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:28 PM (zb9qo)

261 121"So some of their polls are good, but the "important" race polls are rigged, huh?  No pollster wants their last result to be crap.  "

I'll be interested to look at their results when they release them. You are correct about not wanting their last result to be crap.

Makes the GOTV push all the more critical.

Having said that, I'm completely satisfied with the GOP taking the House and gaining seats in the Senate. This election is all about stopping the bleeding.

Posted by: The Oracle at October 31, 2010 02:28 PM (F6+/O)

262 why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?


Enough with the fucking echo chamber in here. It's getting like DU.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:23 PM (zb9qo)

Because he is a troll.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 02:28 PM (CN+Qv)

263

oh.my.gawd.

pls go watch the reason youtube link at HA from the rally yesterday.

wow. full on retard.

Posted by: laceyunderalls at October 31, 2010 02:30 PM (YOqW8)

264 Hope we can get somebody in the GOP interested in doing something about the vote fraud.  A few high profile cases would go a long way toward restoring confidence.

I think that needs to be stressed at the state level, our SOS has run on keeping fraud to a minimum in MI...even is a racist against zombies as she want to agressively purge the rolls of the dead

Posted by: Lt.Kilgore at October 31, 2010 02:30 PM (FIDMq)

265 chemjeff, if you make that drink, make sure you sip on it.....all night long.

Posted by: laceyunderalls at October 31, 2010 07:22 PM (YOqW

Oh, buuuurrn... I think?  Can't tell.  I'm pretty sure that's a burn.  It's a burn, right?

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 02:30 PM (YX6i/)

266 The Tuesday Tsunami.  Ingredients:  the blood of patriots with a generous splash of lib tears.  Shaken, not stirred.

OK, here's a real-world version:
    * 2 1/2 oz top-shelf gin (Bombay Sapphire, Hendricks,...)
    * 1 oz Tuaca liqueur
    * 1/2 oz red (sweet) vermouth
    * 1 lemon twist for garnish

Store the gin in your freezer so it's nice and cold before mixing.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 02:31 PM (YWhoe)

267 253
why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?

Enough with the fucking echo chamber in here. It's getting like DU.
Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:23 PM

---

You're joking, right? 

Greg is a moby.  And not a very good one at that. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:31 PM (UcOiF)

268 That needs to be embroidered on pillows and sold in the AoS Boutique.  Anybody know how to do that or are we talking Chinese sweatshop children for a fast turn-around?

I say write it with sharpie on pillow cases....

Posted by: EZB at October 31, 2010 02:31 PM (fa9yq)

269 Yeah, just watched it, lacey.

"That makes absolutely no sense, but it's awesome."

Posted by: Editor at October 31, 2010 02:31 PM (YX6i/)

270

@253

You seriously reckon Greg is really a die-hard conservative who just happens to believe one of the (possible) greatest gains in history is no big deal? And only seems to be interested in races where the GOP is not ahead, and those polls that give the best possible result for the Dems? (And whose interest in said states and polls seems to change from day to day depending on which results look best for the Dems at the time?)

Posted by: AussieMarcus at October 31, 2010 02:31 PM (Pelv9)

271 RCP has the Senate Races at 48 Dem and 45 Rep with 7 tossups. We'd need to win 5 of 7 just for a 50-50 tie.

Posted by: Holger at October 31, 2010 02:32 PM (V9Q+f)

272 253
why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?


Enough with the fucking echo chamber in here. It's getting like DU.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:23 PM (zb9qo)

There's a difference between disagreeing on certain issues and not being in lock step with others and the only post you are capable of making being about polls and declaring that there is no wave.  That has been the extent of greg's commentary here.  This is how a greg post typically goes.

"Obscure poll by small polling firm no one has heard of has Republican lead dropping to only 4 points.  There is no wave"

And that's it. Its not about disagreement.  His posts have become as worthless as raykon shouting constantly about "cons why must I pay for your kids school."  If we can call that shit trolling we can call greg's shit trolling.

