August 31, 2009

Cowbell: Yet Another New Low for Obama: 46%
— Ace

Pic via Red Square at The People's Cube

At Rasmussen. 53% disapprove, which I'm pretty sure is also a new high.

And more poll analysts predict "moderate to heavy" Democratic losses next year. Everyone's cautious to say they don't mean the Democrats will lose the House -- but that just seems to me to be part of everyone's natural reluctance to predict big changes. It feels a lot safer, less out on a limb, to predict the Republicans just getting close.

I'm guessing there's a fairly decent chance that the Republicans will win the House, but no one wants to talk about that much, preferring to talk up the Republicans getting "within striking distance." After all, in a wave type election, it could be that virtually every contest is lost by the Dems. Elections almost always turn on the economy, and it seems to be getting worse.

"There was more breadth to the global downturn than we’ve ever seen, so it’s going to be very difficult to re-start the broader global economy,” Stephen Roach, chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia Ltd., said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “It’s too early to put all this behind us.”

Yesterday's Gallup: Mostly steady at 50-42.

With adults, not likely voters. Tends to confirm Rasmussen.

Correction: Just Another Poster corrects me, noting that the Gallup number I posted is from yesterday; today's figure doesn't come out for an hour or so.

Updated: A tiny bit of noise in today's Gallup -- 51-42.

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