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 02:32 PM (oVQFe)

273 no, it's not a burn. not at all. just a voice of reason!

Posted by: laceyunderalls at October 31, 2010 02:32 PM (YOqW8)

274

Greg is a moby.

Can I get the AoSHQ definition of moby...it seems to vary from place to place?  Thank you

Posted by: Lt.Kilgore at October 31, 2010 02:32 PM (FIDMq)

275 Greg is a moby.  And not a very good one at that. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 07:31 PM (UcOiF)

I'd say he's more of a dick than a moby.

Posted by: Tami at October 31, 2010 02:32 PM (VuLos)

276 why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?

This is Greg we are talking about.  Every fucking day he comes in here and says "Wave?  What wave?  Look, this poll from Eastern Nowhere State University says Reid is up by 10!!!!!"  His purpose appears mainly to dispirit and dishearten us.  He is our version of Tokyo Rose.

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 02:33 PM (gx/7q)

277 why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?

Enough with the fucking echo chamber in here. It's getting like DU.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:23 PM (zb9qo)

Because he is a troll, and most likely from Kos.  

And who are you to say enough is enough of anything?

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 02:33 PM (ZfkPl)

278

"Super Wave"  huh?

 

Is that some humor aimed at the Eyetallion hair thinggy? Do I humor you?

Posted by: Vito Gorebegone at October 31, 2010 02:33 PM (08Pe8)

279 Posted by: Meggy McCain, D-Flip Flopper Cup at October 31, 2010 05:56 PM (v1gw3)

FTFY

Posted by: TC at October 31, 2010 02:33 PM (BAtLQ)

280 "Well, let's not start sucking each other's dicks quite yet, gentlemen." I'm ready

Posted by: greg at October 31, 2010 02:34 PM (BSVaa)

281 However, not all of these polls can be wrong so if the reality doesn't match expectations, I'm going to be asking questions, like just how bad is vote fraud in places like Washington state?

Posted by: Full Moon at October 31, 2010 07:27 PM (DtbEv)

Very bad. But then it always is. What is probably true is that we have less than normal to fear because the Dems have more work to do and are too dispirited to make the effort.

My guess is that most of the difference in voting splits between normally solid Democratic groups (Liberal Jewish, Gays, Registered Democrat) whcih is about 75 to 80 percent and the black vote (90+) is due to voter fraud in the inner cities.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 02:35 PM (CN+Qv)

282 Anyone ever notice that "Greg" doesn't post when Pissy Chrissy Matthews is on the air?

I wonder....


Posted by: MrScribbler at October 31, 2010 02:35 PM (Ulu3i)

283 I'm going to be asking questions, like just how bad is vote fraud in places like Washington state?

We ain't got no problem whatsoever with vote fraud in Washington State.

Posted by: Zombie King County Voters at October 31, 2010 02:35 PM (gx/7q)

284
A moby to what end?  What's his scam at AoS?

Is he gonna swing an election by posting dumb polls in our comment threads? Really? Come on.

Disagree with him. Argue with him. But the astroturf/conspiracy theories are too much.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:36 PM (zb9qo)

285 This election is all about stopping the bleedhemorrhaging.

Honestly, let's not be squeamish about it!

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 02:36 PM (YWhoe)

286

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:36 PM (zb9qo)

He just posts his posts and leaves. That's what trolls do.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 02:38 PM (CN+Qv)

287 A moby to what end?  What's his scam at AoS?

Is he gonna swing an election by posting dumb polls in our comment threads? Really? Come on.

Disagree with him. Argue with him. But the astroturf/conspiracy theories are too much.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:36 PM (zb9qo)

Why don't you ask Ace?    He seems to see it the same way we do.  

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 02:39 PM (ZfkPl)

288
The funny part is most  "Greg" comments aren't even by the real Greg.


Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:39 PM (zb9qo)

289 Damn. 7:30 and I've had 8 kids.  Is Halloween passe?  What the hell am I going to do with all these apples and razor blades?

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 02:40 PM (c1oyg)

290 #290 Those are the entertaining ones.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 31, 2010 02:40 PM (CN+Qv)

291 What the hell am I going to do with all these apples and razor blades?

Well, you can always deliver treats to houses that have Democrat signs.... (j/k)

Posted by: chemjeff at October 31, 2010 02:40 PM (gx/7q)

292 I don't care who Greg is or where he is from.  I've determined he's a total douche and that's all I need to know.

Posted by: Beavis and Butthead at October 31, 2010 02:41 PM (Vt+Kg)

293 why do you guys find it so hard to believe that someone who doesn't agree with you on everything isn't some concern troll or an undercover agent from Kos?

Well, the guy only showed up here in the past few weeks and his only posts, ever, are "the Republicans are not going to win as much as you think and it won't constitute a wave."

That and it's just too convenient that he happens to know absolutely every detail that might make a case for his argument, but not the contradictory aspects (unless you call him on it).  There's just too much of that to be inadvertent.

Posted by: AD at October 31, 2010 02:41 PM (O2/Ya)

294 #294 What did we ever do to you?

Posted by: Douches at October 31, 2010 02:41 PM (CN+Qv)

295 Soothsayer .....thanks.....sock off

Posted by: greg at October 31, 2010 02:42 PM (BSVaa)

296
I'm Greg.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 02:43 PM (zb9qo)

297 However, not all of these polls can be wrong so if the reality doesn't match expectations, ...

Why can't they all be wrong?

While I may not be a pollster, I think the professionals would agree with me that there's more art than science to polling, particular when you poll a region with which you aren't intimately familiar. I also don't think this election cycle is anything at all like anyone alive has experienced before.

Expect surprises.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 02:44 PM (YWhoe)

298
oops, my hash didn't change

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:44 PM (gYzmF)

299 290
The funny part is most  "Greg" comments aren't even by the real Greg.


Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:39 PM (zb9qo)

Most people are aware of which is the real troll and sockpuppet.  And anytime he is quoted and you see the smiley face at the end that is the real poll troll.  

The only time the issue of people mistaking a sockpuppet for a troll is when they try and pull off the straightman sockpuppet and actually try to legitimately impersonate the troll. 

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 02:44 PM (oVQFe)

300
now it did

shit

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:44 PM (zb9qo)

301 Hi all! I am like totally not a moby or troll or anything.  I'm just a concerned conservative realist.  The Republicans will be lucky to pick up 10 House seats.  No really.  Voting is just a waste of time on Tuesday.  Why bother?  There's no wave.  We've totally failed.  If we had embraced Obama's agenda, the voters would have rewarded us with big majorities in Congress.  But since Republicans were obstructionist jerks, they won't hardly win at all.  Oh and I'm like totally not from Daily Kos or anything.  No really.

Posted by: Greggy Weggy at October 31, 2010 02:45 PM (gx/7q)

302 Soothsayer, may I suggest:
A)We know Axelrod pays people to generate astroturf and Greg, being one of the very few commenters to use a normal name, and having appeared solely for the purpose of spreading demoralizing polls (whether they're bullshit or not) rather than shooting the shit on the ONT or other palate-cleaner threads (even the original palin steele managed that), and having the capacity to express himself in functioning English (as opposed to say Raykon), is the best candidate for the job.

B)Ace threatened to ban him over his banal trolling.  Which, if nothing else, authorized us to fire at will.

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 02:45 PM (Ew1k4)

303 Disagree with him. Argue with him. But the astroturf/conspiracy theories are too much.
Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:36 PM

---

If he's arguing a different point of view, fine.  But he's doing so dishonestly.  He's saying he's voting a straight R ticket (with the exception of a D candidate whom the WI progressives have singled out as a fake D), but gives zero evidence that this is true. 

And he does do damage, because occasional readers and lurkers who haven't followed his schtick for the past several weeks will occasionally pop up and say "hey, why does this guy know something we don't know?"  The point of his schtick is to suppress voter enthusiasm and waste our time in the process.  So that's why he needs to be called out on every thread as a moby (or troll, if you like), so the naive and uninitiated won't take him and the bogus crap he posts seriously. 

And as someone else pointed out, we all have our points of view and hot buttons, but this guy only posts about one topic: there is no wave.  He has no other interests... really?  He's in WI (supposedly) where Feingold is about to lose and he never posts anything about that.  Not happy about it... seriously?  This guy is a conservative.  Sure. 

Why pretend to be a conservative? 

Personally, I don't care if he's getting paid by some campaign or activist group or if he's just doing this for attention... and I don't know that anyone else cares either.  He's a waste of oxygen and he's a dishonest waste of oxygen. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:45 PM (UcOiF)

304
On Monday morning, the democrat party will deliver by FedEx a large tube of KY-Jelly to each democrat office holder, consultant, and liberal media spinner to lessen the pain of the conservative butt fucking that begins on Tuesday night.

Posted by: Pat Caddell, Dem Pollster at October 31, 2010 02:46 PM (v1gw3)

305 man cow just said "the obla blas are handing out full size bags of m&m's tonight at the white house".....

"hypocrites...."  either he or levin said that....

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 02:47 PM (p302b)

306

>>Anyone else notice how Greg has steadily upped his definition of what constitutes a "wave", as the polls have moved further to the GOP??

 

It's not a "wave" unless the GOP has its own space program

Posted by: greggy at October 31, 2010 02:48 PM (SMqnS)

307 I'm cautiously optimistic.

Posted by: The Chicken at October 31, 2010 02:48 PM (zxpIo)

308
I dunno, I think the polls showing Republicans down a few points can only encourage turnout to put them over the top.

The least thing we need is a poll in, say, NV, showing Angle 10 points ahead. People might not even bother to vote.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 02:48 PM (zb9qo)

309 I'm rolling a few dozen metal tunes in my head that just totally have lyrics that are perfect for these times.

Posted by: Berserker at October 31, 2010 02:48 PM (gWHrG)

310 I just talked with a union grocery checker. As I approached the checkstand, she was discussing upcoming layoffs at her store  - Vons, here in Southern California - I said "times are tough everywhere, and I just got the news that my health insurance premium for my family is going up $320/month." She said yes, "Obama sure didn't do us any good." So I said please be sure to vote straight Republican on Tuesday, to punish these people. She said that she and her husband (also a union Vons employee) were going to do just that. Also YES on 23 (to stop the CA cap-n-tax law). And she agreed that Boxer ABSOLUTELY must go. She had driven through the valley a few weeks ago and witnessed the dustbowl first-hand. She was really into the conversation.

One data point.

Posted by: william wilson at October 31, 2010 02:49 PM (M+OJB)

311 Not a wave until we control the spice.

Posted by: Berserker at October 31, 2010 02:49 PM (gWHrG)

312 He's in WI (supposedly) where Feingold is about to lose and he never posts anything about that.

Oh, he did.  He posted about Feingold making up lost ground and that the Republican was going to lose.  Oddly enough, lately he hasn't been mentioning that race for some strange reason.

Posted by: AD at October 31, 2010 02:49 PM (O2/Ya)

313

Just got back from a party in L.A. While driving on Melrose Ave. saw an Obama front group sign and had to laugh.  What a witches brew the west side is and especially today where they close off most of Hollywood for the freak show of a Halloween parade.

We of course got behind an SUV with anti-religious stickers with a driver dressed with horns, and this was at 2PM this afternoon.

Ah, Tuesday we'll throw out the key of Freak's political tribe and restore some much needed sanity.

 

Posted by: journolist at October 31, 2010 02:50 PM (O/NP5)

314 The least thing we need is a poll in, say, NV, showing Angle 10 points ahead. People might not even bother to vote.

Posted by: Soothsayer at October 31, 2010 07:48 PM (zb9qo)

Who in there right mind would base their decision to vote based on a poll?  I dont trust polls period. 

Has anybody heard anything from Pelousy recently about holding the house? 

Posted by: Lt.Kilgore at October 31, 2010 02:51 PM (FIDMq)

315 i honestly think that Americans are sick of polls...so no matter whether they are dem or republican, they lie to the pollsters....

yeah I know someone said to me they have "things in place" to make sure they aren't messed up by that but really how can you read minds...

for my money I'm holding my breathe that my smug dem/lib friends who are still insisting that the drudge headline is a joke and on wednesday nanny will still be the majority leader....will be wrong...and mortified.

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 02:51 PM (p302b)

316 @310
But that's not his only schtick.  In fact, that's not really his main schtick. 

His schtick is to say that nothing will have changed after the elections, even if the Rs win the House and gain 7 or 8 seats in the Senate.  He wants people to believe that voting doesn't matter and elections don't matter.

He's not just arguing polls.  He's arguing the meaning of the elections. 

That does suppress votes because it makes people less enthusiastic about participating. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:51 PM (UcOiF)

317 312

Good stuff, ww.  I am also in SoCal and my ballot is all filled out except for Gov., which I am having a major problem with.  I figure the ink won't even be dry on that one when I drop it off Tuesday morning.  And whichever one I mark will give me no satisfaction whatever.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 02:52 PM (zxpIo)

318
This election will be a reminder for liberals who booed conservatives at the Paul Wellstone funeral that we elephants never forget.

Posted by: Fish at October 31, 2010 02:52 PM (v1gw3)

319 "I'm Greg."

No, I'M GREG!!!

Posted by: Spartacus at October 31, 2010 02:52 PM (DCQ0q)

320
This election is flatter for liberals than Rachel Corrie's pancake ass!

Posted by: Fish at October 31, 2010 02:54 PM (v1gw3)

321 This election will be a reminder for liberals who booed conservatives at the Paul Wellstone funeral that we elephants never forget.

Posted by: Fish at October 31, 2010 07:52 PM (v1gw3)

The absolute nadir of American politics in my lifetime

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 02:54 PM (c1oyg)

322 Berserker ...Frank Herbert channels Greg....or you cons know there is no wave....

Posted by: greg at October 31, 2010 02:54 PM (BSVaa)

323 @314

Really?  I missed that.  Thanks for pointing that out, AD. 

To me he blew it when he was unable to maintain the fakey persona of being "sad" about all of these races that "we" were going to lose.  That happened a couple of weeks ago. 

I prefer a regular troll who is honest about being a lib, even if they are assholes, over a person who sits there and lies to me about their POV. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 31, 2010 02:55 PM (UcOiF)

324 I notice a regular weekday schedule on fox tonight save Ted Baxter.  I notice The Great American didn't take the weekend off.  I feel shocked!

Posted by: Delta Smelt at October 31, 2010 02:55 PM (AZWim)

325

One data point.

And two left coast libtards converted whomped viciously about the head and shoulders by reality.

Tee hee. I can't wait until Tuesday.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at October 31, 2010 02:56 PM (3jxR/)

326

for my money I'm holding my breathe that my smug dem/lib friends who are still insisting that the drudge headline is a joke and on wednesday nanny will still be the majority leader....will be wrong...and mortified.

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 07:51 PM (p302b)

Curious, you need to ask your friends to tell you the name of their dealer or what color is the sky in their world when they say that stuff.  Seriously start pointing out that they are delusional in these beliefs everytime they say them.  If this is your outlet to talk about your "friends" then you are doing neither them or yourself any favors, by not expressing you views to them

Posted by: buzzion at October 31, 2010 02:57 PM (oVQFe)

327

You guys really shouldn't get so angry about Greg. He can't even keep his own bullshit straight 90% of the time, so just embrace the humour that his desperate flip-flopping provides for us.

Posted by: AussieMarcus at October 31, 2010 02:57 PM (Pelv9)

328 We need to make a drink just for this occasion.

---

I started making Tea Party Martinis this week. 

Absolut Boston Vodka (black tea and elderflower)
Lemon Juice (for that gadsden flag yellow color)
Simple Syrup

Pretty good, actually.

Posted by: JohnnyEk at October 31, 2010 03:00 PM (mhmc7)

329

Posted by: JohnnyEk at October 31, 2010 08:00 PM (mhmc7)

Just add a curvy stir stick for a snake

Posted by: Lt.Kilgore at October 31, 2010 03:02 PM (FIDMq)

330 312 I just talked with a union grocery checker. As I approached the checkstand, she was discussing upcoming layoffs at her store  - Vons, here in Southern California - I said "times are tough everywhere, and I just got the news that my health insurance premium for my family is going up $320/month." She said yes, "Obama sure didn't do us any good." So I said please be sure to vote straight Republican on Tuesday, to punish these people. She said that she and her husband (also a union Vons employee) were going to do just that. Also YES on 23 (to stop the CA cap-n-tax law). And she agreed that Boxer ABSOLUTELY must go. She had driven through the valley a few weeks ago and witnessed the dustbowl first-hand. She was really into the conversation.

One data point.

Posted by: william wilson at October 31, 2010 07:49 PM (M+OJB)

OK, just thinking outside the box a little here.

Combine that anecdote with the recent link somewhere in the conservative reaches of the intertubes of an anti-Dem ad sponsored by union members -- not a union, but union members. Then think about how a rank and file union member might respond to a telephone call from a pollster. I don't think they would answer honestly, do you? They'd be more likely to regurgitate the union line since there's a real possibility that it's a fake poll, actually a union checking up on their members' fidelity.

So, in my out-there analysis, the polls could be way off in areas where the unions are particularly strong, like Las Vegas for instance.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 03:03 PM (YWhoe)

331 On Matthews' weekend show the libs were split 2-2 on whether Patty Murray can survive.

Posted by: Steven W. at October 31, 2010 03:05 PM (SxXOu)

332 "Oh, he did.  He posted about Feingold making up lost ground and that the Republican was going to lose.  Oddly enough, lately he hasn't been mentioning that race for some strange reason."

The fact of the matter is that Feingold WAS making up ground.  Feingold had just released his Social Security ad (where he knocks the toys off the table...Social Security is off the table, get it?), and then Johnson responded with a kind of sequel to the brilliant "white board" ad, which was the only flat ad of his campaign and his lead went down to about 3-4 pts in internals.  The Johnson campaign immediately dropped the "white board sequel" and went back to jobs and business climate ads and a great ad making light of Feingold calling himself a maverick.  The numbers went back up and stabilized and that's where we are. 

Back at the time, I posted about his internals showing the 3-4 pt lead when the St Norbert poll was released.  And I also said the internals before that had the race vacillating between 5-7 pts, which is where things stand now, btw.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 03:06 PM (huyI8)

333 Hey, if you wanna' see the Bushes through the opening pitches in game 4, coverage has started.

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 03:06 PM (YWhoe)

334 This news gives me wood.

Posted by: Barbarian at October 31, 2010 03:07 PM (EL+OC)

335 Gawd, I hate it when that happens!

through = throw

Posted by: NM Hick, member of the Big Effin Wave Club at October 31, 2010 03:07 PM (YWhoe)

336 On Matthews' weekend show the libs were split 2-2 on whether Patty Murray can survive.

Posted by: Steven W. at October 31, 2010 08:05 PM (SxXOu)

You deserve combat pay for watching that shit.

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 03:08 PM (c1oyg)

337 Hey, if you wanna' see the Bushes through the opening pitches in game 4, coverage has started.

Opening pitch 8:30 ET.  National Anthem right now.  Lyle Lovett!!  Woot!

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 03:09 PM (zxpIo)

338 Wow... Lyle Lovett is an ugly man

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 03:10 PM (c1oyg)

339 338 On Matthews' weekend show the libs were split 2-2 on whether Patty Murray can survive.

If she does, we can thank Ms. Palin. Diddier, Tea Party hard heads, all that...

Posted by: Barbarian at October 31, 2010 03:10 PM (EL+OC)

340

Duuuude, whats this wave people have been talkin about for weeks now, my board is waxed and ready...which beach?

Posted by: Jeff Spicoli at October 31, 2010 03:10 PM (FIDMq)

341 George Bush is set to throw the first pitch tonight in Arlington.

Posted by: Pelayo at October 31, 2010 03:11 PM (V9Q+f)

342 Wow... Lyle Lovett is an ugly man

I hit that.

Posted by: Julia Roberts at October 31, 2010 03:11 PM (zxpIo)

343 Ack, I mis-posted.  First pitch 8:20 ET.  Fuck you, drunken fingers!

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 03:12 PM (zxpIo)

344 Lovett sang it in a straight  forward manner.  He knows that the National Anthem is not about the singer.

Posted by: Pelayo at October 31, 2010 03:12 PM (V9Q+f)

345 Wow... Lyle Lovett is an ugly man

I hit that.

Posted by: Julia Roberts at October 31, 2010 08:11 PM (zxpIo)

Never got her at all.  By Hollywood standards, she's homely.  And I'm not impressed with her acting chops

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 03:13 PM (c1oyg)

346 And the crowd goes crazy gotta love Texas!

Posted by: TEE866 at October 31, 2010 03:14 PM (nO7Mi)

347 "His schtick is to say that nothing will have changed after the elections, even if the Rs win the House and gain 7 or 8 seats in the Senate.  He wants people to believe that voting doesn't matter and elections don't matter.

He's not just arguing polls.  He's arguing the meaning of the elections. "

That's bull***.  Voting matters and elections matter.  And since they matter, you better make hay if the electorate is favorable to your cause (stopping Obama in this case).  And if you leave seats on the table because of underperformed the national environment, that is inexcusable.  Boxer was ready to be beaten this year.  She won't be.  Harry Reid should be down by double digits.  He could actually win (and early voting results aren't bad for him at all), believe it or not.  WV should have turned Red, but an idiotic casting call for "hicks" changed the course of that race.  I'm not even going to get into the DE race, because I would have voted for O'Donnell, to be honest.  But the first ad she runs is "I'm not a witch!!"  I actually think she'll close strong and lose by single digits.  But that seat was given away, too.

If you have the structural advantages the GOP does the year, you better get historical results because you will never have a chance like this again.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 03:15 PM (huyI8)

348 "don't it always seem to go that you don't know what you've got till it's gone"

what a throw mr. bush!

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 03:16 PM (p302b)

349 STEEERIKE!    As lib heads explode

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 03:16 PM (c1oyg)

350 Damn!    Bush made that look easy.   Right in the glove.    Take that you pussy Odumbass.    That's how a real President throws the first pitch.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 03:17 PM (ZfkPl)

351 Awwwwww . . . Daddy Bush looks great, W is as studly as usual (with a nice pitching arm, ahem, Soetoro), and then there was Babs & Laura.  I'm all fuckin' weepy now.  I miss them.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 03:17 PM (zxpIo)

352

Good Lord,

OT, but almost flaming skull stuff. At the WS, they just had George W. Bush throw the first pitch (another nice toss, no less). He got what sounded like a HUGE ovation from the Texas fans, as did his Dad.

Very, very nice to see and hear and very un PC. Maybe the entire country is not totally insane after all.

Posted by: RM at October 31, 2010 03:19 PM (1kwr2)

353

Um...didn't prissypants get booed the last time he threw out a pitch?

You done good Texas!

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 03:20 PM (ZfkPl)

354 Damn!    Bush made that look easy.   Right in the glove.    Take that you pussy Odumbass.    That's how a real President throws the first pitch.

Posted by: Steph at October 31, 2010 08:17 PM (ZfkPl)

Yeah, the Bushes are blue-blooded, noblesse oblige Republicans and all, but dammit, they're classy people.  I miss them.  I'm also pissed that Jed has been screwed out of his shot

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 31, 2010 03:20 PM (c1oyg)

355 I noticed right away the GWB was driving the ATV himself.   BHO would have a driver.

Posted by: Pelayo at October 31, 2010 03:20 PM (V9Q+f)

356

Whoa, I refreshed and for some reason got an ad for Rebecca Kaplan running for mayor of Oakland. 

I saw the photo and at first thought it was one of the guys from Los Lobos.

Posted by: Mr. Dave at October 31, 2010 03:22 PM (jJNJF)

357 I noticed right away the GWB was driving the ATV himself.

Yeah, well, apparently nobody wants to shoot him.  And if they do, he's not gonna let it harsh his mellow.

Posted by: Peaches at October 31, 2010 03:23 PM (zxpIo)

358 Not a wave until we control the all of those damn tulip bulbs.

Posted by: GrumpyUnk in wooden shoes at October 31, 2010 03:26 PM (TkQ9R)

359

Geez, can't you wingnuts get it?

If the GOP is trailing, they should be ahead.

If the GOP is ahead, they should be ahead by more.

And if they are ahead by more, it's "wasted votes" cos it doesn't matter if you win by 1 vote or a million.

So in every single race, the GOP is doing terribly.

You idiots had the chance to win 110% of total races this year, and you let it slip.

Posted by: The Real Greg Shady at October 31, 2010 03:27 PM (Pelv9)

360 If you have the structural advantages the GOP does the year, you better get historical results because you will never have a chance like this again.

Never, at least until two years from now when our guys get to run against Obama's obstructionism.

Posted by: Methos at October 31, 2010 03:30 PM (Ew1k4)

361 When Sarah Palin said "that's sick those are corrupt bastards Chris"...i nearly murfed my coffee

I thought to myself "did she just say that word?" and then I thought "good for her, she calls a spade a spade and she showing she has a brass set".....

Posted by: curious at October 31, 2010 03:34 PM (p302b)

362

Barry never learned to play ball in Indonesia.

Posted by: MAUREEN at October 31, 2010 03:44 PM (sfFuT)

363 If you have the structural advantages the GOP does the year, you better get historical results because you will never have a chance like this again.

Posted by: Greg at October 31, 2010 08:15 PM (huyI


Greg, we are poised to pick up more House seats than in 1994 and that's at the lower end of the estimates that are being tossed around right now.  Even at 55 seats, we will pick up more than have changed seats for anybody party in decades.  As far as "you've never mentioned the House," that's just bull.  You haven't argued over specific races (at least from what I've seen), but you have spent time here telling us that picking up a number of House that is greater than we won in 1994 wouldn't count as historic.  Um, bullshit.

As far as the Senate, in 1994 we didn't pick up Nevada.  We didn't pick up California.  California has been a Democratic state lately, Greg.  It's wasn't expected to even be on our radar.  Nevertheless, we're leading in Nevada now.  We're likely to pick up Wisconsin (which we didn't in 1994).  We'll likely pick up 8 seats in the Senate...just like we did another year...oh yeah, 1994.

Posted by: AD at October 31, 2010 03:58 PM (O2/Ya)

364 As far as I'm concerned the Republican party is sort of like Hercules. If they take the house that's 1 labor (cleaning the Augean stables). If they take the senate that's 2(bye bye lil' hydra). If they take a bunch of governorships that's three (strangling the nemean Lion? Sure why not. Friendly Governors will buy them some cover like an impenetrable lion skin. I guess.). But they still have like nine more labors to go before they can be absolved of the crimes they committed against the American people under the influence of Hera's (RINO-TOSIS) madness. Meanwhile the democrats seem pretty damned irredeemanble.

Posted by: cackfinger at October 31, 2010 04:44 PM (TUBcJ)

365

At least I can say that I did everything I could to help, hung signs for Meg and Carly, made calls for both and Van Tran, walked precincts for all three. Worked the Anaheim GOP event and showed up to protest the Bite me & Boxer lunch in Laguna. They actually gave me my precinct to walk. When I got to my own address, I took a little break , circled Y on all three and then moved on.

Be the Wave!!

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